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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 2.4

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 53%

Market (Bovada)

Cincinnati -5

Edge: Iowa State +5 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
3146730
CincinnatiCincinnati
703010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-37-107-177-2010-2010-2310-30
CincinnatiIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISPUNT517ydPUNT931ydTO21ydFG623ydTD1075ydTD1559ydPUNT68ydTD581ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT36ydTO839ydFG712ydFG1456ydFG645ydPUNT3-3ydTD769ydPUNT514ydPUNT37ydDOWNS712ydEND525yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Cincinnati
StatisticIowa StateCincinnati
Passing15-2515-29
Pass Yards24199
Rush Yards123115
Total Yards364214
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-153-13
Penalties5-556-49
Possession33:4026:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
15/25, 241 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Eli Sanders
16 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Jayden Higgins
6 REC, 172 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Emory Jones
14/26, 96 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Emory Jones
15 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Chamon Metayer
4 REC, 43 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the CIN 29

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.56

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Emory Jones run for no gain to the CIN 34

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Aaron Turner run for 6 yds to the CIN 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the ISU 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the ISU 20

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.76

Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ISU 28

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ISU 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 15 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.84

Rocco Becht sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 44

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the CIN 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 17

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.03

Emory Jones pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Rocco Becht run for 7 yds to the CIN 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.02

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 15 yds to the CIN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the CIN 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 yds

Chase Contreraz 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 27

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Emory Jones run for 14 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Myles Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 5 yds to the CIN 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.40

Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

JONES, Emory pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HENDERSON, Xzavier thrown to the ISU26. PENALTY ISU Holding on PURCHASE, Myles enforced 10 yards from the ISU45 to the ISU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ISU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 5 yds to the ISU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the ISU 20

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 20 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ISU 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rocco Becht run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.06

Cartevious Norton run for 20 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 3 yds to the CIN 27

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (James Neal) to the CIN 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 8 yds to the CIN 24

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the CIN 20

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the CIN 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.00

Chase Contreraz run for 6 yds to the CIN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the CIN 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the CIN 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 26

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Personal Foul (Payten Singletary) to the CIN 22

2nd & 13Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.89

Emory Jones run for 14 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Aaron Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 33

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+75 ydsPPA +4.39

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 75 yds to the CIN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.75

Cartevious Norton run for 6 yds Iowa State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaylin Noel) to the CIN 12

1st & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 14

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.43

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 14 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emory Jones pass complete to Myles Montgomery for no gain to the CIN 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.28

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 25

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the CIN 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 4 yds to the ISU 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 2 yds to the ISU 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 19 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.28

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 17 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 3 yds to the ISU 41

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Emory Jones run for no gain to the ISU 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -1.19

Emory Jones pass intercepted, touchback.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the CIN 22

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the CIN 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the CIN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the CIN 16

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Eli Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 17

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Rocco Becht run for 1 yd to the CIN 16

4th & 9Field Goal Good+34 yds

Chase Contreraz 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 41

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 4 yds to the ISU 45

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the ISU 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for 3 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the ISU 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

JONES, Emory scrambles up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the ISU30 (FREYLER, Beau). PENALTY CIN Holding on WILLIAMS, John enforced 10 yards from the ISU32 to the ISU42 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the ISU 35

4th & 6Penalty0 yds

JONES, Emory pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WIGGINS, Dee thrown to the ISU10, clock 04:56. PENALTY ISU Holding on WILLIAMS, Jontez declined ISU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Jontez enforced 15 yards to the ISU20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the ISU 19

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+36 yds

Carter Brown 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.72

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 30 yds to the CIN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Eli Sanders run for 13 yds to the CIN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the CIN 12

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the CIN 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 yds

Chase Contreraz 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Emory Jones run for no gain to the CIN 27

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.33

Emory Jones sacked by Ikenna Ezeogu and Zach Lovett for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.41

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 31 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Eli Sanders run for 12 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the CIN 26

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.59

Rocco Becht sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 31

3rd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.44

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 13 yds to the CIN 18

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Offsides (Jordan Young) to the CIN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 13 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Emory Jones pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 3 yds to the CIN 26

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

JONES, Emory pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for METAYER, Chamon thrown to the CIN48. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on JAMES, Ta'Shawn enforced 15 yards to the CIN41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JONES, Emory pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HENDERSON, Xzavier thrown to the ISU7. PENALTY CIN Holding on GERHARDT, Gavin enforced 10 yards from the CIN41 to the CIN31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 3 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the CIN 42

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.76

Emory Jones sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 37

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the ISU 15

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

BECHT, Rocco pass to the right incomplete intended for NOEL, Jaylin thrown to the ISU30; QB hurried by JONES, Dorian. PENALTY ISU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on NEAL, James CIN Pass Interference on YOUNG, Jordan , Offsetting penalties [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the ISU 22

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the ISU 22

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 31 yds, downed at the CIN 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Braden Smith for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the ISU 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.00

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.88

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 44

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brady Lichtenberg run for 3 yds to the ISU 41

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brady Lichtenberg pass incomplete

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brady Lichtenberg pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Carson Hansen run for 12 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the CIN 46

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the CIN 42

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the CIN 42

4th & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.73

Carson Hansen run for 8 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
83%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play