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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Florida by 13

Home Win Probability

South Florida 78%

Market (Bovada)

South Florida -7

Edge: South Florida -7 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CharlotteCharlotte
707014
South FloridaSouth Florida
71420748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-714-728-1438-1448-14
South FloridaCharlotte

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CHASFCHASFCHASFCHASFCHASFCHASFCHASFCHASFCHASFSFCHASFCHASFCHASFCHASFTD971ydDOWNS1239ydDOWNS49ydTD110ydPUNT3-1ydTO23ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT842ydTO637ydTD265ydPUNT36ydPUNT828ydPUNT32ydTD756ydTO32ydTD275ydTD574ydFG741ydTD454ydDOWNS911ydFG531ydPUNT3-5ydTD760ydDOWNS1149ydPUNT37ydDOWNS620ydEND38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Charlotte and South Florida
StatisticCharlotteSouth Florida
Passing16-2823-32
Pass Yards165315
Rush Yards133188
Total Yards298503
Turnovers31
3rd Down1-134-11
Penalties7-664-25
Possession34:2325:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Charlotte
passing
Trexler Ivey
13/22, 98 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Hahsaun Wilson
16 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Jairus Mack
4 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
defense
South Florida
passing
Byrum Brown
22/30, 253 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Michel Dukes
15 CAR, 104 YDS
receiving
Kelley Joiner Jr.
4 REC, 71 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the CLT 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.54

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 20 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Joey Bearns III for 3 yds to the USF 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the USF 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.75

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Joachim Bangda for 14 yds to the USF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jairus Mack for 10 yds to the USF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Hahsaun Wilson run for 18 yds to the USF 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Hahsaun Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Larson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 5 yds to the CLT 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 9 yds to the CLT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 6 yds to the CLT 20

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Byrum Brown run for no gain to the CLT 20

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Byrum Brown run for 5 yds to the CLT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the CLT 15

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 17

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

South Florida Penalty, False Start (Sean Atkins) to the CLT 22

3rd & 17Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.25

Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 21 yds to the CLT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.40

Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the CLT 1

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Nay'Quan Wright pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Trexler Ivey run for 3 yds to the CLT 4

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the CLT 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for 3 yds to the CLT 10

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.22

Trexler Ivey pass incomplete

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 10 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Trexler Ivey pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.13

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Malik Baker II for no gain to the CLT 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Grant Gonya punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 3 yds to the USF 39

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.44

Byrum Brown pass intercepted Dontez Fagan return for no gain to the USF 36

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.72

Duane Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the USF 41

2nd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Hahsaun Wilson for no gain to the USF 41

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the USF 38

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

Charlotte Penalty, Delay Of Game (Dontae Balfour) to the USF 43

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Grant Gonya punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 4 yds to the USF 18

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the USF 23

3rd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +0.50

Byrum Brown pass complete to Weston Wolff for 1 yd to the USF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 11 yds to the USF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Kelley Joiner run for 18 yds to the CLT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kelley Joiner run for 1 yd to the CLT 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 2 yds to the CLT 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Henry Rutledge at the CLT 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the CLT 10

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.85

Joachim Bangda run for 13 yds to the CLT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 7 yds to the CLT 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jairus Mack for 16 yds to the CLT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Hahsaun Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 45

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.43

Trexler Ivey pass intercepted Logan Berryhill return for no gain to the USF 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 3 yds to the USF 38

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +5.65

Sean Atkins pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 62 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Joachim Bangda run for no gain to the CLT 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Trexler Ivey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Joachim Bangda for 6 yds to the CLT 24

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant Gonya punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the USF 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Byrum Brown run for 1 yd to the USF 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.41

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 15 yds to the USF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 8 yds to the USF 49

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the CLT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Byrum Brown run for no gain to the CLT 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Henry Rutledge at the CLT 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 14

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the CLT 17

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Trexler Ivey pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Charlotte Penalty, False Start (Dontae Balfour) to the CLT 12

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

Grant Gonya punt for 48 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 4 yds to the USF 44

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.40

Michel Dukes run for 21 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the CLT 28

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.03

Michel Dukes run for 9 yds to the CLT 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Michel Dukes run for 6 yds to the CLT 13

