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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas by 13.1

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 17%

Market (Bovada)

Cincinnati +7.5

Edge: Kansas -7.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KansasKansas
02172149
CincinnatiCincinnati
370616

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-03-710-1410-2816-2816-3516-49
CincinnatiKansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINKANCINKANCINKANCINKANCINKANCINKANCINKANCINKANCINKANCINKANCINFG1244ydPUNT731ydPUNT617ydPUNT549ydTO221ydTD577ydPUNT32ydTD566ydTD1375ydTD256ydEND118ydTD875ydMISS1350ydPUNT34ydTD1267ydTD379ydPUNT3-15ydTD259ydPUNT710ydTD1161ydEND33yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas and Cincinnati
StatisticKansasCincinnati
Passing13-1716-31
Pass Yards250111
Rush Yards312231
Total Yards562342
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-76-15
Penalties4-456-65
Possession27:1932:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas
passing
Jason Bean
13/17, 250 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Devin Neal
10 CAR, 106 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Lawrence Arnold
3 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Emory Jones
15/27, 104 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Corey Kiner
18 CAR, 106 YDS
receiving
Dee Wiggins
4 REC, 37 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the CIN 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Emory Jones run for 9 yds to the CIN 46

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.09

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Emory Jones pass complete to Barry Jackson Jr. for 7 yds to the KU 42

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the KU 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the KU 40

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.81

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the KU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the KU 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 6 yds to the KU 31

4th & 2Field Goal Good+49 yds

Carter Brown 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Devin Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the KU 20

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KU 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.51

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 7 yds to the KU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the CIN 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jason Bean pass complete to Torry Locklin for 7 yds to the CIN 41

3rd & 1Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.40

Jason Bean run for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Damon Greaves punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 25

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.67

Corey Kiner run for 15 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 42

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.67

Emory Jones run for 19 yds to the KU 39 Cincinnati Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CIN 40

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the CIN 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the CIN 38

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 51 yds, downed at the KU 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.62

Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 25 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.67

run for 19 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 46 Daniel Hishaw Jr. fumbled, recovered by KU Daniel Hishaw Jr. [SG] HISHAW, Daniel rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard, HISHAW, Daniel fumbled at CIN49 forced by CORLEONE, Dontay, recovered by KAN HISHAW, Daniel at the CIN46, returned 0 yards to the CIN46, End of Play.

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the CIN 40

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

run for no gain to the CIN 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Damon Greaves punt for 37 yds, downed at the CIN 13

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.36

Ryan Montgomery run for 21 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.66

Brady Lichtenberg pass intercepted Cobee Bryant return for no gain to the KU 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.16

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 40 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 10 yds to the CIN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

run for 11 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the CIN 13

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Devin Neal run for 13 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Lichtenberg pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brady Lichtenberg pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Grimm at the KU 34

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Kansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KU 27

1st & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 13 yds to the KU 40

2nd & 4Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.29

Devin Neal run for 38 yds to the CIN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the CIN 15

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Emory Jones run for 9 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.90

Ryan Montgomery run for 15 yds to the CIN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 8 yds to the KU 43

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Ryan Montgomery run for 5 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the KU 32

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the KU 30

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.56

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the KU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 9 yds to the KU 16

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the KU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the KU 11

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.96

Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 11 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.65

Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 30 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 26 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Corey Kiner run for 18 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jason Bean pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jason Bean pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.76

Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 19 yds to the KU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 45

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

BEAN, Jason pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SKINNER, Quentin broken up by CARROLL, Kalen at the CIN22. PENALTY CIN Pass Interference on CARROLL, Kalen enforced 15 yards to the CIN40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the CIN 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jason Bean pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.37

Devin Neal 30 Yd Run (Seth Keller Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 9 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 4 yds to the CIN 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Emory Jones run for 9 yds to the CIN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the KU 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 7 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the KU 35

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Myles Montgomery run for 8 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the KU 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.58

Emory Jones pass complete to Chris Scott for no gain to the KU 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.83

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for no gain to the KU 25

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Carter Brown 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

run for 6 yds to the KU 31

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

run for a loss of 2 yards to the KU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jason Bean pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Damon Greaves punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the CIN 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 10 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Corey Kiner run for 9 yds to the KU 48

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 11 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the KU 35

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the KU 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.56

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the KU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the KU 24

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the KU 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds to the KU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Gavin Gerhardt) to the KU 12

1st & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the KU 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Dee Wiggins 7 Yd pass from Ryan Montgomery (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Uncategorized0 yds

fumbled, recovered by KU JONES, Emory two-point conversion rushing attempt failed; conversion is no good [down at the KAN20], JONES, Emory fumbled at KAN1 forced by GRANT, Marvin, recovered by KAN TEAM at the KAN0 , touchback.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KU 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.07

Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 32 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Jason Bean 43 Yd Run (Seth Keller Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the CIN 35

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Michael McCalmont) to the CIN 20

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Grimm at the KU 41

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.34

Jason Bean 50 Yd Run (Seth Keller Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Gavin Gerhardt) to the CIN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the CIN 30

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Emory Jones pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the CIN 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the KU 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the KU 48

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the CIN 42

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.80

Sevion Morrison run for 16 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Dylan McDuffie run for 26 yds Kansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CIN 18

1st & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -1.16

Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the CIN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the CIN 10

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the CIN 9

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ben Easters run for 3 yds to the CIN 6

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.98

Dylan McDuffie 6 Yd Run (Owen Piepergerdes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the CIN 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 2 yds to the CIN 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Emory Jones pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Kansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
60%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
38%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays