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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
UCFUCF
22
-Final
51
KansasKansas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas by 5.5

Home Win Probability

Kansas 66%

Market (Bovada)

Kansas +2

Edge: Kansas +2 (7.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
0081422
KansasKansas
321131451

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-017-024-037-643-1544-2251-22
KansasUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFKANUCFKANUCFKANUCFUCFKANUCFKANUCFKANUCFKANUCFKANUCFKANUCFPUNT839ydFG1382ydPUNT34ydTD969ydPUNT35ydTD1272ydTD417ydTO630ydPUNT3-8ydEND213ydTD175ydTD475ydTD1075ydTD1775ydTD454ydTD575ydMISS631ydDOWNS515ydTD735ydEND4-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Kansas
StatisticUCFKansas
Passing15-238-12
Pass Yards16991
Rush Yards202399
Total Yards371490
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-126-9
Penalties5-402-20
Possession25:3534:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
Timmy McClain
12/15, 136 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
RJ Harvey
16 CAR, 133 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Javon Baker
4 REC, 85 YDS
defense
Kansas
passing
Jason Bean
8/12, 91 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Devin Neal
12 CAR, 154 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Grimm
2 REC, 41 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the UCF 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 21 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 7 yds to the KU 34

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Xavier Townsend run for 4 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Javon Baker

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the KU 29

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UCF False Start (Richardson,Johnny) 5 yards from KAN29 to KAN34. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the KU 36

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 15

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

(10:12) Shotgun Hishaw,Daniel rush left for 10 yards gain to the KAN25 (Adams,Brandon), out of bounds PENALTY KAN Illegal Formation 5 yards from KAN15 to KAN10. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the KU 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the KU 26

2nd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.15

Devin Neal run for 21 yds to the KU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 12 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCF 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.13

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 22 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the UCF 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the UCF 8

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Quentin Skinner

4th & 3Field Goal Good+25 yds

Seth Keller 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Xavier Townsend

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Xavier Townsend

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 31

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Devin Neal run for 20 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 19 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Mason Fairchild

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the UCF 19

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the UCF 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds to the UCF 4

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the UCF 5

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Javon Baker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 5 yds to the UCF 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Johnny Richardson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the KU 34

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.84

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the KU 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.71

Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 6 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the UCF 40

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Lawrence Arnold run for 10 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.25

Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 14 yds to the UCF 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the UCF 11

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the UCF 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

RJ Harvey run for 18 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Amari Johnson run for 2 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UCF False Start (Harvey,RJ) 5 yards from UCF45 to UCF40. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 41

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Timmy McClain pass complete to Alec Holler for 1 yd to the UCF 42

4th & 11Punt+82 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 40 yds , Trevor Wilson returns for 82 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UCF False Start (Hudson,Kobe) 5 yards from UCF25 to UCF20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.77

Johnny Richardson run for 17 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Timmy McClain pass complete to Javon Baker for 16 yds to the KU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Javon Baker

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Johnny Richardson run for 6 yds to the KU 41

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the KU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -3.00

Timmy McClain sacked by Austin Booker for a loss of 12 yards to the UCF 49 Timmy McClain fumbled, recovered by KU D.J. Withers , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Quentin Skinner

2nd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.31

Jason Bean sacked by Malachi Lawrence for a loss of 12 yards to the KU 39

3rd & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 43

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Damon Greaves punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Timmy McClain pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 13 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun McClain,Timmy pass incomplete short left to Holler,Alec broken up by Bryant,Cobee PENALTY UCF Holding (Grable,Tylan) 10 yards from UCF31 to UCF21. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Timmy McClain run for 10 yds to the UCF 31

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Devin Neal run for 75 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Timmy McClain run for 9 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 1Rush+53 ydsPPA +2.29

RJ Harvey run for 53 yds to the KU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Timmy McClain run for no gain to the KU 13

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Timmy McClain pass complete to Alec Holler for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 10 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 1 yd to the KU 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.07

Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 12 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 46

2nd & 12Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.90

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 29 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 22

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the UCF 21

3rd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Jason Bean run for 17 yds to the UCF 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dylan McDuffie 1 Yd Run

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Timmy McClain pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 2 yds to the UCF 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 8 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Timmy McClain pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 5 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.10

RJ Harvey run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the KU 45

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Xavier Townsend run for 10 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the KU 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Kobe Hudson pass incomplete to Johnny Richardson

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.48

RJ Harvey run for 9 yds to the KU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the KU 20

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the KU 21

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Johnny Richardson run for 7 yds to the KU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Amari Johnson run for 1 yd to the KU 13

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the KU 11

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.28

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the KU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

RJ Harvey 4 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 62 yds , Kenny Logan Jr. return for 43 yds to the KU 46

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 12 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Brandon Adams) to the UCF 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 14 yds to the UCF 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Daniel Hishaw Jr. 7 Yd Run (Seth Keller Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 5 yds to the UCF 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.48

Timmy McClain pass complete to Javon Baker for 41 yds to the KU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Randy Pittman 23 Yd pass from Timmy McClain (Colton Boomer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the UCF 40

2nd & 4Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.54

Dylan McDuffie run for 36 yds to the UCF 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the UCF 7

2nd & 7Rush+8 yds

Jason Bean run for 8 yds to the UCF 15

3rd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the UCF 15

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Seth Keller 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Timmy McClain run for 21 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Javon Baker

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.30

Timmy McClain sacked by Jayson Gilliom for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 35

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the UCF 43

4th & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.12

Timmy McClain sacked by Taiwan Berryhill Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 35

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Dylan McDuffie run for 12 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Kansas Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UCF 33

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the UCF 28

3rd & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.98

Dylan McDuffie run for 17 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the UCF 8

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.68

Dylan McDuffie run for 7 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dylan McDuffie 1 Yd Run (Owen Piepergerdes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman for 6 yds to the UCF 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Timmy McClain pass complete to Mark-Antony Richards for 3 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.12

Timmy McClain sacked by Patrick Joyner Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the UCF 23

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
27 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Kansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
58%
26 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
80%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th