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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2
Texas StateTexas State
13
-Final
20
UTSAUTSA

House Prediction

Model Margin

UTSA by 16.6

Home Win Probability

UTSA 86%

Market (Bovada)

UTSA -14

Edge: UTSA -14 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
0100313
UTSAUTSA
377320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-010-710-1017-1020-13
UTSATexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSUTSTSUTSTSUTSTSUTSTSUTSTSUTSUTSTSUTSTSUTSTSUTSTSUTSTSUTSPUNT36ydPUNT1129ydPUNT3-1ydFG1139ydDOWNS1028ydTD657ydPUNT35ydDOWNS844ydTD1166ydPUNT912ydFG864ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT56ydPUNT1137ydPUNT513ydTD868ydPUNT512ydTO636ydFG536ydFG1446ydPUNT3-8ydEND633yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and UTSA
StatisticTexas StateUTSA
Passing16-3026-38
Pass Yards211214
Rush Yards31158
Total Yards242372
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-1412-22
Penalties6-401-5
Possession22:3737:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
TJ Finley
16/30, 211 YDS
rushing
Ismail Mahdi
6 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Drew Donley
5 REC, 79 YDS
defense
UTSA
passing
Frank Harris
26/37, 214 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kevorian Barnes
26 CAR, 103 YDS
receiving
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg
6 REC, 78 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the TXST 34

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.93

TJ Finley sacked by Avery Morris for a loss of 7 yards to the TXST 27

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

TJ Finley pass complete to Drew Donley for 13 yds to the TXST 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 4 yds to the UTSA 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Frank Harris pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 4 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Frank Harris pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 5 yds to the UTSA 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Frank Harris run for no gain to the UTSA 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.15

Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Kevorian Barnes run for 12 yds to the TXST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.20

Frank Harris sacked by Kenny Haynes for a loss of 6 yards to the TXST 47

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Frank Harris pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the TXST 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the TXST 25

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.43

TJ Finley sacked by Jimmori Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the TXST 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 8 yds to the UTSA 40

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 10 yds to the TXST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TXST 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Frank Harris pass complete to Devin Mccuin for 4 yds to the TXST 45

3rd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.53

Frank Harris run for 17 yds to the TXST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UTSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TXST 33

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the TXST 33

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 4 yds to the TXST 29

4th & 11Field Goal Good+46 yds

Chase Allen 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 7 yds to the TXST 36

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Texas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TXST 31

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Donerio Davenport run for 6 yds to the TXST 37

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.29

Jahmyl Jeter run for 6 yds to the TXST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

TJ Finley pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the UTSA 48

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Donerio Davenport run for 2 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

TJ Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Donerio Davenport run for 4 yds to the UTSA 42

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

TJ Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 43

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

TJ Finley pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 45

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.06

Robert Henry run for 17 yds to the TXST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 3 yds to the TXST 35

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the TXST 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.82

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the TXST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Rocko Griffin run for 20 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the TXST 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Calvin Hill run for 2 yds to the TXST 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 48 yds, downed at the UTSA 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the UTSA 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 12 yds to the UTSA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Frank Harris pass complete to Houston Thomas for 11 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Kevorian Barnes run for 11 yds to the TXST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TXST 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 2 yds to the TXST 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Frank Harris pass incomplete

4th & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -1.68

Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the TXST 34

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Ismail Mahdi run for 11 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

TJ Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the TXST 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.87

TJ Finley pass complete to Drew Donley for 10 yds to the UTSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the UTSA 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

TJ Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.23

TJ Finley run for 11 yds to the UTSA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 6 yds to the UTSA 26

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Donerio Davenport run for no gain to the UTSA 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.81

TJ Finley pass complete to Drew Donley for 23 yds to the UTSA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 29

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 30

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.97

Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the UTSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the UTSA 42

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the UTSA 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 9 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Robert Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the TXST 47

2nd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.75

Eddie Lee Marburger sacked by Kamren Washington for a loss of 5 yards to the UTSA 48

3rd & 17Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.64

Eddie Lee Marburger sacked by Ben Bell for a loss of 8 yards to the UTSA 40

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

TJ Finley run for 3 yds to the TXST 14

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

TJ Finley pass complete to Drew Donley for 10 yds to the TXST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.05

TJ Finley pass complete to Drew Donley for 23 yds to the TXST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.40

TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 28 yds to the UTSA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

TJ Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

TJ Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+42 yds

Mason Shipley 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by TSA at TSA24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 14

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 3 yds to the UTSA 17

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.13

Frank Harris sacked by Brian Holloway and Terry Webb for a loss of 7 yards to the UTSA 10

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 6 yds to the TXST 48

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

TJ Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

TJ Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 13

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas State Penalty, False Start (Trenton Scott) to the TXST 48

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 12

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Frank Harris pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 8 yds to the UTSA 20

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.76

Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Frank Harris pass complete to Devin Mccuin for 10 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Frank Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.24

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.63

Frank Harris sacked by Ben Bell for a loss of 9 yards to the UTSA 37

2nd & 19Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.48

Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTSA 32

3rd & 24Penalty-18 yds

UTSA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-18 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Joey Hobert at the TXST 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 7 yds to the TXST 22

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 6 yds to the TXST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

TJ Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 1 yd to the TXST 28

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the UTSA 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Frank Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Texas State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on CAGE, Bryce enforced (Bryce Cage) to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.32

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for a loss of 6 yards to the UTSA 49

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 15Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.82

Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 30 yds to the TXST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 20 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Calvin Hill run for 7 yds to the TXST 35

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Calvin Hill run for 6 yds to the TXST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 40

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.19

TJ Finley sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the TXST 33

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

TJ Finley pass complete to Calvin Hill for 7 yds to the TXST 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 8 yds to the UTSA 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Kevorian Barnes run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -3.16

Kevorian Barnes run for 12 yds to the TXST 38 Kevorian Barnes fumbled, recovered by TXST Brian Holloway

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -3.16

Kevorian Barnes run for 12 yds to the TXST 38 Kevorian Barnes fumbled, recovered by TXST Brian Holloway

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +2.76

TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 55 yds to the UTSA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

Texas State Penalty, False Start (Trenton Scott) to the UTSA 12

1st & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.25

TJ Finley pass complete to Donerio Davenport for no gain to the UTSA 12

2nd & 12Penalty0 yds

Texas State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (TJ Finley) to the UTSA 20

3rd & 20Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.07

TJ Finley sacked by Nick Booker-Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the UTSA 26

4th & 26Field Goal Good+43 yds

Mason Shipley 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 11 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the UTSA 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TXST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the TXST 49

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

HARRIS, Frank pass deep to the left incomplete intended for OGLE-KELLOGG, Tykee thrown to the TXS30. PENALTY TXS Offsides on WRIGHT, Deven declined TXS Pass Interference on MILLS, Chris enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the TXS39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the TXST 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the TXST 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the TXST 30

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the TXST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the TXST 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Frank Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Frank Harris pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+43 yds

Chase Allen 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Donerio Davenport run for a loss of 2 yards to the TXST 27

2nd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.49

TJ Finley sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 6 yards to the TXST 21

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.04

Kevorian Barnes run for 23 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the TXST 43

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Frank Harris run for no gain to the TXST 43

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.20

Kevorian Barnes run for 10 yds to the TXST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kneel down by TSA at TXS34 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Kneel down by TSA at TXS35 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
39 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
6 plays
50%
14 plays
13%
8 plays
3rd
78%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play