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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

West Virginia by 4.7

Home Win Probability

Houston 36%

Market (Bovada)

Houston +3

Edge: West Virginia -3 (1.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2023

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
West VirginiaWest Virginia
10072239
HoustonHouston
7772041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-38-1014-1721-2428-2435-3235-39
HoustonWest Virginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUWVWVHOUWVHOUWVHOUWVHOUWVWVHOUWVHOUWVHOUWVHOUWVHOUWVHOUPUNT633ydFG1682ydTD869ydPUNT59ydPUNT911ydPUNT515ydPUNT34ydPUNT510ydPUNT34ydTD856ydEND212ydTD456ydPUNT38ydTO653ydTD480ydTD1178ydTD466ydPUNT34ydTD659ydTD1175ydPUNT519ydTD788ydTD257yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing West Virginia and Houston
StatisticWest VirginiaHouston
Passing20-3821-27
Pass Yards391253
Rush Yards155140
Total Yards546393
Turnovers10
3rd Down13-193-9
Penalties8-847-70
Possession36:5923:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

West Virginia
passing
Garrett Greene
20/38, 391 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
CJ Donaldson
17 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devin Carter
5 REC, 116 YDS
defense
Houston
passing
Donovan Smith
21/27, 253 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Stacy Sneed
7 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Stephon Johnson Jr.
4 REC, 96 YDS, 2 TD
defense
A.J. Haulcy
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 16 yds to the HOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Parker Jenkins run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 4 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Donovan Smith run for 1 yd to the WVU 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.15

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 17 yds to the WVU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.59

Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 39

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

West Virginia Penalty, False Start (CJ Donaldson Jr.) to the WVU 34

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.42

Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 21 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Jaylen Anderson run for 8 yds to the HOU 34

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.08

Garrett Greene run for 9 yds to the HOU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Garrett Greene run for no gain to the HOU 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Rodney Gallagher run for 7 yds to the HOU 18

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the HOU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Garrett Greene run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 15

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 6 yds to the HOU 9

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Michael Hayes 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Matthew Golden 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Jack Martin Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 30

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the WVU 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.65

Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 31 yds to the HOU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

EJ Horton run for 4 yds to the HOU 30

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.05

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 7 yds to the HOU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 18 yds to the HOU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Stacy Sneed run for 6 yds to the HOU 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Donovan Smith run for 7 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Stacy Sneed run for 1 yd to the HOU 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.63

Donovan Smith sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 34

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the WVU 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVU 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.46

Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 6 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 36

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Garrett Greene run for 13 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the HOU 48

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

CLEMENT, Hudson rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the HOU45 (HAULCY, A.J.;HAMILTON, Isaiah). PENALTY WVU Holding on DAVIS, Treylan enforced 10 yards from the HOU48 to the WVU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.86

Jaylen Anderson run for a loss of 8 yards to the WVU 34 Jaylen Anderson fumbled, recovered by WVU Jaylen Anderson

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the HOU 19

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

SMITH, Donovan pass up the middle complete for 1 yard to GOLDEN, Matthew caught at the HOU15 and advanced to the HOU15 (FLOYD, Marcis;RUFFIN, Malachi). PENALTY HOU Holding on MATHIS JR., Tony WVU Holding on LOCKHART, Mike , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Donovan Smith pass complete to Tony Mathis Jr. for 3 yds to the HOU 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Donovan Smith pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 8 yds to the HOU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the HOU 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Garrett Greene run for no gain to the WVU 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 8 yds to the HOU 38

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Parker Jenkins run for 10 yds to the HOU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.11

Donovan Smith sacked by Tyrin Bradley and Edward Vesterinen for a loss of 8 yards to the HOU 40

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVU 13

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 16

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaylen Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 14

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 39 yds , Malik Fleming returns for no gain Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the HOU 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the HOU 48

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Parker Jenkins run for 1 yd to the HOU 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.22

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 10 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 7 yds to the WVU 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 9 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 11 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

SMITH, Donovan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MANJACK IV, Joseph thrown to the WVU0. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on FLOYD, Marcis enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the WVU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Donovan Smith run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 9 yds to the WVU 26

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 29 for a 1ST down

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jack Martin kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the WVU 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 46

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the WVU 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.11

Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 19 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 35 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 24

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 12 yds to the HOU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.34

Garrett Greene pass complete to EJ Horton for 45 yds to the HOU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Garrett Greene pass complete to Jaylen Anderson for 10 yds to the HOU 24

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.36

Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the HOU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Garrett Greene run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 24

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -3.69

Garrett Greene pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+58 ydsPPA +3.74

Stacy Sneed run for 58 yds to the WVU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper SMITH, Donovan rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the WVU15 (WILSON, Anthony). PENALTY HOU Holding on UNIJE, Reuben enforced 10 yards from the WVU22 to the WVU32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 4 yds to the WVU 28

2nd & 16Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Donovan Smith run for 13 yds to the WVU 15

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.81

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 15 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 2 yds to the WVU 24

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jahiem White run for 7 yds to the WVU 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.77

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.97

Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 49 yds to the HOU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Rodney Gallagher run for 4 yds to the HOU 16

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 7 yds to the HOU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

West Virginia Penalty, False Start (Zach Frazier) to the HOU 14

1st & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 13 yds to the HOU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the HOU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 11 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SMITH, Donovan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Samuel broken up by RUFFIN, Malachi at the WVU10. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on RUFFIN, Malachi enforced 15 yards to the WVU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.63

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 25 yds to the WVU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Donovan Smith run for 7 yds to the WVU 8

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.25

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Donovan Smith run for 6 yds to the HOU 47

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Stacy Sneed run for 8 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SMITH, Donovan scrambles to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the WVU41 (MCLAURIN, Hershey). PENALTY HOU Holding on PAUL, Patrick enforced 10 yards from the WVU45 to the HOU45 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Donovan Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 43

2nd & 22Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.89

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 27 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Donovan Smith run for 9 yds to the WVU 21

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.13

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 21 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 7 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 17 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CLEMENT, Hudson thrown to the HOU10. PENALTY HOU Holding on EMERY, Jalen enforced 10 yards from the HOU45 to the HOU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 9 yds to the HOU 26

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.41

Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the HOU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 8 yds to the HOU 13

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.37

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the HOU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Garrett Greene run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrett Greene pass to Traylon Ray for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

West Virginia Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jaylen Anderson) to the HOU 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Stacy Sneed run for 3 yds to the HOU 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the HOU 35

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

SMITH, Donovan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MANJACK IV, Joseph thrown to the WVU35. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on FLOYD, Marcis enforced 15 yards to the HOU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Donovan Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Stacy Sneed run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the WVU 46

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Houston Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the HOU 49

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 17 yds to the WVU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.76

Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +6.68

Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 50 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 8 yds to the WVU 49

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.49

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 49 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

West Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
25%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
47%
17 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
59%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th