Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Gardner-Webb by 0.3

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 42%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

East Carolina -13

Edge: Gardner-Webb +13 (13.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Gardner-Webb
00000
East CarolinaEast Carolina
131071444

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-013-023-030-037-044-0
East CarolinaGardner-Webb

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GARECGARECGARECGARECECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECPUNT35ydPUNT30ydPUNT38ydTD672ydPUNT34ydTD1045ydTO5-2ydFG4-8ydTD414ydDOWNS925ydPUNT527ydTO518ydTO218ydPUNT513ydPUNT630ydEND29ydPUNT412ydTO529ydMISS920ydPUNT3-1ydTD866ydDOWNS1036ydTD1161ydPUNT3-19ydPUNT30ydTO1-1ydTD29ydPUNT49ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Gardner-Webb and East Carolina
StatisticGardner-WebbEast Carolina
Passing8-2118-32
Pass Yards30184
Rush Yards77182
Total Yards107366
Turnovers51
3rd Down6-157-15
Penalties1-155-41
Possession27:1632:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Gardner-Webb
passing
Matthew Caldwell
7/17, 30 YDS
rushing
Narii Gaither
12 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Narii Gaither
2 REC, 9 YDS
defense
East Carolina
passing
Alex Flinn
8/18, 94 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Javious Bond
9 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylen Johnson
6 REC, 70 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Narii Gaither run for 5 yds to the GWEB 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 47 yds, downed at the ECU 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 35 yds, downed at the GWEB 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Narii Gaither run for 5 yds to the GWEB 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brennan McGuire for 3 yds to the GWEB 47

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

punt for 25 yds, downed at the ECU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.80

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 35 yds to the GWEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 12 yds to the GWEB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the GWEB 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 7 yds to the GWEB 17

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the GWEB 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Alex Flinn pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 11 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Jayden Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the GWEB 24

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Narii Gaither run for 6 yds to the GWEB 30

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 15 yds, downed at the GWEB 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Javious Bond run for 2 yds to the GWEB 43

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Alex Flinn run for 5 yds to the GWEB 38

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.16

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 6 yds to the GWEB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 16 yds to the GWEB 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Flinn pass complete to Javious Bond for 3 yds to the GWEB 13

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Alex Flinn run for 6 yds to the GWEB 7

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.46

Alex Flinn run for 1 yd to the GWEB 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the GWEB 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Maleek Huggins run for 1 yd to the GWEB 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Maleek Huggins for 1 yd to the GWEB 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.49

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Maleek Huggins for 8 yds to the GWEB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-12 ydsPPA -0.50

Matthew Caldwell run for a loss of 12 yards to the GWEB 19 Matthew Caldwell fumbled, recovered by ECU J.D. Lampley

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GWEB 16

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Alex Flinn run for a loss of 1 yard to the GWEB 17

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

East Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Alex Flinn) to the GWEB 27

4th & 18Field Goal Good+44 yds

Andrew Conrad 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+59 yds

Laith Marjan kickoff for 59 yds , return for no gain to the GWEB 14 , return for no gain to the GWEB 14

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Rahjai Harris run for 7 yds to the GWEB 7

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.78

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the GWEB 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Javious Bond run for 1 yd to the GWEB 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Mason Garcia run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Narii Gaither run for a loss of 1 yard to the GWEB 34

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Narii Gaither run for 10 yds to the GWEB 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Narii Gaither run for 1 yd to the GWEB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Narii Gaither for 9 yds to the ECU 46

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

East Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Suirad Ware) to the ECU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Karim Page for no gain to the ECU 26

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Narii Gaither for no gain to the ECU 26

4th & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.26

Gino English sacked by Shavon Revel for a loss of 14 yards to the ECU 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Gardner-Webb Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (William McRainey) to the GWEB 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.86

Alex Flinn sacked by Brice Bass for a loss of 6 yards to the GWEB 33

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 14 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Matthew Caldwell run for 5 yds to the GWEB 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Karim Page for 9 yds to the GWEB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -0.61

Narii Gaither run for 4 yds to the GWEB 35 Narii Gaither fumbled, recovered by ECU Omar Rogers

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Rahjai Harris run for 14 yds to the GWEB 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.37

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 4 yds Jhari Patterson fumbled, recovered by GWEB Ty Anderson

