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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2023Week 11
TexasTexas
29
-Final
26
TCUTCU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 12.7

Home Win Probability

TCU 20%

Market (Bovada)

TCU +13

Edge: TCU +13 (0.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TexasTexas
7190329
TCUTCU
6002026

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-76-106-136-196-2613-2919-2926-29
TCUTexas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TEXTCUTEXTCUTEXTCUTEXTEXTCUTEXTCUTEXTCUTEXTCUTCUTEXTCUTEXTCUTEXTCUTEXTCUTEXPUNT38ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS523ydFG729ydTD275ydFG537ydTO414ydFG652ydPUNT38ydFG943ydPUNT513ydTD1385ydTO10ydTD543ydEND327ydPUNT928ydPUNT517ydDOWNS1262ydPUNT636ydTD674ydFG1044ydTD975ydPUNT36ydTD336ydEND639yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas and TCU
StatisticTexasTCU
Passing22-3324-36
Pass Yards317302
Rush Yards16588
Total Yards482390
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-133-11
Penalties7-596-51
Possession34:1825:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas
passing
Quinn Ewers
22/33, 317 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jonathon Brooks
21 CAR, 104 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Xavier Worthy
10 REC, 137 YDS
defense
TCU
passing
Josh Hoover
24/36, 302 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Emani Bailey
21 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Savion Williams
11 REC, 164 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the TEX 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jonathon Brooks run for 7 yds to the TEX 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier Worthy

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 6 yds to the TCU 38

2nd & 4Penalty-14 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,JP rush left for 1 yard gain to the TCU39 (Ford,Jaylan) PENALTY TCU Personal Foul (Williams,Savion) 14 yards from TCU38 to TCU24. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jaylon Robinson

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jaylon Robinson

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jaylon Robinson

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the TEX 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 14 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the TEX 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds to the TCU 48

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Savion Red run for no gain to the TCU 48

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Emani Bailey run for 11 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 4 yds to the TEX 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 9 yds to the TEX 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Savion Williams run for 7 yds to the TEX 21

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the TEX 22

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the TEX 23

4th & 5Field Goal Good+41 yds

Griffin Kell 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+73 ydsPPA +4.86

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 73 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 34 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start (Coleman,Brandon) 5 yards from UT41 to UT46. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

JP Richardson run for 2 yds to the TEX 29

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.53

Josh Hoover sacked by T'Vondre Sweat for a loss of 9 yards to the TEX 38

3rd & 17Penalty0 yds

TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

4th & 17Field Goal Good+56 yds

Griffin Kell 56 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

CJ Baxter run for 5 yds to the TEX 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TEX 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 7 yds to the TEX 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.14

Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Millard Bradford fumbled, recovered by TEX Xavier Worthy No Huddle-Shotgun Ewers,Quinn pass intercepted by Bradford,Millard at TCU24 Bradford,Millard return 40 yards to the UT38 fumbled by Bradford,Millard at UT38 forced by Whittington,Jordan recovered by UT Worthy,Xavier at UT36, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jonathon Brooks run for 6 yds to the TEX 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.21

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 45 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the TCU 12

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Quinn Ewers run for no gain to the TCU 12

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Adonai Mitchell

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 yds

Bert Auburn 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jaylon Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 4 yds to the TCU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 4 yds to the TCU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.37

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 19 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ja'Tavion Sanders

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TCU 41

3rd & 13Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Ewers,Quinn pass incomplete short right to Whittington,Jordan PENALTY TCU Holding (Newton,Josh) 10 yards from TCU41 to TCU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jonathon Brooks run for 7 yds to the TCU 24

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonathon Brooks run for 6 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the TCU 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

pass complete to for 7 yds to the TCU 9

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the TCU 9

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 yds

Bert Auburn 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 1 yd to the TCU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 11 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.10

Josh Hoover sacked by Byron Murphy II for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 27

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TCU 30

3rd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 8 yds to the TCU 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the TEX 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 3 yds to the TEX 13

3rd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.79

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 19 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds to the TEX 34

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Ewers,Quinn pass incomplete short left to Worthy,Xavier PENALTY TCU Holding (Newton,Josh) 10 yards from UT34 to UT44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Baxter run for 4 yds to the TEX 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CJ Baxter run for 5 yds to the TCU 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 11 yds to the TCU 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.54

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 18 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 8 yds to the TCU 13

3rd & 2Penalty+7 yds

PENALTY TCU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Clark,Bud) 7 yards from TCU13 to TCU06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Josh Hoover pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the TCU 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.16

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 4 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 11 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jonathon Brooks run for 22 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Emani Bailey run for 17 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Savion Williams

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.03

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 10 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the TCU 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 9 yds to the TCU 44

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the TEX 46

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.11

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the TEX 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to JP Richardson

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Josh Hoover sacked by Trill Carter for a loss of 5 yards to the TEX 47 Josh Hoover fumbled, recovered by TCU John Lanz , return for 0 yards

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the TEX 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jonathon Brooks run for 6 yds to the TEX 16

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.25

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 5 yds to the TEX 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Adonai Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Jonathon Brooks run for 9 yds to the TEX 30

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 3 yds to the TEX 27

4th & 4Punt+11 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds , JP Richardson returns for 11 yds to the TCU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 4 yds to the TCU 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Josh Hoover pass complete to JoJo Earle for 3 yds to the TCU 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.84

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 25 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 2 yds to the TEX 30

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the TEX 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 10 yds to the TEX 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the TEX 9

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the TEX 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the TEX 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TEX 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Savion Williams

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jaylon Robinson

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.70

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 20 yds to the TEX 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Adonai Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 12 yds to the TEX 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the TEX 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier Worthy

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 26

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start 5 yards from TCU26 to TCU21. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TCU 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.94

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 42 yds to the TEX 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TEX 30

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TEX 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 11 yds to the TEX 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Emani Bailey run for 17 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

CJ Baxter run for 9 yds to the TEX 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

CJ Baxter run for 7 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the TEX 44

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Jonathon Brooks run for 7 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the TCU 45

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.80

Jonathon Brooks run for 7 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

CJ Baxter run for 1 yd to the TCU 37

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

CJ Baxter run for 6 yds to the TCU 31

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

CJ Baxter run for no gain to the TCU 31

4th & 3Field Goal Good+49 yds

Bert Auburn 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emani Bailey run for no gain to the TCU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 12 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.47

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 46 yds to the TEX 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 8 yds to the TEX 9

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Trent Battle run for 4 yds to the TEX 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Blake Nowell

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TEX 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to DJ Rogers

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the TEX 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TEX 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Quinn Ewers pass complete to CJ Baxter for 1 yd to the TEX 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jared Wiley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.18

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 22 yds to the TEX 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 14 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 65 yds , DeAndre Moore Jr. return for 15 yds to the TEX 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 3 yds to the TEX 18

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

CJ Baxter run for 4 yds to the TEX 13

3rd & 12Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.30

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 35 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the TCU 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Baxter run for 4 yds to the TCU 45

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

CJ Baxter run for 1 yd to the TCU 46

Situational Analysis

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
35%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
8 plays
57%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays