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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 2.7

Home Win Probability

Rice 46%

Market (Bovada)

Rice -3

Edge: East Carolina +3 (5.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East CarolinaEast Carolina
360817
RiceRice
377724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-310-310-610-917-917-1724-17
RiceEast Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20RICECRICECRICECRICECRICECRICECRICECRICECRICECRICECRICECRICECRICPUNT39ydFG1456ydTO427ydPUNT36ydFG524ydTO447ydTD759ydPUNT323ydPUNT3-7ydFG1044ydPUNT41ydFG839ydEND21ydDOWNS865ydPUNT955ydPUNT32ydTD753ydTD1780ydTD475ydDOWNS647ydPUNT35ydDOWNS40ydMISS40ydDOWNS615ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Carolina and Rice
StatisticEast CarolinaRice
Passing21-4519-34
Pass Yards246240
Rush Yards14537
Total Yards391277
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-184-11
Penalties6-5210-68
Possession34:5825:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Carolina
passing
Alex Flinn
21/44, 246 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Javious Bond
7 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Chase Sowell
7 REC, 88 YDS
defense
Rice
passing
JT Daniels
18/32, 232 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chase Jenkins
4 CAR, 27 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Landon Ransom-Goelz
2 REC, 54 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Juma Otoviano run for 9 yds to the RICE 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Dean Connors

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Daelen Alexander run for no gain to the RICE 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Alex Flinn run for 1 yd to the ECU 27

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Rahjai Harris run for 13 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 3 yds to the RICE 47

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ECU False Start (Murphy,Owen) 5 yards from Rice47 to ECU48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 6 yds to the RICE 44

4th & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.92

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 14 yds to the RICE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jaylen Johnson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Alex Flinn run for no gain to the RICE 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Alex Flinn pass complete to Brock Spalding for 11 yds to the RICE 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the RICE 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Shane Calhoun

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Chase Sowell

4th & 9Field Goal Good+35 yds

Andrew Conrad 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Boden Groen

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

East Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Julius Wood) to the RICE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 9 yds to the ECU 48

2nd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -3.82

JT Daniels pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Shane Calhoun

4th & 4Punt+39 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 55 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 39 yds to the ECU 47

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.01

Chase Jenkins run for 28 yds to the ECU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

JoVoni Johnson-McCray run for 4 yds to the ECU 23

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Luke McCaffrey

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Luke McCaffrey

4th & 14Field Goal Good+41 yds

Tim Horn 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY Rice Personal Foul (Devones,Tre'shon) 15 yards from ECU25 to ECU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.62

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 21 yds to the RICE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 9 yds to the RICE 30

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.27

Javious Bond run for 12 yds to the RICE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PENALTY ECU Holding (Moorer,Parker) 10 yards from Rice18 to Rice28. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Interception0 ydsPPA -3.57

Alex Flinn pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 8 yds to the ECU 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.58

JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 30 yds to the ECU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the ECU 16

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeill

3rd & 12Penalty+14 yds

PENALTY ECU Pass Interference (Revel,Shavon) 14 yards from ECU16 to ECU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

JT Daniels pass complete to Braylen Walker for 3 yds to the ECU 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the ECU 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 4 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY Rice Pass Interference (Devones,Tre'shon) 15 yards from ECU25 to ECU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 37

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Chase Sowell

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.79

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 11 yds to the ECU 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICE 13

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Dean Connors run for 7 yds to the RICE 6

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Chase Jenkins pass complete to Boden Groen for 8 yds to the RICE 14

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Rice False Start (Banks,Brant) 5 yards from Rice14 to Rice09. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Chase Jenkins run for 3 yds to the RICE 6

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECU 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Alex Flinn pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 11 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Javious Bond run for 11 yds to the RICE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Javious Bond run for 3 yds to the RICE 29

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Javious Bond run for 5 yds to the RICE 24

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kamarro Edmonds run for no gain to the RICE 24

4th & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.10

Alex Flinn pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 6 yds to the RICE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kamarro Edmonds run for 7 yds to the RICE 11

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Alex Flinn run for 1 yd to the RICE 10

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Brock Spalding

4th & 2Field Goal Good+27 yds

Andrew Conrad 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

JT Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 10 yds to the RICE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Boden Groen