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jayden Brown run for 4 yds to the GWEB 21

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jayden Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the GWEB 19

3rd & 8Penalty+11 yds

CALDWELL, Matthew pass to the right incomplete intended for THOMAS, Hooper thrown to the GWU25. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on WOOD, Julius enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the GWU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jayden Brown run for no gain to the GWEB 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 35

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Javious Bond run for 13 yds to the ECU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Javious Bond run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.69

Javious Bond run for 15 yds to the GWEB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 23 yds, downed at the GWEB 12

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Narii Gaither run for 7 yds to the GWEB 19

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Narii Gaither run for 2 yds to the GWEB 21

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Rahjai Harris run for 15 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 35

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECU 39

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

East Carolina Penalty, False Start (Rahjai Harris) to the ECU 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 45 yds, downed at the GWEB 21

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.57

Jaylen King run for 19 yds to the GWEB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Narii Gaither run for 1 yd to the GWEB 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jaylen King pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.67

Jaylen King run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.16

Narii Gaither run for no gain to the GWEB 48 Narii Gaither fumbled, recovered by ECU Jeremy Lewis

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Mason Garcia run for 8 yds to the GWEB 40

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Mason Garcia run for 2 yds to the GWEB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the GWEB 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 4 yds to the GWEB 31

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.70

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the GWEB 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the GWEB 27

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the GWEB 28

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Andrew Conrad 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaylen King run for 4 yds to the GWEB 32

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaylen King run for 2 yds to the GWEB 34

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.82

Jaylen King sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the GWEB 27

4th & 11Punt0 yds

punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the ECU 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Mason Garcia run for 2 yds to the ECU 36

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.15

Mason Garcia run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECU 31

3rd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.73

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 13 yds to the ECU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.29

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 34 yds to the GWEB 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Kamarro Edmonds run for 8 yds to the GWEB 11

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Kamarro Edmonds run for 11 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nemo Squire run for 4 yds to the GWEB 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaylen King run for 3 yds to the GWEB 32

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Jaylen King run for 7 yds to the GWEB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nemo Squire run for 2 yds to the GWEB 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jaylen King pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.74

Jaylen King run for 11 yds to the ECU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jaylen King run for 7 yds to the ECU 41

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaylen King pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Nemo Squire run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 42

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -1.45

Jaylen King run for 3 yds to the ECU 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 12 yds to the GWEB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Javious Bond run for 5 yds to the GWEB 44

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Mason Garcia run for 9 yds to the GWEB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for no gain to the GWEB 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mason Garcia pass complete to Kelan Robinson for 4 yds to the GWEB 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 9 yds to the GWEB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 10 yds to the GWEB 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mason Garcia pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 3 yds to the GWEB 5

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Javious Bond run for 4 yds to the GWEB 18

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Javious Bond run for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-19 ydsPPA -1.31

run for a loss of 19 yards to the GWEB 6 Jaylen King fumbled, recovered by GWEB Jaylen King

2nd & 29Rush0 ydsPPA -0.01

Nemo Squire run for no gain to the GWEB 6

3rd & 29Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.01

Jaylen King pass complete to Cole Hoskyns for no gain to the GWEB 6

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 35 yds, downed at the GWEB 41

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper JETER, Raheim rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards to the GWU44 (WRIGHT, Christian;HUNTER, Nicholas). PENALTY ECU Holding on EVERETT, Keziah enforced 10 yards from the GWU41 to the ECU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Raheim Jeter pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Raheim Jeter run for 9 yds to the GWEB 41

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Raheim Jeter pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Maleek Huggins at the GWEB 10

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Nemo Squire run for a loss of 1 yard to the GWEB 9 Nemo Squire fumbled, recovered by ECU Jordan Huff

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Kamarro Edmonds run for 8 yds to the GWEB 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kamarro Edmonds run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Donovan Jones run for 13 yds to the GWEB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Donovan Jones run for no gain to the GWEB 48

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jaylen King run for no gain to the GWEB 48

3rd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Jaylen King run for a loss of 4 yards to the GWEB 44

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 33 yds, downed at the ECU 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

[NHSG] Kneel down by JETER, Raheim at ECU23 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Gardner-Webb

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
83%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
21%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play