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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 15.1

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 81%

Market (Bovada)

Kansas State -9.5

Edge: Kansas State -9.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
77141442
Kansas StateKansas State
6148735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-76-713-1420-1428-2135-2835-3535-42
Kansas StateIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISTD171ydPUNT321ydTO320ydFG734ydPUNT35ydFG1480ydTD281ydTD1287ydPUNT419ydPUNT39ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydTD841ydEND1-2ydPUNT930ydTD282ydTD979ydTD472ydTD1175ydTD460ydPUNT520ydTD376ydTO21ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1880ydEND2-9yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Kansas State
StatisticIowa StateKansas State
Passing8-1224-48
Pass Yards230288
Rush Yards258209
Total Yards488497
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-711-23
Penalties6-736-55
Possession17:4842:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
8/12, 230 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Abu Sama III
16 CAR, 276 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jaylin Noel
3 REC, 160 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Kansas State
passing
Will Howard
24/48, 288 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
DJ Giddens
31 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ben Sinnott
10 REC, 136 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +5.78

Abu Sama III run for 71 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Iowa State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the KSU 27 for a 1ST down

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 58 yds , Seth Porter return for no gain to the KSU 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 29

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 48 yds, downed at the ISU 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for 11 yds to the ISU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -1.39

Abu Sama III run for 8 yds to the ISU 39 Abu Sama III fumbled, recovered by KSU Austin Moore [NHSG] SAMA, Abu rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards, SAMA, Abu fumbled at ISU36 forced by PURNELL, Desmond, recovered by KSU MOORE, Austin at the ISU39, returned 0 yards to the ISU39, End of Play, clock 11:53.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Howard run for 5 yds to the ISU 34

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the ISU 30

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the ISU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

HOWARD, Will pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for GARCIA II, RJ thrown to the ISU0. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on TAMPA, T.J. enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the ISU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 12

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Will Howard run for 10 yds to the ISU 2

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Chris Tennant 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the ISU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 44 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KSU 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the KSU 21

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.44

Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the KSU 33

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Will Howard run for 5 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 13 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HOWARD, Will pass up the middle complete for 26 yards to BROOKS, Phillip caught at the ISU42 and advanced to the ISU23 (MCLAUGHLIN, Will;SURGES, Drew). PENALTY KSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BEEBE, Cooper enforced 5 yards from the ISU49 to the KSU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.99

Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 20 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the ISU 31

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Will Howard run for 13 yds to the ISU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 9 yds to the ISU 9

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the ISU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 2 yds to the ISU 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard run for no gain to the ISU 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Chris Tennant 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 46 yds , return for no gain to the ISU 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the ISU 23

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.52

Abu Sama III run for 77 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 58 yds , Treshaun Ward return for no gain to the KSU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 7 yds to the KSU 20

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

HOWARD, Will pass to the left incomplete intended for GIDDENS, DJ thrown to the KSU32. PENALTY ISU Holding on TAMPA, T.J. enforced 10 yards from the KSU26 to the KSU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Will Howard run for 8 yds to the KSU 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.27

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 25 yds to the ISU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the ISU 24

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the ISU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the ISU 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.77

DJ Giddens run for 15 yds to the ISU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the ISU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the ISU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.51

Abu Sama III run for 31 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-18 ydsPPA -3.86

run for a loss of 18 yards to the ISU 44 fumbled, recovered by ISU Rocco Becht [NHSG] ISU rush up the middle for a loss of 18 yards, fumbled at KSU38 , recovered by ISU BECHT, Rocco at the ISU44, returned 0 yards to the ISU44, End of Play.

2nd & 28Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.25

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for no gain to the ISU 44

3rd & 28Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the KSU 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 3 yds to the KSU 23

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 5 yds to the KSU 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 30

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Abu Sama III run for 5 yds to the ISU 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 30

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Will Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 28

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the ISU 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.09

Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 6 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 14 yds to the ISU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.24

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the KSU 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 11 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Ben Sinnott) to the KSU 40

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 12 yds to the ISU 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 30 yds, downed at the ISU 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ISU 21

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +6.70

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 79 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

DJ Giddens run for 11 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Will Howard run for 3 yds to the KSU 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.04

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 44 yds to the ISU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the ISU 15

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.53

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 16

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 7 yds to the ISU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 4 yds to the ISU 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Will Howard run for 5 yds for a TD (Will Howard pass to Phillip Brooks for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Abu Sama III run for 8 yds to the ISU 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.35

Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 4 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Abu Sama III run for 60 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the KSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Treshaun Ward run for 12 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Will Howard pass complete to Will Swanson for 13 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the ISU 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 4 yds to the ISU 30

4th & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.75

Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 18 yds to the ISU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Will Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 15

2nd & 13Penalty+13 yds

HOWARD, Will pass to the left incomplete intended for OAKLEY, Garrett thrown to the ISU0. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on SURGES, Drew enforced 13 yards to the ISU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 58 yds , Carson Hansen return for no gain to the ISU 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the ISU 44

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.91

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 22 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 33 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 14 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Will Howard pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 4 yds to the KSU 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 24

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BECHT, Rocco pass short up the middle complete for 7 yards to HANSEN, Carson caught at the ISU25 and advanced to the ISU31 (MATLACK, Nate). PENALTY ISU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HUFFORD, Jarrod enforced 5 yards from the ISU24 to the ISU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Carson Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 18

3rd & 16Passing Touchdown+82 ydsPPA +7.32

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 82 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Howard pass intercepted Gerry Vaughn return for no gain to the KSU 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the KSU 37

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 36 yds, downed at the KSU 2

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KSU 10

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Keagan Johnson run for 1 yd to the KSU 11

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.28

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 10 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Will Howard pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 22 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the ISU 49

4th & 8Penalty+15 yds

HOWARD, Will pass deep to the left incomplete intended for OAKLEY, Garrett thrown to the ISU15. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on FREYLER, Beau enforced 15 yards to the ISU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the ISU 26

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the ISU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Will Howard run for 2 yds to the ISU 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.15

Will Howard pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

[SG] Kneel down by ISU at ISU12 (team loss of 6).

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

[SG] Kneel down by ISU at ISU9 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
17 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
41%
37 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
25%
16 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays