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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
HoustonHouston
13
-Final
27
UCFUCF
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 18.4

Home Win Probability

UCF 87%

Market (Bovada)

UCF -15.5

Edge: UCF -15.5 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
1000313
UCFUCF
6714027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142813-1027-13
UCFHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFTD875ydTD1394ydFG960ydTD875ydTO440ydMISS1056ydDOWNS1131ydMISS847ydTD381ydPUNT49ydTD752ydPUNT419ydDOWNS919ydFG1234ydPUNT1242ydDOWNS40ydEND38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and UCF
StatisticHoustonUCF
Passing13-2123-27
Pass Yards165253
Rush Yards94223
Total Yards259476
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-106-13
Penalties4-204-34
Possession27:0432:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Donovan Smith
12/20, 161 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Stacy Sneed
3 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Joseph Manjack
4 REC, 74 YDS
defense
UCF
passing
John Rhys Plumlee
23/27, 253 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
RJ Harvey
21 CAR, 136 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kobe Hudson
9 REC, 98 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Stephon Johnson run for 13 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the HOU 41

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Donovan Smith run for 15 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the UCF 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the UCF 37

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jenkins,Parker rush middle (Yates,Walter;Hunter,Lee).

4th & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.37

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 21 yds to the UCF 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 16 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jack Martin kickoff for 59 yds , Johnny Richardson return for no gain to the UCF 6

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

John Rhys Plumlee run for 6 yds to the UCF 12

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.87

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 23 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.39

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 9 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the HOU 46

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.78

John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the HOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 2 yds to the HOU 35

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Mark-Antony Richards run for 11 yds to the HOU 24 Mark-Antony Richards fumbled, recovered by UCF Alec Holler for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 3 yds to the HOU 21

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.50

RJ Harvey run for 13 yds to the HOU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 13 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -2.34

for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 12 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matt Byrnes UCF Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the UCF 30

1st & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.41

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 12 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.81

Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 23

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 8 yds to the UCF 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jack Martin 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 18 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 4 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.53

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 45 UCF Penalty, illegal shift (Yards) to the UCF 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.22

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 21 yds to the HOU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Randy Pittman for 6 yds to the HOU 28

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.00

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 2 yds to the HOU 28

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +4.22

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 28 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Stacy Sneed run for 15 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Donovan Smith run for 8 yds to the HOU 48

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Stacy Sneed run for 17 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.03

Donovan Smith pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 23

2nd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.05

RJ Harvey run for 32 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Xavier Townsend run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 46

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the HOU 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Mark-Antony Richards for 4 yds to the HOU 39

4th & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.54

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 13 yds to the HOU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.59

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 27

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the HOU 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Jarrad Baker

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Colton Boomer 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 4 yds to the HOU 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the HOU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.28

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 14 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, off-side (Tre'Mon Morris-Brash) to the HOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

pass incomplete to Parker Jenkins

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 11 yds to the UCF 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.08

Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCF 42

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 37

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Smith,Donovan rush middle (Henderson,Demari).

4th & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.93

Donovan Smith sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 44

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

RJ Harvey run for 11 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the HOU 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.19

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 22 yds to the HOU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 6 yds to the HOU 14

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 6 yds to the HOU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson, broken up by Moses Alexander

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.33

John Rhys Plumlee sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 9

3rd & 9Missed Field Goal Return0 yds

Colton Boomer 26 yd FG MISSED , Juwon Gaston return for no gain to the HOU 35 , Malik Robinson return for no gain to the HOU 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jack Martin kickoff for 46 yds , Johnny Richardson return for no gain to the UCF 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.76

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 57 yds to the HOU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 3 yds to the HOU 21

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.82

RJ Harvey run for 21 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 12 yds to the HOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.05

Donovan Smith sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the HOU 28

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 6 yds to the HOU 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson

4th & 13Punt+17 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 35 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 17 yds to the UCF 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 49

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the HOU 45

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Xavier Townsend run for 2 yds to the HOU 43

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Houston Penalty, off-side (David Ugwoegbu) to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.39

John Rhys Plumlee sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 41

2nd & 13Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.91

John Rhys Plumlee run for 24 yds to the HOU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

RJ Harvey run for 15 yds to the HOU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Donovan Smith run for 14 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the HOU 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Joseph Manjack IV

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

pass incomplete to Joseph Manjack IV

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the UCF 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the UCF 38

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.54

John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 44

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Johnny Richardson run for 9 yds to the HOU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the HOU 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Plumlee,John Rhys rush middle (Holmes Jr.,Anthony).

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 5 yds to the HOU 40

4th & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.77

John Rhys Plumlee sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 14 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Joseph Manjack IV

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Donovan Smith run for 6 yds to the UCF 30

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the UCF 28

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Houston Penalty, false start (Patrick Paul) to the UCF 33

4th & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.59

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 30 yds to the UCF 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.21

Smith,Donovan rush (Johnson,Jason), PENALTY UH false start 5 yards to the UCF-2. Houston Penalty, false start (Sedrick Williams) to the UCF 8

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the UCF 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Donovan Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 7 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, personal foul (Lee Hunter) to the UCF 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the UCF 2

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Houston Penalty, false start (Tank Jenkins) to the UCF 7

2nd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.36

Donovan Smith sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the UCF 18

3rd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCF 16

4th & 16Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jack Martin 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 4 yds to the UCF 30

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.27

John Rhys Plumlee run for 13 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 3 yds to the UCF 46

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the HOU 49

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the HOU 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.44

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 11 yds to the HOU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Richards,Mark-Antony rush (George,Brian), PENALTY UCF holding (Marshall,Marcellus) 10 yards to the UH 19. Houston Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the HOU 39

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mark-Antony Richards run for 2 yds to the HOU 37

2nd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 4 yds to the HOU 33

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ui Ale pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 4 yds to the HOU 24

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Ui Ale run for 1 yd to the HOU 25

4th & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA +0.19

Ui Ale sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the HOU 15

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the HOU 12

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 15

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
8 plays
67%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays