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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Massachusetts by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Massachusetts 55%

Market (Bovada)

Massachusetts -3.5

Edge: New Mexico +3.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
141400634
MassachusettsMassachusetts
014311331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-1414-2114-2817-2820-2831-28
MassachusettsNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMMASNMMASNMMASNMMASNMMASMASNMMASNMMASNMMASNMMASNMMASNMPUNT34ydMISS834ydTD679ydDOWNS49ydTD440ydTD968ydTD875ydTD881ydTD790ydEND29ydFG872ydPUNT720ydDOWNS842ydPUNT517ydFG1275ydPUNT414ydDOWNS742ydPUNT32ydTD479ydEND2-3ydFG49ydTD625yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Massachusetts
StatisticNew MexicoMassachusetts
Passing9-1716-25
Pass Yards192298
Rush Yards136197
Total Yards328495
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-106-13
Penalties6-5511-75
Possession27:4932:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Dylan Hopkins
9/17, 192 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Sherod White
14 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caleb Medford
3 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Massachusetts
passing
Carlos Davis
11/20, 196 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kay'Ron Adams
26 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Simpson
5 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Te'Rai Powell
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Dorian Lewis run for 1 yd to the UNM 24

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Dorian Lewis run for 8 yds to the UNM 32

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UNM False Start (McClour,Wyatt) 5 yards from UNM32 to UNM27. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Mark Pope

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 43

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Davis,Carlos pass incomplete short right to Johnson,George PENALTY UNM Roughing The Passer (Riley,Syaire) 15 yards from UMass43 to UNM42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the UNM 41

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Anthony Simpson run for 11 yds to the UNM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Carlos Davis pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 7 yds to the UNM 23

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the UNM 21

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the UNM 21

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Cameron Carson 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.65

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 55 yds to the MASS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the MASS 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.81

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 15 yds to the MASS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd to the MASS 12

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. Washington

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.19

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 12 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Carlos Davis pass complete to Christian Wells for 7 yds to the MASS 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 40

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Dorian Lewis run for 1 yd to the MASS 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 9 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 4 yds to the MASS 26

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.13

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 21 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to George Johnson III

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 12 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.02

Carlos Davis pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 22 yds to the UNM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the UNM 24

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the UNM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Anthony Simpson run for 14 yds to the UNM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the UNM 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 2 yds to the UNM 27

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Sherod White run for 8 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UNM False Start (Wingfield,DJ) 5 yards from UMass45 to UMass50. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hixon

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Caleb Medford

3rd & 15Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.86

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Duece Jones for 34 yds to the MASS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sherod White run for no gain to the MASS 16

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Dylan Hopkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 23

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.15

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 21 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 49

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Carlos Davis run for 13 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the UNM 32

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the UNM 24

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.81

Carlos Davis pass complete to Christian Wells for 24 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Sherod White run for 3 yds to the UNM 13

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Sherod White run for 9 yds to the UNM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.55

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 52 yds to the MASS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the MASS 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 3 yds to the MASS 26

3rd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.63

Dylan Hopkins run for 19 yds to the MASS 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Sherod White run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 30

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the MASS 36

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +3.78

Carlos Davis pass complete to Mark Pope for 54 yds to the UNM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the UNM 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Christian Wells

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 16 yds to the UNM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Simpson run for 5 yds to the UNM 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony Simpson

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 yds

Cameron Carson 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the UNM 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UNM 32

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Sherod White run for 12 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Sherod White run for 10 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.84

Dylan Hopkins sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 9 yards to the UNM 45 Dylan Hopkins fumbled, recovered by UNM Dylan Hopkins , return for 0 yards

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hixon

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hixon

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 36 yds , Isaac Ross returns for no gain to the MASS 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Carlos Davis pass complete to Mark Pope for 5 yds to the MASS 18

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 16

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Carlos Davis pass complete to Mark Pope for 8 yds to the MASS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Noa Pola-Gates) to the MASS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the UNM 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony Simpson

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the UNM 45

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony Simpson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sherod White run for 3 yds to the UNM 48

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.46

Sherod White run for 11 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Dorian Lewis run for 2 yds to the MASS 39

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.88

Dylan Hopkins sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 43

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. Washington

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the MASS 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 19

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the MASS 22

3rd & 2Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.23

Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 32 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ahmad Haston run for 5 yds to the UNM 41

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.73

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 15 yds to the UNM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the UNM 20

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the UNM 22

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Ahmad Haston run for 7 yds to the UNM 12 Ahmad Haston fumbled, recovered by UNM Josh Atwood for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the UNM 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Gino Campiotti

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Gino Campiotti

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 17 yds to the UNM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Sherod White run for 2 yds to the UNM 44

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Sherod White run for no gain to the UNM 44

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UNM False Start (Stafford,Taurrian) 5 yards from UNM44 to UNM39. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Duece Jones

4th & 13Punt+20 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 20 yds to the MASS 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ahmad Haston run for 5 yds to the MASS 35

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.75

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Mark Pope for 14 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.13

Ahmad Haston sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the UNM 48

2nd & 22Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 2 yds to the UNM 46

3rd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Ahmad Haston run for 2 yds to the UNM 44

4th & 18Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA -0.15

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 16 yds to the UNM 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Sherod White run for 2 yds to the UNM 26

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Sherod White run for 3 yds to the UNM 29

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UNM 30

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the MASS 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ahmad Haston pass complete to George Johnson III for 5 yds to the MASS 26

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ahmad Haston run for 4 yds to the MASS 30

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.10

Ahmad Haston run for 5 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 65 yds for a TD (Gino Campiotti pass to for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sherod White run for 3 yds to the UNM 28

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.87

Dylan Hopkins sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UNM 22

0th & 7End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

0th & 0Field Goal Good+34 yds

Cameron Carson 34 Yd Field Goal

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jacory Croskey-Merritt 2 Yd Run

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
63%
27 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play