Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
TexasTexas
31
-Final
24
HoustonHouston
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 13.4

Home Win Probability

Houston 17%

Market (Bovada)

Houston +23

Edge: Houston +23 (9.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TexasTexas
1473731
HoustonHouston
0147324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-140-217-2121-2121-2424-2424-31
HoustonTexas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TEXHOUTEXHOUTEXHOUTEXHOUTEXHOUTEXHOUTEXHOUTEXHOUTEXHOUTEXHOUTEXHOUTEXTD1175ydPUNT3-4ydTD462ydPUNT34ydPUNT37ydPUNT413ydTD958ydPUNT515ydPUNT31ydTD471ydDOWNS730ydTD975ydEND1-8ydTD649ydDOWNS1031ydTO3-6ydFG1131ydTO1247ydPUNT37ydFG768ydTD653ydDOWNS1065ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas and Houston
StatisticTexasHouston
Passing25-3232-46
Pass Yards219378
Rush Yards14114
Total Yards360392
Turnovers02
3rd Down3-124-13
Penalties6-601-15
Possession31:5828:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas
passing
Quinn Ewers
23/29, 211 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jonathon Brooks
20 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Xavier Worthy
6 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Houston
passing
Donovan Smith
32/46, 378 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Parker Jenkins
9 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Joseph Manjack
6 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 10 yds to the TEX 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 6 yds to the TEX 41

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Jonathon Brooks run for 11 yds to the HOU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEX 47

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the HOU 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.29

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 8 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Quinn Ewers pass complete to CJ Baxter for 4 yds to the HOU 34

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

CJ Baxter run for 4 yds to the HOU 30

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.60

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 16 yds to the HOU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 14 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Donovan Smith sacked by Alfred Collins for a loss of 8 yards to the HOU 17

3rd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 4 yds to the HOU 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jonathon Brooks run for 9 yds to the TEX 47

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.18

Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 7 yds to the HOU 42

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.19

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 42 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the HOU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the TEX 27

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the TEX 28

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Quinn Ewers run for 6 yds to the TEX 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 10 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 37

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Donovan Smith pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 5 yds to the HOU 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 16 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinn Ewers pass complete to CJ Baxter for 4 yds to the TEX 46

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.38

CJ Baxter run for 11 yds to the HOU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BAXTER, CJ rush up the middle for a gain of 10 yards to the HOU33 (HAULCY, A.J.). PENALTY UT Holding on HELM, Gunnar enforced 10 yards from the HOU43 to the UT47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.38

Jonathon Brooks run for 11 yds to the HOU 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.47

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 23 yds to the HOU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 7 yds to the HOU 12

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the HOU 10

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.87

CJ Baxter run for 6 yds to the HOU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the HOU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Savion Red 1 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 4 yds to the HOU 19

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

SMITH, Donovan pass to the left complete for 5 yards to BROWN, Samuel caught at the HOU18 and advanced to the HOU24 (THOMPSON, Jerrin;BROUGHTON, Vernon). PENALTY UT Offsides on FINKLEY, Justice enforced 5 yards from the HOU19 to the HOU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds to the HOU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Joseph Manjack IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 24

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 6 yds to the HOU 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 46 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for no gain to the TEX 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the TEX 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the TEX 26

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.49

Quinn Ewers sacked by Jamaree Caldwell for a loss of 5 yards to the TEX 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 47 yds , returns for no gain to the HOU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 13 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 5 yds to the HOU 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.58

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 21 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 32 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 7 yds to the HOU 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 8 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 10 yds to the HOU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the HOU 29

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds to the HOU 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Quinn Ewers pass complete to CJ Baxter for 1 yd to the HOU 26

4th & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -2.72

Ryan Sanborn pass complete to Bert Auburn for 1 yd to the HOU 25

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Donovan Smith sacked by Ethan Burke for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 24

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Parker Jenkins run for 12 yds to the HOU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 3 yds to the HOU 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Donovan Smith pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 7 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for no gain to the HOU 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.19

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 16 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 17 yds to the TEX 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 21 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Quinn Ewers sacked by Jamaree Caldwell for a loss of 8 yards to the TEX 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Will Stone kickoff for 59 yds , return for no gain to the TEX 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 11 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 2 yds to the TEX 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.58

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 35 yds to the TEX 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jonathon Brooks run for 8 yds to the TEX 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 3 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the TEX 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 3 yds to the TEX 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Quinn Ewers run for no gain to the TEX 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.24

run for 3 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 6 yds to the HOU 44

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.52

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 3 yds to the HOU 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.34

Donovan Smith sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the HOU 38

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Quinn Ewers sacked by Nelson Ceaser for a loss of 4 yards to the HOU 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 1 yd to the HOU 41

3rd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.85

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 18 yds to the HOU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 4 yds to the HOU 19

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Quinn Ewers run for 4 yds to the HOU 15

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

run for 5 yds to the HOU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the HOU 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Bert Auburn 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 1 yd to the HOU 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.42

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 16 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 3 yds to the HOU 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.01

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 17 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matt Byrnes for 9 yds to the TEX 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Donovan Smith run for no gain to the TEX 31

4th & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 3 yds to the TEX 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.72

Donovan Smith pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the TEX 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the TEX 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Maalik Murphy pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 59 yds , returns for no gain to the HOU 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 8

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the HOU 12

3rd & 7Pass Reception+66 ydsPPA +4.57

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 51 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Personal Foul (Anthony Hill Jr.) to the TEX 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the TEX 20

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

Houston Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Matthew Golden) to the TEX 28

3rd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 5 yds to the TEX 23

4th & 11Field Goal Good+40 yds

Jack Martin 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jonathon Brooks run for 6 yds to the HOU 47

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.86

Jonathon Brooks run for 15 yds to the HOU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 7 yds to the HOU 25

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.09

Jonathon Brooks run for 7 yds to the HOU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds to the HOU 16

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.79

CJ Baxter run for 16 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 24 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Parker Jenkins run for 8 yds to the TEX 43

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Parker Jenkins run for no gain to the TEX 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.45

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 9 yds to the TEX 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 15 yds to the TEX 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds to the TEX 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Donovan Smith pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 7 yds to the TEX 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Stacy Sneed run for no gain to the TEX 10

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.03

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

[NH] Kneel down by MURPHY, Maalik at UT9 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

[NH] Kneel down by MURPHY, Maalik at UT8 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays