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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UTSA by 25

Home Win Probability

UTSA 93%

Market (Bovada)

UTSA -17.5

Edge: UTSA -17.5 (7.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East CarolinaEast Carolina
1730727
UTSAUTSA
14173741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1024-1731-1734-2041-2041-27
UTSAEast Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECUTSECUTSECUTSUTSECUTSECUTSECUTSECUTSUTSECUTSECUTSECUTSECUTSECUTSECUTSMISS540ydTD765ydTD875ydTD275ydFG1159ydTD10ydFG565ydPUNT37ydTD284ydPUNT412ydPUNT715ydPUNT30ydTD1166ydFG941ydEND1-1ydFG844ydPUNT39ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-1ydTO854ydTD880ydPUNT721ydPUNT38ydDOWNS4-6ydMISS7-20ydTD1366ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Carolina and UTSA
StatisticEast CarolinaUTSA
Passing23-4320-34
Pass Yards225395
Rush Yards141120
Total Yards366515
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-199-16
Penalties5-686-80
Possession33:0926:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Carolina
passing
Alex Flinn
23/43, 225 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Gerald Green
3 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Jaylen Johnson
8 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
defense
UTSA
passing
Frank Harris
20/32, 395 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rocko Griffin
5 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Joshua Cephus
4 REC, 183 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 39 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the UTSA 35

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Andrew Conrad 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Frank Harris run for 9 yds to the UTSA 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 9 yds to the ECU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the ECU 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +4.13

Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 43 yds to the ECU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Frank Harris run for no gain to the ECU 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Alex Flinn run for 3 yds to the ECU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.61

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 29 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST down UTSA Penalty, Targeting on TRIPLETTE, Ronald enforced (15 Yards) to the UTSA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Rahjai Harris run for 9 yds to the UTSA 19

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the UTSA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the UTSA 16

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Alex Flinn run for 3 yds to the UTSA 13

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.01

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 13 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+65 ydsPPA +3.56

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 65 yds to the ECU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Robert Henry run for 10 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.24

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 29 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 4 yds to the UTSA 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Alex Flinn pass complete to Marlon Gunn Jr. for no gain to the UTSA 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 12 yds to the UTSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 12 yds to the UTSA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

FLINN, Alex scrambles to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the TSA2 (WISDOM, Rashad). PENALTY ECU Holding on MOORER, Parker enforced 10 yards from the TSA15 to the TSA25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Alex Flinn run for 4 yds to the UTSA 21

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the UTSA 16

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+33 yds

Andrew Conrad 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+36 ydsPPA -7.92

Dontavius Nash 36 Yd Interception Return (Andrew Conrad Kick)

1st & 10Rush+69 ydsPPA +4.03

Rocko Griffin run for 69 yds to the ECU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the ECU 4

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.74

Frank Harris sacked by Chad Stephens for a loss of 6 yards to the ECU 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Frank Harris pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Chase Allen 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 5 yds to the ECU 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the UTSA 16

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +7.04

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 84 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UTSA Penalty, Personal Foul (Rocko Griffin) to the ECU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 25

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the UTSA 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

run for 2 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 13 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 46

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 48

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.24

Frank Harris sacked by Jeremy Lewis for a loss of 10 yards to the UTSA 38

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 27

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Alex Flinn sacked by Brandon Matterson for a loss of 5 yards to the ECU 22

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Alex Flinn run for 5 yds to the ECU 27

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 9 yds to the UTSA 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 44

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Frank Harris run for 17 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST down UTSA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.28

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 21 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.71

Frank Harris pass complete to Houston Thomas for 26 yds to the ECU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.28

Frank Harris pass complete to Rocko Griffin for no gain to the ECU 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 7 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Alex Flinn run for 18 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 5 yds to the ECU 48

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 8 yds to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Alex Flinn run for 6 yds to the UTSA 38

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.18

Alex Flinn run for 4 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+51 yds

Andrew Conrad 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

[NH] Kneel down by HARRIS, Frank at TSA15 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HARRIS, Frank pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CEPHUS, Joshua broken up by REVEL, Shavon at the ECU28; QB hurried by JACKSON, Teylor. PENALTY TSA Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the TSA38 to the TSA33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Laith Marjan kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the UTSA 38

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 5 yds to the UTSA 38

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the UTSA 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.76

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 27 yds to the ECU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

HARRIS, Frank pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CEPHUS, Joshua thrown to the ECU0. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on JONES, Jonathan enforced 15 yards to the ECU20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the ECU 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Frank Harris pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Chase Allen 36 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Penalty-17 yds

SANDELL, Tate kickoff 62 yards from the TSA35 to the ECU3, HATFIELD, Jsi returned 17 yards to the ECU20 (DAVISON, Elliott;ANYANWU, Nnanna), clock 11:55. PENALTY ECU Illegal Block in the Back on LEWIS, Jeremy TSA Targeting on ANYANWU, Nnanna , Offsetting penalties. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 2 yds to the ECU 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 7 yds to the ECU 21

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 1 yd to the UTSA 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Owen McCown pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Alex Flinn run for 5 yds to the ECU 22

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 3 yds to the ECU 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Frank Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.30

Frank Harris sacked by Elijah Morris and CJ Mims for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 27

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.40

Alex Flinn sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 6 yards to the ECU 24

2nd & 16Rush+46 ydsPPA +4.28

Gerald Green run for 46 yds to the UTSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the UTSA 24

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the UTSA 23

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Kamarro Edmonds run for 4 yds to the UTSA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Alex Flinn pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 1 yd to the UTSA 18

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Alex Flinn run for 2 yds to the UTSA 16

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.90

Alex Flinn pass intercepted by Elliott Davison, touchback.

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.93

Frank Harris sacked by D'Anta Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the UTSA 11

2nd & 19Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.76

Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 17 yds to the UTSA 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.99

Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 14 yds to the UTSA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 4 yds to the UTSA 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.44

Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 10 yds to the ECU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the ECU 43

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.16

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 43 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Alex Flinn run for 1 yd to the ECU 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.49

Alex Flinn run for 10 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 16 yds to the ECU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.28

Alex Flinn sacked by Owen Pewee for a loss of 6 yards to the ECU 40

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Alex Flinn run for 2 yds to the ECU 42

3rd & 14Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Alex Flinn sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 40

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 49 yds, Chris Carpenter return for 7 yds to the UTSA 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Rocko Griffin run for 5 yds to the UTSA 23

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the UTSA 26

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Frank Harris pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Flinn pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 3 yds to the ECU 26

4th & 4Sack-12 ydsPPA +0.15

Alex Flinn sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 12 yards to the ECU 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Brandon High run for 2 yds to the ECU 12

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brandon High run for 3 yds to the ECU 9

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Brandon High run for 5 yds to the ECU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-15 yds

UTSA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness Personal Foul on HAYNES, Terrell enforced (Venly Tatafu) to the ECU 34

2nd & 33Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brandon High run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 34

3rd & 34Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Owen McCown pass incomplete

4th & 34Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Chase Allen 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Alex Flinn pass complete to Tyler Savage for 6 yds to the ECU 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.47

Alex Flinn pass complete to Marlon Gunn Jr. for 13 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 6 yds to the UTSA 41

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 5 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 7 yds to the UTSA 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Flinn pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 4 yds to the UTSA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Alex Flinn run for 8 yds to the UTSA 17

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.29

Alex Flinn run for 7 yds to the UTSA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Alex Flinn run for 6 yds to the UTSA 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

[NH] Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at TSA27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
46%
13 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
31%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
31%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
4th