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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 3

Home Win Probability

Kansas 43%

Market (Bovada)

Kansas +7

Edge: Kansas +7 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
798731
KansasKansas
7137027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-713-920-1627-1627-2427-31
KansasKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSKSKANKSKANKSKANKSKANKSKANKSKANKSKANKSKANKSKANKSPUNT3-12ydTD575ydPUNT39ydPUNT739ydTD1182ydPUNT39ydTD876ydTD875ydTD1375ydEND13ydTD365ydPUNT37ydPUNT36ydTD1087ydTO3-2ydTO415ydUncategorized511ydTD655ydTO864ydEND1112yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and Kansas
StatisticKansas StateKansas
Passing13-2411-16
Pass Yards165162
Rush Yards166234
Total Yards331396
Turnovers13
3rd Down8-155-11
Penalties2-305-59
Possession26:4033:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Will Howard
13/24, 165 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
DJ Giddens
21 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jayce Brown
4 REC, 96 YDS
defense
Kansas
passing
Cole Ballard
11/16, 162 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Devin Neal
18 CAR, 138 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Mason Fairchild
1 REC, 59 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 21

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jayce Brown

3rd & 16Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Howard sacked by Austin Booker for a loss of 6 yards to the KSU 15

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.29

Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 46 yds to the KU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.27

DJ Giddens run for 18 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jayce Brown

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.11

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 11 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the KU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Damon Greaves punt for 48 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KSU 12

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.59

DJ Giddens run for 12 yds to the KSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 4 yds to the KSU 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the KSU 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.80

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 9 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will pass incomplete short left to Brooks,Phillip PENALTY KAN Holding (Grant,Marvin) 10 yards from KSU39 to KSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the KU 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the KU 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Cole Ballard pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 12 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Ballard pass complete to Sevion Morrison for 5 yds to the KU 35

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.10

Cole Ballard pass complete to Luke Grimm for 8 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 45

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.06

Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Devin Neal

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Torry Locklin run for 5 yds to the KSU 44

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cole Ballard run for 3 yds to the KSU 41

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.18

Cole Ballard pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 5 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Devin Neal run for 36 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the KSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 6 yds to the KSU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 26

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+27 ydsPPA +2.97

Cole Ballard run for 27 yds to the KSU 47 Cole Ballard fumbled, recovered by KU Jared Casey for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the KSU 39

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KSU 40

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.10

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.55

Cole Ballard pass complete to Luke Grimm for 33 yds to the KSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+6 yds

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the KSU 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Devin Neal 9 Yd Run (Seth Keller PAT blocked)

0th & 0Defensive 2pt Conversion+91 yds

Keenan Garber Defensive PAT Conversion

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

DJ Giddens run for 14 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 9 yds to the KSU 48

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will pass incomplete short left to Jackson,Jadon, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KAN Pass Interference (Bryant,Cobee) 14 yards from KAN44 to KAN30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the KU 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for no gain to the KU 23

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Will Howard pass incomplete to DJ Giddens

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.27

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jayce Brown

4th & 3Penalty+10 yds

(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will pass incomplete short right to Brown,Jayce PENALTY KAN Holding (Dotson,Ra'Mello) 10 yards from KAN23 to KAN13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KU 11

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.71

Keagan Johnson 11 Yd pass from Will Howard (Chris Tennant Kick)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Cole Ballard sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 8 yards to the KU 17

2nd & 18Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Devin Neal run for 17 yds to the KU 34

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Torry Locklin run for 10 yds to the KU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Cole Ballard pass complete to Sevion Morrison for 12 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Ballard pass complete to Luke Grimm for 3 yds to the KSU 39

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the KSU 33

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.43

Cole Ballard run for 1 yd to the KSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Cole Ballard run for 3 yds to the KSU 29

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(01:03) Shotgun Ballard,Cole pass incomplete deep right to Arnold,Lawrence, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Garber,Keenan) 15 yards from KSU20 to KSU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Torry Locklin

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cole Ballard run for no gain to the KSU 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Lawrence Arnold 5 Yd pass from Cole Ballard (Seth Keller Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY KSU Roughing The Passer (Romaine,Austin) 15 yards from KAN35 to KAN50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.19

Cole Ballard pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 59 yds to the KSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KSU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Devin Neal 2 Yd Run (Seth Keller Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 6 yds to the KSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Will Howard pass incomplete to DJ Giddens

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Quentin Skinner

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Damon Greaves punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +4.13

Treshaun Ward run for 52 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jadon Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the KU 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 13 yds to the KU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KU 13

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KU 13

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Phillip Brooks run for 8 yds to the KU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

DJ Giddens 1 Yd Run (Will Howard Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 59 yds , Kenny Logan Jr. return for 34 yds to the KU 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 36

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the KU 38

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Ballard pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 12 yds to the KU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the KU 40

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.33

Will Howard pass intercepted Mello Dotson return for no gain to the KU 30

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Devin Neal run for 14 yds to the KU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:08) Shotgun Ballard,Cole rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSU43 (Moore,Austin), out of bounds PENALTY KAN Holding (Baynes,Kobe) 10 yards from KSU46 to KAN44. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 46

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 48

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Cole Ballard run for 8 yds to the KSU 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Damon Greaves punt for 32 yds

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Damon Greaves punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 42

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Will Howard run for 6 yds to the KSU 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.15

Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 29 yds to the KU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KU 15

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Phillip Brooks run for no gain to the KU 15

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.73

Will Howard 15 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KU 31

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Devin Neal run for 17 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.07

Cole Ballard pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 18 yds to the KSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.37

Cole Ballard run for 18 yds to the KSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.96

Cole Ballard sacked by Beau Palmer for a loss of 7 yards to the KSU 23

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Ballard pass complete to Devin Neal for 2 yds to the KSU 21

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Cole Ballard run for 10 yds to the KSU 11

4th & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -3.75

Cole Ballard pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Will Howard run for 3 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 37

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.46

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the KU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-16 ydsPPA -3.63

W. Howard takes a knee

2nd & 26Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.36

W. Howard takes a knee

3rd & 32Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.05

W. Howard takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
26 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
71%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Kansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
55%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play