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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulane by 22.3

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 8%

Market (Bovada)

East Carolina +17

Edge: Tulane -17 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulaneTulane
0100313
East CarolinaEast Carolina
1000010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-010-010-710-1010-13
East CarolinaTulane

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECTULECTULECTULECTULTULECTULECTULECTULFG1371ydPUNT617ydTD678ydDOWNS46ydPUNT516ydTD1492ydPUNT3-6ydFG962ydMISS1157ydPUNT625ydFG1170ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydDOWNS615ydEND1449yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulane and East Carolina
StatisticTulaneEast Carolina
Passing16-2510-18
Pass Yards213120
Rush Yards15570
Total Yards368190
Turnovers00
3rd Down8-163-9
Penalties7-632-15
Possession38:1221:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulane
passing
Michael Pratt
16/25, 213 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Makhi Hughes
25 CAR, 105 YDS
receiving
Lawrence Keys III
3 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense
East Carolina
passing
Alex Flinn
10/18, 120 YDS
rushing
Rahjai Harris
13 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Jaylen Johnson
3 REC, 40 YDS
defense
BJ Davis
0.5 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 6 yds to the ECU 25

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 2 yds to the ECU 32

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECU 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 9 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 2 yds to the ECU 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.49

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 32 yds to the TULN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Rahjai Harris run for 11 yds to the TULN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the TULN 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Andrew Conrad 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 10 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 42

2nd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Michael Pratt sacked by D'Anta Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 41

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Karoll punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the ECU 25

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the ECU 29

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

QB Keeper FLINN, Alex rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU28 (MACHADO, Jesus). PENALTY TLN Holding on ROBINSON, Lance enforced 10 yards from the ECU29 to the ECU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.07

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 32 yds to the TULN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the TULN 23

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.64

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 22 yds to the TULN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Gerald Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the ECU 42

2nd & 6Penalty+2 yds

East Carolina Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the ECU 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECU 44

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Rahjai Harris run for 9 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 49

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Alex Flinn run for 5 yds to the TULN 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.63

Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 23 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 44

3rd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.46

Makhi Hughes run for 20 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 6 yds to the ECU 30

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the ECU 29

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the ECU 29

4th & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.59

Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 10 yds to the ECU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 1 yd to the ECU 18

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Michael Pratt run for 10 yds to the ECU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the ECU 7

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Tulane Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Shedro Louis) to the ECU 12

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 3 yds to the ECU 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 9 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.53

Alex Flinn sacked by Jared Small for a loss of 6 yards to the ECU 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 40 yds , JACKSON, Jha'Quan returned 9 yards to the ECU50 (DANKAH, Samuel), out of bounds, clock 03:05. PENALTY TLN Personal Foul on RATTAN, Rishi enforced 15 yards after the change of possession from the end of the play at the ECU50 to the TLN35.

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Michael Pratt pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 1 yd to the TULN 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.41

Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 41 yds to the ECU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 4 yds to the ECU 19

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 11 yds to the ECU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ECU 6

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

QB Keeper PRATT, Michael rush to the right for no gain to the ECU6 (LEWIS, Jeremy). PENALTY ECU Personal Foul on WARE, Suirad enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the ECU6 to the ECU3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 21 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 33

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Michael Pratt run for 13 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 5 yds to the ECU 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.03

Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 12 yds to the ECU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Makhi Hughes run for 12 yds to the ECU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ECU 15

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the ECU 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the ECU 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.99

Alex Flinn pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 14 yds to the ECU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Gerald Green run for no gain to the ECU 42

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Alex Flinn run for 2 yds to the ECU 44

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Alex Flinn run for 1 yd to the ECU 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.51

Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 50 yds to the ECU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ECU 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 7 yds to the ECU 19

3rd & 1Penalty-15 yds

Tulane Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cameron Wire) to the ECU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

PRATT, Michael pass to the right incomplete intended for CARTER, Chris thrown to the ECU20. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the ECU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jha'Quan Jackson run for no gain to the ECU 21

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Michael Pratt run for no gain to the ECU 21

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 13 yds to the ECU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the ECU 7

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Michael Pratt sacked by D'Anta Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

QB Keeper FLINN, Alex rush to the right for a gain of 17 yards to the ECU25, out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. PENALTY ECU Holding on GREEN, Gerald TLN Holding on COOPER JR., Keith , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Alex Flinn pass complete to Gerald Green for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Flinn pass complete to Gerald Green for 2 yds to the ECU 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 52 yds , Lawrence Keys III returns for no gain to the TULN 26 Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rayshawn Pleasant) to the TULN 12

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tulane Penalty, False Start (Alex Bauman) to the TULN 7

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the TULN 7

2nd & 15Penalty-14 yds

PRATT, Michael pass up the middle complete for 14 yards to KEYS III, Lawrence caught at the TLN18 and advanced to the TLN21 (REVEL, Shavon). PENALTY TLN Holding on GREEN, Rashad enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the TLN7 to the TLN4 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Makhi Hughes run for 11 yds to the TULN 15

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Michael Pratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 14 Michael Pratt fumbled, recovered by TULN Michael Pratt [NHSG] QB Keeper PRATT, Michael rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard, PRATT, Michael fumbled at TLN15 , recovered by TLN PRATT, Michael at the TLN14, returned 0 yards to the TLN14 (LAMPLEY, J.D.).

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Karoll punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECU 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Alex Flinn run for 2 yds to the TULN 47

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the TULN 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.18

Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 18 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the ECU 32

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the ECU 32

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.14

Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the ECU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ECU 24

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Michael Pratt run for 10 yds to the ECU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the ECU 9

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the ECU 5

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the ECU 5

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.17

Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the ECU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

[NH] Kneel down by PRATT, Michael at ECU5 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

[NH] Kneel down by PRATT, Michael at ECU6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Tulane

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
22%
9 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
16 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
13%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play