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeill

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.50

JT Daniels sacked by Chad Stephens for a loss of 9 yards to the RICE 26

4th & 19Punt+18 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 52 yds , Jsi Hatfield returns for 18 yds to the ECU 40

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Alex Flinn run for 17 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.27

Alex Flinn sacked by Gabriel Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the RICE 49

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Alex Flinn run for 3 yds to the RICE 46

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ECU Delay Of Game 5 yards from Rice46 to ECU49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +4.06

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 30 yds to the RICE 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Rahjai Harris

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jsi Hatfield

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

Andrew Conrad 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Juma Otoviano

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the RICE 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Tim Horn kickoff for 63 yds , Javious Bond return for 32 yds to the ECU 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 12 yds to the ECU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Alex Flinn pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 17 yds to the RICE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.59

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 34 yds to the RICE 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the RICE 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Brock Spalding

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Flinn run for 2 yds to the RICE 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Alex Flinn run for no gain to the RICE 1

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY Rice Delay Of Game . NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY Rice False Start (Cedeno,Miguel). NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Luke McCaffrey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

JT Daniels pass complete to Braylen Walker for 5 yds to the RICE 6

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.52

JT Daniels pass complete to Dean Connors for 24 yds to the RICE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

PENALTY ECU Holding (Edwards III,Michael) 10 yards from Rice30 to Rice40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 1 yd to the RICE 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

JT Daniels pass complete to Quinton Jackson for 6 yds to the RICE 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.00

JT Daniels pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 10 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Luke McCaffrey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

JT Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 1 yd to the ECU 44

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Braylen Walker

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Javious Bond run for 3 yds to the ECU 16

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Javious Bond run for 1 yd to the ECU 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jaylen Johnson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Ari Broussard run for 11 yds to the ECU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

JT Daniels pass complete to Braylen Walker for 4 yds to the ECU 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Chase Jenkins

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Rice Delay Of Game 5 yards from ECU38 to ECU43. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.73

JT Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 16 yds to the ECU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the ECU 32

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Rice False Start (Servin,Clay) 5 yards from ECU32 to ECU37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.24

JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 33 yds to the ECU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Chase Jenkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Tim Horn kickoff for 65 yds , Javious Bond return for 20 yds to the ECU 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jaylen Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Shane Calhoun

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 11 yds to the ECU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jsi Hatfield

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Shane Calhoun

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.43

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 11 yds to the ECU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jsi Hatfield

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Alex Flinn run for 7 yds to the ECU 49

3rd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.35

Rahjai Harris run for 21 yds to the RICE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Rahjai Harris run for 9 yds to the RICE 21

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Alex Flinn run for 6 yds to the RICE 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 11 yds to the RICE 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Mason Garcia run for 1 yd to the RICE 5

2nd & 5Rush+5 yds

Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the RICE 10

3rd & 10Penalty+8 yds

PENALTY Rice Pass Interference (Arkansas,DJ) 8 yards from Rice10 to Rice02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the RICE 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the RICE 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Rahjai Harris 1 Yd Run (Chase Sowell Pass to Chase Sowell for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

JT Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 16 yds to the RICE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Luke McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the RICE 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 10 yds to the ECU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

JT Daniels pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 44 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Tim Horn kickoff for 55 yds , Javious Bond return for 14 yds to the ECU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jaylen Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.77

Javious Bond run for 39 yds to the RICE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for no gain to the RICE 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 3 yds to the RICE 34

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Alex Flinn run for 1 yd to the RICE 33

4th & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.07

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 4 yds to the RICE 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Dean Connors

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

JT Daniels run for 5 yds to the RICE 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeill

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Rahjai Harris

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 24

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Chase Sowell

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Shane Calhoun

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the ECU 26

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Chase Jenkins run for 2 yds to the ECU 28

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the ECU 24

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Tim Horn 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY Rice UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dumont,Lavel) 15 yards from ECU24 to ECU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Shane Calhoun

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jhari Patterson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jhari Patterson

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.05

Alex Flinn sacked by Demone Green for a loss of 4 yards to the ECU 46

4th & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA +0.03

Alex Flinn sacked by Chike Anigbogu for a loss of 7 yards to the ECU 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Kneel down by Rice at ECU40 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
38%
16 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
40%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Rice

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
24 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
4th