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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulane by 5.8

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 32%

Market (Bovada)

Southern Miss +7.5

Edge: Southern Miss +7.5 (1.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulaneTulane
7014021
Southern MissSouthern Miss
00303

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-143-21
Southern MissTulane

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TULSMTULSMTULSMTULSMTULSMTULSMTULSMTULSMTULSMTULSMTULTD775ydDOWNS1034ydPUNT3-8ydMISS930ydDOWNS851ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT36ydPUNT410ydPUNT1038ydEND1-1ydPUNT522ydTD570ydFG959ydTD975ydPUNT30ydPUNT619ydPUNT37ydMISS524ydDOWNS1121ydEND65yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulane and Southern Miss
StatisticTulaneSouthern Miss
Passing12-1919-34
Pass Yards186177
Rush Yards12835
Total Yards314212
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-115-16
Penalties4-356-60
Possession28:2331:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulane
passing
Kai Horton
12/19, 186 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Makhi Hughes
14 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Lawrence Keys III
4 REC, 78 YDS
defense
Southern Miss
passing
Billy Wiles
19/33, 177 YDS
rushing
Rodrigues Clark
5 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Jakarius Caston
2 REC, 54 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 6 yds to the TULN 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Kai Horton pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 6 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the TULN 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.77

Kai Horton pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 14 yds to the USM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.71

Kai Horton pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 29 yds to the USM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Kai Horton pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 11 yds to the USM 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kai Horton run for 1 yd for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 3 yds to the USM 27

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Billy Wiles run for 10 yds to the USM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 36

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.11

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 15 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the TULN 46

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Billy Wiles run for 6 yds to the TULN 40

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Tiaquelin Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 41

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.81

Frank Gore Jr. pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kai Horton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Shedro Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 39

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.50

Kai Horton sacked by Jalil Clemons for a loss of 6 yards to the TULN 33

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Will Karoll punt for 41 yds to the USM 26, return by Tiaquelin Mims for 13 yards to the USM 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 40

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.07

Frank Gore Jr. run for 12 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Chandler Pittman run for 1 yd to the TULN 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 5 yds to the TULN 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 5 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 6 yds to the TULN 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the TULN 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Andrew Stein 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(01:09) CLAYTON-JOHNSON, Shaadie rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the TLN32 (LAWRENCE, Dylan;STANLEY, Jay). PENALTY Before the snap, TLN False Start on KEYS III, Lawrence enforced 5 yards from the TLN31 to the TLN26. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the TULN 27

2nd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.93

Kai Horton pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 21 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.94

Kai Horton pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 24 yds to the USM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the USM 25

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the USM 23

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 5 yds to the USM 18

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.66

Kai Horton pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 19

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Billy Wiles run for 1 yd to the USM 20

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.23

Billy Wiles sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 7 yards to the USM 13

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 33 yds, fair caught by Tahir Annoor at the USM 46

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Kai Horton sacked by Demeco Roland and Josh Ratcliff for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 49

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the USM 47

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Kai Horton pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Will Karoll punt for 34 yds, downed at the USM 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 3 yds to the USM 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 3 yds to the USM 19

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 43

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Makhi Hughes run for 10 yds to the USM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kai Horton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kai Horton pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kai Horton pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Will Karoll punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 8 yds to the USM 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the USM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tyquan Henderson for 18 yds to the USM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the USM 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.96

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 13 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Rodrigues Clark run for 8 yds to the TULN 30

2nd & 2Rush-12 ydsPPA -3.23

Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 12 yards to the TULN 42

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 11

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 10

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Tulane Penalty, Targeting on DEAL, Devean enforced (Devean Deal) to the USM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Billy Wiles pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 15 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Billy Wiles) to the USM 46

2nd & 20Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.67

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 42

3rd & 23Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Billy Wiles pass complete to Avery White for 5 yds to the USM 47

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 30

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 14 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 15 yds to the USM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the USM 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kai Horton pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 3 yds to the USM 35

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.84

Kai Horton pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 35 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Billy Wiles run for a loss of 5 yards to the USM 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.57

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 18 yds to the USM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Chandler Pittman run for 11 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.48

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 39 yds to the TULN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

GORE, Frank rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the TLN6 (SMALL, Jared). PENALTY Before the snap, USM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TLN8 to the TLN13. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the TULN 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Andrew Stein 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Carter for 8 yds to the TULN 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kai Horton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Micheal Caraway Jr.) to the USM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 14 yds to the USM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the USM 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USM 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 3 yds for a TD Southern Miss Penalty, Roughing the Passer on CLEMONS, Jalil of 15 yards will be enforced on the ensuing kickoff (Jalil Clemons) to the USM 0 (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 33 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for no gain to the TULN 25 Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TULN 42

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.75

Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 17 yds to the USM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 13 yds to the USM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.62

Kai Horton sacked by Josh Ratcliff for a loss of 11 yards to the USM 41

2nd & 21Penalty-5 yds

Tulane Penalty, False Start (Yulkeith Brown) to the USM 46

2nd & 26Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the USM 43

3rd & 23Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the USM 39

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Will Karoll punt for 38 yds, downed at the USM 1

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Rodrigues Clark run for 7 yds to the USM 8

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Billy Wiles run for no gain to the USM 8

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 46 yds, downed at the TULN 46

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Makhi Hughes run for 20 yds to the USM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the USM 31

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the USM 31

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USM 30

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 7 yds to the USM 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.56

Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 6 yds to the USM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Billy Wiles pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 3 yds to the USM 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 6 yds to the TULN 49

4th & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.82

Rodrigues Clark run for 11 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Billy Wiles run for 6 yds to the USM 32 Southern Miss Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wil Saxton) to the USM 42

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the TULN 45

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 17Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Billy Wiles sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the TULN 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the USM 48

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the USM 44

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the USM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

[SG] Kneel down by TLN at USM42 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

[NHSG] Kneel down by TLN at USM44 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

[NHSG] Kneel down by TLN at USM46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Tulane

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
25%
8 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play