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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

West Virginia by 15

Home Win Probability

West Virginia 81%

Market (Bovada)

West Virginia -5

Edge: West Virginia -5 (9.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
0701421
West VirginiaWest Virginia
72114042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-728-735-742-1442-21
West VirginiaCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WVCINWVCINWVCINWVCINWVCINWVCINCINWVCINWVCINWVCINWVMISS745ydPUNT39ydTD1491ydPUNT521ydTD485ydPUNT46ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-3ydTD240ydTD1175ydTD475ydEND526ydPUNT825ydTD1288ydPUNT34ydTD674ydTD696ydTO552ydTD1083ydEND962yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and West Virginia
StatisticCincinnatiWest Virginia
Passing16-2712-19
Pass Yards191210
Rush Yards141424
Total Yards332634
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-126-11
Penalties5-385-45
Possession25:1134:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Emory Jones
14/24, 166 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Corey Kiner
13 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
6 REC, 104 YDS
defense
West Virginia
passing
Garrett Greene
12/19, 210 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jahiem White
21 CAR, 204 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jahiem White
1 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.41

Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 28 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher for 12 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Jahiem White run for 11 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jahiem White run for no gain to the CIN 28

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CARTER, Devin thrown to the CIN10. PENALTY WVU Holding on TAYLOR, Kole enforced 10 yards from the CIN28 to the CIN38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Garrett Greene run for 4 yds to the CIN 34

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Michael Hayes 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Evan Prater for 3 yds to the CIN 37

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds, downed at the WVU 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.22

Jahiem White run for 18 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.12

Jahiem White run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU 23

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Jahiem White run for 10 yds to the WVU 33

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.56

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 40

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FOX, Preston thrown to the CIN14. PENALTY CIN Pass Interference on CARROLL, Kalen enforced 15 yards to the CIN45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Garrett Greene run for 22 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the CIN 15

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.20

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CIN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher for 5 yds to the CIN 7

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the CIN 3

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.82

Garrett Greene run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 5 yds to the CIN 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.00

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for no gain to the CIN 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 18

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 17

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 75 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 62 yds , Xzavier Henderson return for no gain to the CIN 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the CIN 23

2nd & 7Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.72

run for a loss of 9 yards to the CIN 14

3rd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the CIN 15

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the WVU 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVU 45

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIN 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.12

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 14

3rd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 3 yds to the CIN 17

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 33 yds , Preston Fox returns for no gain to the CIN 40

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.65

Garrett Greene run for 27 yds to the CIN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the CIN 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Brady Lichtenberg sacked by Lee Kpogba for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 31

2nd & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.66

Brady Lichtenberg run for 15 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brady Lichtenberg pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the WVU 47

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.58

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the WVU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the WVU 40 Ryan Montgomery fumbled, recovered by CIN Ryan Montgomery [NHSG] MONTGOMERY, Ryan rush up the middle for no gain, MONTGOMERY, Ryan fumbled at WVU40 , recovered by CIN MONTGOMERY, Ryan at the WVU40, returned 0 yards to the WVU40 (MARTIN, Sean).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.44

pass complete to Evan Prater for 22 yds to the WVU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.65

Brady Lichtenberg run for 17 yds to the WVU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

West Virginia Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) to the WVU 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Garrett Greene run for 30 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 15 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 4 yds to the CIN 26

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.86

Garrett Greene run for 26 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 2 yds to the CIN 27

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 16 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.66

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.88

Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 16 yds to the WVU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher for 7 yds to the WVU 35

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Jahiem White run for 8 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.28

Jahiem White run for 17 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jahiem White run for 6 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.05

Jahiem White run for 8 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Rodney Gallagher run for 2 yds to the CIN 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 6 yds to the CIN 18

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.24

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CIN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 18

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Garrett Greene run for 18 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Myles Montgomery run for 4 yds to the CIN 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 45 yds, downed at the WVU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 20 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 20 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.98

Jahiem White run for 14 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Jahiem White run for 16 yds to the CIN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jahiem White run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 61 yds , return for no gain to the CIN 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 9

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 21

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.47

Emory Jones sacked by Mike Lockhart for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 15

3rd & 15Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +4.51

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 55 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 30 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Jahiem White run for 21 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +1.99

Jahiem White run for 47 yds to the CIN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

West Virginia Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CIN 12

1st & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the CIN 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 2 yds to the CIN 8

3rd & 8Penalty-15 yds

GREENE, Garrett pass to the left complete for 8 yards to TAYLOR, Kole caught at the CIN0 and advanced to the CIN0, TOUCHDOWN WVU, score nullified by penalty, clock 08:57 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY WVU Tripping on WHITE, Jahiem enforced 15 yards from the CIN8 to the CIN23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 23Pass Interception Return+16 ydsPPA -2.08

Garrett Greene pass intercepted Ken Willis return for 16 yds to the CIN 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.59

Ryan Montgomery run for 16 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Emory Jones) to the CIN 23

2nd & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the CIN 30

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the CIN 38

4th & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.85

Emory Jones run for 25 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the WVU 29

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the WVU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

JONES, Emory pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PRATER, Evan thrown to the WVU0. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on BISHOP JR., Beanie enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the WVU7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 7 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the WVU 32

3rd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.63

Jahiem White run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CIN 48

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the CIN 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CIN 41

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.95

Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.56

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 26 yds to the CIN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

[SG] Kneel down by WVU at CIN13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

West Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
65%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays