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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
UCFUCF
23
-Final
24
Texas TechTexas Tech
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas Tech by 6.8

Home Win Probability

Texas Tech 64%

Market (Bovada)

Texas Tech -2

Edge: Texas Tech -2 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
1400923
Texas TechTexas Tech
0147324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-147-1414-1421-1724-1724-23
Texas TechUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFTTUCFTTUCFTTUCFTTUCFTTUCFTTUCFTTUCFTTUCFTTUCFTTTD875ydDOWNS662ydPUNT633ydDOWNS552ydTD1170ydTD646ydPUNT1025ydTD893ydEND1273ydPUNT517ydPUNT419ydTO525ydMISS932ydPUNT420ydTO10ydTD541ydFG1168ydFG942ydTD275ydEND1148yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Texas Tech
StatisticUCFTexas Tech
Passing16-3221-35
Pass Yards248256
Rush Yards238190
Total Yards486446
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-143-9
Penalties8-647-58
Possession31:5728:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
John Rhys Plumlee
16/32, 248 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
John Rhys Plumlee
13 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Javon Baker
4 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas Tech
passing
Behren Morton
21/35, 256 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tahj Brooks
24 CAR, 182 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier White
3 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 5 yds to the UCF 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.19

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 13 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 9 yds to the TTU 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.66

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 39 yds to the TTU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

2nd & 5Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.02

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 49 yds to the UCF 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 8 yds to the UCF 8

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the UCF 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 5 yds to the TTU 35

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Behren Morton pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 6

2nd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

John Rhys Plumlee run for 15 yds to the UCF 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.48

RJ Harvey run for 18 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the UCF 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.48

Tahj Brooks run for 46 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds to the UCF 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.60

Behren Morton pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 16 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Randy Pittman for 6 yds to the TTU 47

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.03

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 18 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the TTU 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 7 yds to the TTU 27

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 28

4th & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.42

Colton Boomer run for 24 yds to the TTU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the TTU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Tahj Brooks run for 14 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 13 yds to the UCF 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MORTON, Behren pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to CUPP, Baylor caught at the UCF6 and advanced to the UCF6, out of bounds. PENALTY TTU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SPENCER, Cole enforced 5 yards from the UCF10 to the UCF15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 15 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Johnny Richardson run for 9 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

John Rhys Plumlee run for 7 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.87

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 7 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alec Holler) to the UCF 42

1st & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

John Rhys Plumlee run for 6 yds to the UCF 48

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Braeden Marshall) to the UCF 43

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

John Rhys Plumlee run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 12 yds to the TTU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Behren Morton run for 8 yds to the TTU 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 6 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 28

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TTU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 48

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MORTON, Behren pass up the middle complete for 0 yards to BROWN, Jordan caught at the UCF40 and advanced to the TTU48 (THORNTON, Corey). PENALTY TTU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WILBURN, Dennis enforced 5 yards from the TTU48 to the TTU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.01

Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 10 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 2 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.59

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 26 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 19 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the UCF 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

John Rhys Plumlee run for 6 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.86

Johnny Richardson run for 24 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.14

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 11 yds to the TTU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the TTU 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.14

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the TTU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Xavier Townsend run for 11 yds to the TTU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 3 yds to the TTU 2

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 40 yds , Nehemiah Martinez I return for no gain to the TTU 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TTU 28

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 3 yds to the TTU 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the TTU 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 53 yds , returns for no gain to the UCF 6

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds to the UCF 14

2nd & 2Penalty+10 yds

PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BAKER, Javon thrown to the UCF49. PENALTY TTU Holding enforced 10 yards from the UCF14 to the UCF24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Kobe thrown to the UCF37. PENALTY UCF Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GRABLE, Tylan enforced 5 yards from the UCF24 to the UCF19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

HARVEY, RJ rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the UCF24 (RODRIGUEZ, Jacob;ADEDIRE, Joseph). PENALTY UCF Holding on GRABLE, Tylan enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the UCF19 to the UCF10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 24Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the UCF 14

3rd & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.09

John Rhys Plumlee run for 11 yds to the UCF 25

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Xavier White at the TTU 35

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BROOKS, Tahj rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the TTU40 (JOHNSON, Jason). PENALTY TTU Holding on STAATS, Rusty enforced 10 yards from the TTU35 to the TTU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.81

Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 22 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Tahj Brooks run for 11 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the UCF 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 40

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+28 ydsPPA -2.19

Behren Morton pass intercepted Monroe Mills return for 28 yds to the TTU 47

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the TTU 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Mark-Antony Richards run for 1 yd to the TTU 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.21

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 7 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.92

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 13 yds to the TTU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 5 yds to the TTU 15

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Colton Boomer 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 16 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for no gain to the TTU 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 19

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+4 ydsPPA -0.56

John Rhys Plumlee pass intercepted C.J. Baskerville return for 4 yds to the UCF 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Behren Morton pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 17 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UCF 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 6 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Tahj Brooks run for 13 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.35

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 19 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

RJ Harvey run for 14 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

John Rhys Plumlee run for 6 yds to the TTU 34

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the TTU 33

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

QB Keeper PLUMLEE, John Rhys rush up the middle for no gain to the TTU26 (COLE, Myles). PENALTY TTU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on MCALPINE, Trevon enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the TTU26 to the TTU13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

John Rhys Plumlee run for no gain to the TTU 13

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

John Rhys Plumlee run for 6 yds to the TTU 7

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

Colton Boomer 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Tahj Brooks run for 13 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 12 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the UCF 38

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Behren Morton run for no gain to the UCF 33

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+51 yds

Gino Garcia 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.19

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 71 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.72

Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MORTON, Behren pass to the right incomplete intended for THARP, Mason thrown to the UCF40. PENALTY Before the snap, UCF Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the TTU50 to the UCF45. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

[SG] Kneel down by TTU at UCF26 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

[SG] Kneel down by TTU at UCF27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
48%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
80%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
88%
8 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
61%
28 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play