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the CLT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the CLT 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 4 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brendan Farrell kickoff for 57 yds , Duane Thomas Jr. return for no gain to the CLT 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for 2 yds to the CLT 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Trexler Ivey pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

South Florida Penalty, Block below the waist (TEAM) declined

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

BROWN, Byrum pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Khafre thrown to the CLT28. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on BALFOUR, Dontae enforced 15 yards to the USF40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 60 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.96

Steven Johnson pass complete to Jairus Mack for 14 yds to the CLT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Joachim Bangda run for 6 yds to the CLT 43

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Hahsaun Wilson run for 10 yds to the USF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Steven Johnson pass complete to Jairus Mack for 47 yds for a TD (Jake Larson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 16 yds to the CLT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WRIGHT, Nay'Quan rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the CLT10 (KNIGHT II, Demetrius;BALFOUR, Dontae). PENALTY USF Holding on WOLFF, Weston enforced 10 yards from the CLT11 to the CLT21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the CLT 21

2nd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.92

Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 16 yds to the CLT 5

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the CLT 4

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 yds

John Cannon 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 9 yds to the CLT 45

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.03

Kelley Joiner run for 9 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 1 yd to the CLT 35

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.56

Byrum Brown run for 35 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Hahsaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the CLT 39

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Hahsaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the CLT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the CLT 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Steven Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Steven Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

JOHNSON, Steven pass to the left incomplete intended for MACK, Jairus thrown to the USF50. PENALTY USF Offsides on ROSS, Jonathan enforced 5 yards from the USF50 to the USF45 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the USF 43

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the USF 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Steven Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -1.30

Steven Johnson pass intercepted Mac Harris return for 20 yds to the CLT 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.88

Byrum Brown pass complete to Weston Wolff for 32 yds to the CLT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the CLT 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

BROWN, Byrum pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN-STEPHENS, Michael thrown to the CLT0. PENALTY CLT Offsides on ADAIR, Andrew enforced 5 yards from the CLT10 to the CLT5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.12

Byrum Brown sacked by Demon Clowney for a loss of 8 yards to the CLT 13

4th & 11Field Goal Good+31 yds

John Cannon 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Henry Rutledge run for no gain to the CLT 34

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Charlotte Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Kevin Williams) to the CLT 23

3rd & 21Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Steven Johnson pass complete to Gus McGee for 6 yds to the CLT 29

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Grant Gonya punt for 31 yds, downed at the USF 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 16 yds to the CLT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Michel Dukes run for 9 yds to the CLT 35

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA -0.15

Michel Dukes run for 14 yds to the CLT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the CLT 17

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Michel Dukes run for 9 yds to the CLT 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the CLT 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 1 yd for a TD (John Cannon KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brendan Farrell kickoff for 24 yds , Reid Williford return for no gain to the CLT 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the CLT 42

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Hahsaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the CLT 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

JOHNSON, Steven pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MACK, Jairus thrown to the USF17, clock 10:44. PENALTY USF Offsides on CHENEY, Rashad enforced 5 yards from the CLT50 to the USF45 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joachim Bangda run for 5 yds to the USF 40

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.73

Steven Johnson run for 18 yds to the USF 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 23

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Hahsaun Wilson run for 15 yds to the USF 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the USF 7

2nd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.53

Steven Johnson sacked by Jamie Pettway for a loss of 12 yards to the USF 19

3rd & 19Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Joachim Bangda for 9 yds to the USF 10

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.49

Trexler Ivey pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the USF 12

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Michel Dukes run for 5 yds to the USF 17

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Michel Dukes run for no gain to the USF 17

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 45 yds, downed at the CLT 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the CLT 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Trexler Ivey pass complete to Randy Fields Jr. for 8 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Trexler Ivey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Joachim Bangda run for 8 yds to the USF 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Joachim Bangda run for no gain to the USF 43

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.62

Joachim Bangda run for 1 yd to the USF 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Yasias Young run for 2 yds to the USF 44

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Bryce Archie run for 2 yds to the USF 46

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Yasias Young run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Charlotte

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
27%
26 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
53%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
30%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play