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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
UABUAB
6
-Final
31
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UAB by 1.5

Home Win Probability

Navy 47%

Market (Bovada)

Navy +3

Edge: Navy +3 (1.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UABUAB
33006
NavyNavy
7032131

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-37-610-617-631-6
NavyUAB

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVUABNAVUABNAVUABNAVUABNAVUABNAVUABNAVUABNAVUABNAVUABNAVUABUABNAVPUNT512ydPUNT37ydTO541ydPUNT35ydTD570ydFG651ydPUNT3-3ydFG1159ydTO530ydMISS625ydPUNT35ydPUNT32ydEND1-1ydTO623ydFG517ydPUNT3-5ydTD2080ydPUNT736ydTD586ydTD863ydDOWNS1367ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UAB and Navy
StatisticUABNavy
Passing25-367-10
Pass Yards20694
Rush Yards115269
Total Yards321363
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-166-12
Penalties5-358-69
Possession26:4533:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UAB
passing
Jacob Zeno
25/36, 206 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jermaine Brown Jr.
15 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Bryce Damous
1 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
Xavier Arline
7/10, 94 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Xavier Arline
19 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Regis Velez
1 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Colin Ramos
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Alex Tecza run for 8 yds to the NAVY 46

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the NAVY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Brandon Chatman run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 47

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Brandon Chatman run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 6 yds to the UAB 22

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 22

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Patrick Foley punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.09

Alex Tecza run for 36 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the UAB 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the UAB 3

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the UAB 3

4th & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -4.08

Xavier Arline pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Patrick Foley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the NAVY 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the NAVY 32

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.48

Eli Heidenreich run for 8 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the NAVY 42

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Alex Tecza run for 13 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Xavier Arline pass complete to Regis Velez for 45 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 8

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Nathan Kirkwood kickoff for 43 yds , return for no gain to the UAB 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.21

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 42 yds to the NAVY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.10

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the NAVY 30

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Jacob Zeno run for 10 yds to the NAVY 20

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 yds

Matt Quinn 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the NAVY 24

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the NAVY 25

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

ARLINE, Xavier pass to the right complete for 10 yards to CHATMAN, Brandon caught at the NAV25 and advanced to the NAV35 (MILLER, Damon). PENALTY NAV Pass Interference on TECZA, Alex enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the NAV13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (Connor McMahon) to the NAVY 8

3rd & 22Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.03

Alex Tecza run for 9 yds to the NAVY 17

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 46 yds , Mac McWilliams returns for no gain to the UAB 30

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Lee Beebe run for 13 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ZENO, Jacob pass up the middle incomplete intended for RUDOLPH, Samario thrown to the UAB50; QB hurried by HARBOUR, Will. PENALTY NAV Roughing the Passer on HARBOUR, Will enforced 15 yards from the UAB43 to the NAV42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 1 yd to the NAVY 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for 5 yds to the NAVY 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 14 yds to the NAVY 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jacob Zeno sacked by Colin Ramos for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 23

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the NAVY 15

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the NAVY 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the NAVY 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the NAVY 6

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.82

Jacob Zeno sacked by Justin Reed and Luke Pirris for a loss of 5 yards to the NAVY 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Matt Quinn 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Xavier Arline run for 9 yds to the NAVY 29

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the NAVY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Xavier Arline pass complete to Alex Tecza for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 28

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+22 ydsPPA -0.21

Xavier Arline pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 22 yds Brandon Chatman fumbled, recovered by UAB Keondre Swoopes , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Lee Beebe run for 7 yds to the NAVY 43

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.44

Lee Beebe run for 13 yds to the NAVY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Lee Beebe run for 4 yds to the NAVY 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the NAVY 24

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 25

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Matt Quinn 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the NAVY 30

2nd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Xavier Arline sacked by Desmond Little for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 28

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the NAVY 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 7 yds to the UAB 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

UAB Penalty, False Start (Adam Lepkowski) to the UAB 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Patrick Foley punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Kneel down by NAV at NAV11 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.22

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 26 yds to the NAVY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 1 yd to the NAVY 44

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

BEEBE, Lee rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the NAV45 (CROMWELL, Clay), out of bounds. PENALTY UAB Holding on JONES, Luke enforced 10 yards from the NAV44 to the UAB46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for no gain to the UAB 46

3rd & 19Interception0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jacob Zeno pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Xavier Arline pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 10 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the UAB 18

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brandon Chatman run for 4 yds to the UAB 14

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Daba Fofana run for no gain to the UAB 14

4th & 3Field Goal Good+31 yds

Nathan Kirkwood 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.58

Jacob Zeno sacked by Justin Reed for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 28

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Patrick Foley punt for 52 yds, downed at the NAVY 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the NAVY 25

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 27 Alex Tecza fumbled, recovered by NAVY Xavier Arline [SG] TECZA, Alex rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards, TECZA, Alex fumbled at NAV29 forced by SWOOPES, Keondre, recovered by NAV ARLINE, Xavier at the NAV27, returned 0 yards to the NAV27, End of Play.

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.26

Eli Heidenreich run for 6 yds to the NAVY 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Xavier Arline run for 7 yds to the NAVY 40

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Xavier Arline run for 8 yds to the NAVY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the UAB 49

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the UAB 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.25

Xavier Arline pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 7 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (Joshua Pena) to the UAB 47

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Brandon Chatman run for 1 yd to the UAB 46

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Xavier Arline pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 3 yds to the UAB 43

3rd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.71

Xavier Arline run for 15 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the UAB 28

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Eli Heidenreich run for 8 yds to the UAB 20

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Chatman run for 1 yd to the UAB 19

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.73

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the UAB 16

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

ARLINE, Xavier pass to the right incomplete intended for CHATMAN, Brandon thrown to the UAB10. PENALTY NAV Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on PENA, Joshua enforced 5 yards from the UAB16 to the UAB21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.72

Eli Heidenreich run for 13 yds to the UAB 8

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.84

Daba Fofana run for 4 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the UAB 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 29

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 13 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Lee Beebe run for 6 yds to the NAVY 32

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

UAB Penalty, False Start (Adam Lepkowski) to the NAVY 37

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

UAB Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jacob Zeno) to the NAVY 42

3rd & 14Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 43

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Patrick Foley punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Xavier Arline pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 9 yds to the NAVY 23

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Daba Fofana run for no gain to the NAVY 23

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the NAVY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Eli Heidenreich run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Xavier Arline run for 50 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 1 yd to the UAB 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 9 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 11 yds to the NAVY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Witherspoon for 9 yds to the NAVY 40

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Lee Witherspoon run for 7 yds to the NAVY 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+4 yds

Navy Penalty, Personal Foul (Landon Robinson) to the NAVY 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Navy Penalty, Personal Foul (Will Harbour) to the NAVY 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Interception Return Touchdown+97 ydsPPA -11.80

Rayuan Lane III 97 Yd Interception Return (Nathan Kirkwood Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Witherspoon for 4 yds to the UAB 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 5 yds to the UAB 39

3rd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.89

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 18 yds to the NAVY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for 4 yds to the NAVY 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacob Zeno run for 2 yds to the NAVY 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 6 yds to the NAVY 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 10 yds to the NAVY 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jacob Zeno run for 6 yds to the NAVY 4

2nd & 4Sack0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jacob Zeno sacked by Landon Robinson for 0 yards to the NAVY 4

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Lee Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the NAVY 3

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kneel down by NAV at NAV2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

UAB

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
70%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays