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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 1.4

Home Win Probability

Massachusetts 48%

Market (Bovada)

Massachusetts -1.5

Edge: Arkansas State +1.5 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas StateArkansas State
171414752
MassachusettsMassachusetts
01010828

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-177-177-3110-3113-3120-3820-4528-52
MassachusettsArkansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASASMASASMASASMASMASASMASASMASASMASASMASASMASASMASASMASPUNT35ydTD775ydTO30ydTD313ydPUNT3-3ydFG718ydUncategorized523ydTD376ydTD474ydPUNT38ydTD1090ydFG1166ydMISS1069ydFG961ydTD465ydTD1475ydTD569ydPUNT36ydTD155ydTD765ydDOWNS1344ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas State and Massachusetts
StatisticArkansas StateMassachusetts
Passing20-2529-38
Pass Yards383269
Rush Yards173112
Total Yards556381
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-105-13
Penalties10-10412-127
Possession29:5830:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas State
passing
Jaylen Raynor
20/25, 383 YDS, 6 TD
rushing
Zak Wallace
11 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Adam Jones
3 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
29/38, 269 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Gregory DeRosiers
3 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mark Pope
6 REC, 85 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ARST 21

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the ARST 22

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Adam Jones

4th & 5Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 50 yds , Isaac Ross returns for no gain to the MASS 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 11 yds to the ARST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Corey Rucker run for 6 yds to the MASS 43

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the MASS 40

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Zak Wallace run for 8 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Courtney Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.96

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 21 yds to the MASS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Ja'Quez Cross run for 11 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Clune Van Andel kickoff for 62 yds , Greg Desrosiers Jr. return for 21 yds to the MASS 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 2 yds to the MASS 22

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 2 yds to the MASS 24

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.15

Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the MASS 9

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaylen Raynor run for 4 yds to the MASS 5

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.58

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 5 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Clune Van Andel kickoff for 61 yds , Greg Desrosiers Jr. return for 21 yds to the MASS 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Christian Wells

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 27

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.33

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Javante Mackey for a loss of 5 yards to the MASS 22

4th & 13Punt+20 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds , Courtney Jackson returns for 20 yds to the MASS 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Quez Cross run for 5 yds to the MASS 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the MASS 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.23

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 5 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the MASS 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey Rucker

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Zak Wallace for 5 yds to the MASS 27

4th & 3Field Goal Good+44 yds

Dominic Zvada 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.28

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 28 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARST 39

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARST 40

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the MASS 40

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.94

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 61 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 22 yds to the ARST 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.00

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 22 yds to the ARST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Ja'Quez Cross run for 10 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the MASS 39

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.59

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 39 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Clune Van Andel kickoff for 58 yds , Greg Desrosiers Jr. return for 18 yds to the MASS 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 7 yds to the MASS 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 1 yd to the MASS 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony Simpson

4th & 2Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 14 yds to the ARST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARST 26

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaylen Raynor run for no gain to the ARST 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey Rucker

2nd & 10Penalty-3 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-3 Yards) to the MASS 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 8 yds to the MASS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.76

Jaylen Raynor sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 24

2nd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 20 yds to the MASS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Courtney Jackson 4 Yd pass from Jaylen Raynor (Dominic Zvada Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 10 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 12 yds to the ARST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Anthony Simpson run for 17 yds to the ARST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARST 27

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Shawn Harris Jr. run for 6 yds to the ARST 21

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.78

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the ARST 15 for a 1ST down Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nate Martey) to the ARST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the ARST 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARST 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Mark Pope

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Cameron Carson 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+57 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 63 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 57 yds to the ARST 8 Arkansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ARST 14

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Jaylen Raynor run for 14 yds to the ARST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Jaylen Raynor run for 9 yds to the ARST 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Reagan Ealy

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARST 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.71

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 29 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 11 yds to the MASS 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaylen Raynor run for 4 yds to the MASS 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 8 yds to the MASS 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen rush right for 4 yards gain to the UMass03 (Powell,Te'Rai) PENALTY ASU Holding (Thomas,Makilan) 10 yards from UMass07 to UMass17. NO PLAY.

1st & 17Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Dominic Zvada 34 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Clune Van Andel kickoff for 62 yds , Greg Desrosiers Jr. return for 29 yds to the MASS 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 6 yds to the MASS 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 7 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 3 yds to the MASS 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.86

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 21 yds to the ARST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.42

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 12 yds to the ARST 19 for a 1ST down Arkansas State Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Trevian Thomas) to the ARST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the ARST 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony Simpson

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Cameron Carson 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 64 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 34 yds to the ARST 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the ARST 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 17 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the MASS 33

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.13

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 33 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony Simpson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Christian Wells for 6 yds to the MASS 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 8 yds to the ARST 42

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taisun Phommachanh run for 5 yds to the ARST 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for no gain to the ARST 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 12 yds to the ARST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.43

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 16 yds to the ARST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty+7 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Thurman Geathers) to the ARST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARST 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the ARST 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 47 yds , Reagan Ealy return for 13 yds to the ARST 31

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Zak Wallace run for 10 yds to the ARST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.61

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 22 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Zak Wallace run for 9 yds to the MASS 28

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the MASS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 26 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Clune Van Andel kickoff for 61 yds , Greg Desrosiers Jr. return for 20 yds to the MASS 24

1st & 22Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 15

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 6 yds to the MASS 21

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 9 yds to the MASS 30

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 55 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Clune Van Andel kickoff for 63 yds , Greg Desrosiers Jr. return for 33 yds to the MASS 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 23 yds to the ARST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Blayne Toll for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 46

2nd & 22Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 13 yds to the ARST 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.69

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 14 yds to the ARST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams 2 Yd Run (Taisun Phommachanh Pass to Anthony Simpson for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the ARST 28

2nd & 7Penalty-14 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen pass complete short right to McCrumby,Miller for 6 yards to the ASU34 (Lua,Juan) PENALTY ASU Personal Foul (Thompson,Khmari) 14 yards from ASU28 to ASU14. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the ARST 33

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.29

Zak Wallace run for 7 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Wallace,Zak rush left for 5 yards gain to the ASU45 (Harrell,Jalen; Ferrell,Jalon) PENALTY ASU Chop Block (Butler,Mekhi) 15 yards from ASU40 to ASU25. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Ja'Quez Cross run for 6 yds to the ARST 31

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Brian Snead run for 6 yds to the ARST 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Brian Snead run for 3 yds to the MASS 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Brian Snead run for 8 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brian Snead run for 4 yds to the MASS 30

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Snead,Brian rush left for 0 yards to the UMass30 (Brown,JB) PENALTY ASU Holding (McCrumby,Miller) 10 yards from UMass30 to UMass40. NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brian Snead run for 6 yds to the MASS 34

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Brian Snead run for 2 yds to the MASS 36

4th & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA -1.10

Brian Snead run for 5 yds to the MASS 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 20 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 8 yds to the ARST 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Gino Campiotti

3rd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.94

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Javante Mackey for a loss of 11 yards to the MASS 43

Situational Analysis

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
8 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
23 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th