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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas Tech by 3.2

Home Win Probability

Texas Tech 56%

Market (Bovada)

Texas Tech -1

Edge: Texas Tech -1 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
10714738
Texas TechTexas Tech
0147021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-1014-1721-1721-2421-3121-38
Texas TechKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSTTKSFG850ydPUNT610ydPUNT524ydPUNT35ydTD559ydTD1475ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT520ydPUNT524ydTD780ydTD789ydEND1-1ydDOWNS621ydPUNT34ydTD1099ydTD975ydTO10ydTD111ydTO743ydPUNT22ydTO874ydTD1080ydDOWNS946ydEND631yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and Texas Tech
StatisticKansas StateTexas Tech
Passing14-1830-49
Pass Yards163298
Rush Yards272182
Total Yards435480
Turnovers03
3rd Down4-114-13
Penalties5-455-45
Possession32:4527:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Will Howard
6/9, 86 YDS
rushing
Treshaun Ward
15 CAR, 118 YDS
receiving
Ben Sinnott
6 REC, 72 YDS
defense
Texas Tech
passing
Jake Strong
16/28, 173 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Tahj Brooks
17 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Coy Eakin
5 REC, 102 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 7 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.95

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 22 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

DJ Giddens run for 11 yds to the TTU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the TTU 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Will Howard run for no gain to the TTU 29

4th & 5Field Goal Good+47 yds

Chris Tennant 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Behren Morton run for no gain to the TTU 26

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Behren Morton run for 10 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 36

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 40

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 35

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 42 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KSU 35 Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the KSU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 5 yds to the KSU 15

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.29

DJ Giddens run for 18 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 2 yds to the KSU 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for a loss of 7 yards to the TTU 8

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 12 yds to the TTU 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 41

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Avery Johnson run for 15 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Avery Johnson pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 11 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Treshaun Ward run for 18 yds to the TTU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Keagan Johnson run for 13 yds to the TTU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Avery Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Behren Morton pass complete to Jayden York for 8 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.64

Behren Morton pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 7 yds to the KSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 8 yds to the KSU 35

2nd & 2Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.56

Behren Morton sacked by Austin Romaine for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 38

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.32

Behren Morton run for 5 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.69

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 31 yds to the KSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 1 yd to the KSU 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for no gain to the KSU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Behren Morton run for 1 yd for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 5 yds to the KSU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 4 yds to the TTU 35

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Behren Morton sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 5 yards to the TTU 30

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.20

Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 8 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

HOWARD, Will pass to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Jadon thrown to the TTU49. PENALTY TTU Holding on DUNLAP, Malik enforced 10 yards from the KSU39 to the KSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the TTU 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the TTU 45

3rd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.18

Will Howard sacked by Jaylon Hutchings and Tony Bradford Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the KSU 47

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam'Ron Valdez run for 5 yds to the TTU 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.50

Behren Morton pass complete to Cam'Ron Valdez for 15 yds to the TTU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Cam'Ron Valdez run for 1 yd to the TTU 40

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.54

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 42 yds to the TTU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the TTU 31

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the TTU 26

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.56

Treshaun Ward run for 16 yds to the TTU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the TTU 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Avery Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the TTU 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Behren Morton pass complete to Cam'Ron Valdez for 9 yds to the TTU 20

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

Kansas State Penalty, Targeting on CLIFTON, Jake enforced (Jake Clifton) to the TTU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.17

Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 30 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Tahj Brooks run for 30 yds to the KSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by HOWARD, Will at KSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Jake Strong pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 10 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jake Strong pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Caleb Rogers) to the TTU 32

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jake Strong pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Tahj Brooks run for 13 yds to the TTU 45

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jake Strong pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the TTU 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Will Howard run for 8 yds to the TTU 36

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (DJ Giddens) to the TTU 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 40 yds, downed at the TTU 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 4

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Jake Strong pass complete to Myles Price for 13 yds to the TTU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 26

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 29 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.49

Jake Strong run for 54 yds to the KSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jake Strong pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jake Strong pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Cam'Ron Valdez run for 2 yds to the TTU 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jake Strong pass complete to Jordan Brown for 7 yds to the TTU 38

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Jake Strong pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the KSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Avery Johnson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds to the KSU 34

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

QB Keeper JOHNSON, Avery rush to the left for no gain to the KSU34 (LINTON, Steve). PENALTY TTU Face mask on LINTON, Steve enforced 15 yards from the KSU34 to the KSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BROOKS, Phillip rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the TTU49 (DUNLAP, Malik). PENALTY KSU Holding on SINNOTT, Ben enforced 10 yards from the KSU49 to the KSU39 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Avery Johnson pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 5 yds to the KSU 44

2nd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Treshaun Ward run for 14 yds to the TTU 42

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.33

Treshaun Ward run for 12 yds to the TTU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Avery Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 31

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the TTU 30

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.14

Avery Johnson run for 30 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jake Strong pass intercepted

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Avery Johnson run for 11 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Jake Strong pass complete to Myles Price for 8 yds to the TTU 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jake Strong pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the TTU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Strong pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.28

Jake Strong pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 16 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Jake Strong pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 9 yds to the KSU 47

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the KSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.65

Jake Strong pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

QB Keeper JOHNSON, Avery rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU34 (ADEDIRE, Joseph). PENALTY Before the snap, KSU False Start on SINNOTT, Ben enforced 5 yards from the end of the play at the KSU34 to the KSU29. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.30

Avery Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 27

3rd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Avery Johnson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 10 yds to the KSU 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Strong pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Strong pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Jake Strong pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 9 yds to the TTU 17

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.77

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.33

Jake Strong pass complete to Coy Eakin for 43 yds to the KSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the KSU 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.05

Jake Strong pass complete to Coy Eakin for 12 yds to the KSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.41

Jake Strong pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 10 yds to the KSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the KSU 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the KSU 39

3rd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.89

Avery Johnson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.05

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 21 yds to the TTU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the TTU 25

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.28

Treshaun Ward run for 10 yds to the TTU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Treshaun Ward run for 9 yds to the TTU 6

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.48

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the TTU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Avery Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Cam'Ron Valdez run for 14 yds to the TTU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Cam'Ron Valdez run for no gain to the TTU 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Jake Strong pass complete to Coy Eakin for 12 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jake Strong pass complete to Coy Eakin for 5 yds to the KSU 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.57

Jake Strong pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jake Strong pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Strong pass complete to Jordan Brown for 3 yds to the KSU 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jake Strong pass complete to Jordan Brown for 6 yds to the KSU 29

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.06

Cam'Ron Valdez run for no gain to the KSU 29

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Treshaun Ward run for 14 yds to the KSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the KSU 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the KSU 47

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.63

Avery Johnson run for 14 yds to the TTU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

[NHSG] Kneel down by KSU at TTU40 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

[NHSG] Kneel down by KSU at TTU40 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
59%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
67%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
38%
32 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
60%
5 plays