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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oklahoma State by 5.2

Home Win Probability

UCF 40%

Market (Bovada)

UCF +2

Edge: Oklahoma State -2 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oklahoma StateOklahoma State
00303
UCFUCF
141014745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-017-024-024-338-345-3
UCFOklahoma State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSUCFOSTD875ydTO432ydTD457ydTO852ydFG1265ydPUNT38ydTD382ydPUNT42ydDOWNS841ydPUNT31ydPUNT33ydTO218ydEND322ydFG1368ydTO2-1ydTO20ydTD192ydDOWNS49ydTD760ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1048ydTD892ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydDOWNS618ydEND317yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oklahoma State and UCF
StatisticOklahoma StateUCF
Passing19-3912-19
Pass Yards225299
Rush Yards52293
Total Yards277592
Turnovers41
3rd Down2-126-12
Penalties5-454-40
Possession25:1534:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oklahoma State
passing
Alan Bowman
19/36, 225 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Ollie Gordon
12 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Rashod Owens
6 REC, 85 YDS
defense
UCF
passing
John Rhys Plumlee
11/18, 299 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
RJ Harvey
24 CAR, 206 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Javon Baker
4 REC, 112 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.98

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 37 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the OKST 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the OKST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the OKST 19

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.31

RJ Harvey run for 18 yds to the OKST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the OKST 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

John Rhys Plumlee run for no gain to the OKST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

RJ Harvey 1 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.52

Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 21 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 9 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.14

Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the UCF 43 Ollie Gordon II fumbled, recovered by UCF Demari Henderson, returned 0 yards to the UCF43, End of Play, clock 10:19.

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.86

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 38 yds to the OKST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

John Rhys Plumlee run for 5 yds to the OKST 14

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 7 yds to the OKST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 7 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 13 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 9 yds to the OKST 48

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (Rashod Owens) to the OKST 43

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.74

Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 14 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 9 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA -0.09

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 21 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BOWMAN, Alan scrambles up the middle for a gain of 10 yards to the UCF3 (MARTINEZ, Nikai). PENALTY OSU Holding on WILSON, Preston enforced 10 yards from the UCF13 to the UCF23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Interception0 ydsPPA -3.78

Alan Bowman pass intercepted by UCF Braeden Marshall, returned 10 yards to the UCF 22.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 20

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the UCF 22

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Braeden Marshall) to the UCF 17

3rd & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.98

John Rhys Plumlee run for 17 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.78

Kobe Hudson sacked by Kendal Daniels for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 26

2nd & 18Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

John Rhys Plumlee run for 12 yds to the UCF 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.75

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 38 yds to the OKST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.91

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 28

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Johnny Richardson run for no gain to the OKST 28

3rd & 14Penalty0 yds

PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Kobe broken up by MCKINNEY, D.J. at the OSU0. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on MCKINNEY, D.J. enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the OSU13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Colton Boomer 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 44

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hudson Kaak punt for 32 yds, downed at the UCF 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 21

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the UCF 25

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.77

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 75 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 10 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.64

run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 30

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the OKST 38

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

Oklahoma State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Alan Bowman) to the OKST 27

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Hudson Kaak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 36

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.58

RJ Harvey run for 15 yds to the OKST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.29

RJ Harvey run for 13 yds to the OKST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Johnny Richardson run for no gain to the OKST 27

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the OKST 23

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

John Rhys Plumlee run for no gain to the OKST 23

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.97

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hudson Kaak punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 35

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the UCF 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 18 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.95

Alan Bowman pass intercepted by UCF Demari Henderson, no return.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

run for 2 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 49

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Kobe thrown to the OSU24; QB hurried by LATU, Nathan. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on BLACK, Korie enforced 15 yards to the OSU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 5 yds to the OKST 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 9 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 46

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 15 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.51

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds to the UCF 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 9 yds to the UCF 12

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the UCF 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 3 yds to the UCF 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Alex Hale 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 26

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.51

John Rhys Plumlee sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 24 fumble on the sack (forced by Collin Oliver), recovered by OSU Xavier Benson at the UCF24, returned 0 yards to the UCF24,

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.88

Alan Bowman pass intercepted by UCF Demari Henderson, returned for 0 yards to the UCF 8.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+92 ydsPPA +6.85

RJ Harvey run for 92 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 61 yds , return for no gain to the UCF 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the UCF 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the UCF 40

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.05

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.05

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the UCF 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the UCF 48

3rd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.15

RJ Harvey run for 18 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.40

RJ Harvey run for 21 yds to the OKST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.26

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 14 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the OKST 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hudson Kaak punt for 44 yds, downed at the UCF 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 10

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Xavier Townsend run for 1 yd to the UCF 11

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 44

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Jaden Nixon run for 18 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.48

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds to the UCF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Alan Bowman run for 1 yd to the UCF 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the UCF 17

4th & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.27

Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the UCF 7

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.70

Alan Bowman pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.57

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 37 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

John Rhys Plumlee run for 10 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the OKST 36

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.59

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 32 yds to the OKST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

RJ Harvey 2 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the OKST 32

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Garret Rangel pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hudson Kaak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 28

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 28

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 9 yds to the UCF 37

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UCF 32

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Garret Rangel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Sesi Vailahi run for 3 yds to the OKST 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Garret Rangel pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hudson Kaak punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Mark-Antony Richards run for 3 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Mark-Antony Richards run for 7 yds to the OKST 43

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.76

Timmy McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Sesi Vailahi run for 2 yds to the OKST 46

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Sesi Vailahi run for 7 yds to the UCF 47

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.28

Sesi Vailahi run for 8 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Oklahoma State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
6 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
47%
30 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
18%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play