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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 5.4

Home Win Probability

UCF 64%

Market (Bovada)

UCF -6.5

Edge: West Virginia +6.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
West VirginiaWest Virginia
10771741
UCFUCF
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-107-1714-1721-2421-3828-41
UCFWest Virginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WVUCFWVUCFWVUCFWVUCFWVUCFUCFWVUCFWVUCFWVUCFWVUCFWVUCFWVTD975ydTD975ydFG1071ydTO838ydTD1064ydTD1075ydTO837ydTO10ydPUNT36ydEND450ydTO743ydTD868ydTD875ydPUNT514ydTO49ydTD427ydPUNT35ydTD766ydDOWNS47ydFG79ydTD1180ydEND528yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing West Virginia and UCF
StatisticWest VirginiaUCF
Passing15-2425-36
Pass Yards164274
Rush Yards286189
Total Yards450463
Turnovers14
3rd Down7-159-12
Penalties4-356-56
Possession36:0623:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

West Virginia
passing
Garrett Greene
14/23, 156 YDS
rushing
CJ Donaldson
17 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devin Carter
3 REC, 47 YDS
defense
UCF
passing
John Rhys Plumlee
25/36, 274 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
rushing
RJ Harvey
14 CAR, 100 YDS
receiving
Kobe Hudson
3 REC, 66 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Jahiem White run for 11 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 4 yds to the WVU 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the WVU 45

4th & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.31

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 21 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 9 yds to the UCF 25

2nd & 1Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.15

Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 19 yds to the UCF 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Garrett Greene run for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 11 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 40

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.47

RJ Harvey run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the WVU 45

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.03

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 8 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVU 43

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the WVU 39

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the WVU 34

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +4.01

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 34 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Garrett Greene run for 11 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher for 7 yds to the WVU 41

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

GREENE, Garrett pass up the middle incomplete intended for HORTON, EJ thrown to the UCF45. PENALTY UCF Pass Interference on ADAMS, Brandon enforced 15 yards to the UCF44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher for 13 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the UCF 28

3rd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.26

Jahiem White run for 19 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCF 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCF 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Michael Hayes 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 6 yds to the UCF 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 3 yds to the UCF 34

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Johnny Richardson run for 17 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the WVU 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the WVU 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the WVU 40

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.90

John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.95

John Rhys Plumlee pass intercepted by Beanie Bishop Jr., at the WVU5, return for 31 yards to the WVU36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.95

Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 14 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Rodney Gallagher run for 11 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 6 yds to the UCF 29

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 14 yds to the UCF 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jahiem White run for 6 yds to the UCF 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jahiem White run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Johnny Richardson run for no gain to the UCF 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 7 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jarrad Baker run for 2 yds to the UCF 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the UCF 45

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.14

RJ Harvey run for 29 yds to the WVU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the WVU 18

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

John Rhys Plumlee run for 10 yds to the WVU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Rodney Gallagher run for 2 yds to the WVU 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.88

Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 14 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 38

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the UCF 36

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -2.33

Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jaylen Anderson for a loss of 2 yards Jaylen Anderson fumbled, recovered by UCF Demari Henderson

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.14

John Rhys Plumlee pass intercepted by Marcis Floyd, at the WVU42, return for 0 yards to the WVU42

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 2 yds to the WVU 44

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trent Whittemore at the UCF 11

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.91

John Rhys Plumlee run for 17 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-11 yds

PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Kobe thrown to the UCF41. PENALTY UCF Holding on HARVEY, RJ enforced 11 yards from the UCF28 to the UCF17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 21Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.20

RJ Harvey run for 21 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 4 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.98

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 19 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 17 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 3 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the WVU 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Randy Pittman for 13 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the WVU 32

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -3.71

John Rhys Plumlee pass intercepted by Beanie Bishop Jr., at the WVU12, return for 20 yards to the WVU32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the WVU 40

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.68

Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 28 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 9 yds to the UCF 20

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.43

Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Garrett Greene pass complete to EJ Horton for 6 yds to the UCF 7

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Garrett Greene run for 7 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 16 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 8 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.02

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 25 yds to the WVU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.47

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 16 yds to the WVU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the WVU 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 7 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 28

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (Malachi Lawrence) to the WVU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 48

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.31

Garrett Greene sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WVU 39

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 43 yds, downed at the UCF 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jarrad Baker run for 5 yds to the UCF 23

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the UCF 36

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.70

John Rhys Plumlee sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 27 John Rhys fumbled, forced by Lee Kpogba, recovered by WVU Jalen Thornton

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.69

Garrett Greene run for 21 yds to the UCF 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the UCF 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

West Virginia Penalty, Offsides (Sean Martin) to the UCF 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 34

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.40

Jahiem White run for 32 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the UCF 28

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the UCF 26

4th & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.29

Garrett Greene pass complete to EJ Horton for 13 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 7 yds fumbled, forced by Demari Henderson, recovered by WVU Tomas Rimac

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.24

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

John Rhys Plumlee run for 5 yds to the UCF 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 27

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCF 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Rodney Gallagher run for 2 yds to the UCF 13

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

WHITE, Jahiem rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the UCF0, TOUCHDOWN WVU, score nullified by penalty, clock 05:23 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY WVU Holding on TAYLOR, Kole enforced 10 yards from the UCF13 to the UCF23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+41 yds

Michael Hayes 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass short to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Kobe thrown to the UCF21. PENALTY UCF Holding on GRABLE, Tylan enforced 10 yards from the UCF20 to the UCF10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.52

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 16 yds to the UCF 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.57

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 9 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 4 yds to the UCF 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.13

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 6 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Randy Pittman for 6 yds to the WVU 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Randy Pittman for 7 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Mark-Antony Richards for 11 yds to the WVU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Kobe thrown to the WVU0. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on WILSON, Anthony enforced 15 yards to the WVU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.28

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 16 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

West Virginia Penalty, False Start (Kole Taylor) to the UCF 49

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 9Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.64

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 32 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

[NHSG] Kneel down by WVU at UCF13 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

[NHSG] Kneel down by WVU at UCF15 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by WVU at UCF16 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

West Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
53%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
32 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
10 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays