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← Back to GamesOct 6, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 14.7

Home Win Probability

Oklahoma State 16%

Market (Bovada)

Oklahoma State +11.5

Edge: Kansas State -11.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 6, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
078621
Oklahoma StateOklahoma State
10106329

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-010-713-723-726-726-1529-21
Oklahoma StateKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSKSOSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSKSOSPUNT33ydTD1572ydTO310ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydFG847ydTD792ydMISS1271ydPUNT516ydFG863ydTD30ydPUNT49ydEND1-1ydFG831ydTO1043ydFG654ydTD1065ydPUNT35ydDOWNS47ydFG518ydTD875ydDOWNS725ydTO625ydPUNT33ydDOWNS619ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and Oklahoma State
StatisticKansas StateOklahoma State
Passing15-3420-36
Pass Yards152238
Rush Yards220174
Total Yards372412
Turnovers30
3rd Down6-166-18
Penalties4-325-45
Possession25:1834:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Will Howard
15/34, 152 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Will Howard
10 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Phillip Brooks III
3 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Oklahoma State
passing
Alan Bowman
19/35, 235 YDS
rushing
Ollie Gordon
21 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaden Bray
4 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Howard run for 1 yd to the KSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 2 yds to the KSU 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the OKST 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.84

Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 7 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Brennan Presley run for 8 yds to the OKST 49

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.38

Alan Bowman run for 4 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Alan Bowman run for 7 yds to the KSU 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan Presley

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.14

Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 5 yds to the KSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 12 yds to the KSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan Presley

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.24

Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 11 yds to the KSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 11 yds to the KSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 6 yds to the KSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.76

Will Howard pass intercepted Cameron Epps return for no gain to the OKST 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jaden Nixon run for 6 yds to the OKST 35

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan Presley

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 34

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 28

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.71

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 45 yds, downed at the OKST 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 30

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Alan Bowman run for 4 yds to the OKST 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.00

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 9 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.78

Ollie Gordon II run for 33 yds to the KSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Brennan Presley pass complete to Alan Bowman for 3 yds to the KSU 21

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the KSU 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KSU 25

4th & 11Field Goal Good+43 yds

Alex Hale 43 yd FG GOOD

4th & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Logan Ward kickoff for 65 yds , Phillip Brooks return for 15 yds, Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the KSU 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the KSU 15

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 2 yds to the KSU 17

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Treshaun Ward run for 8 yds to the KSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the KSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+70 ydsPPA +5.25

Will Howard run for 70 yds to the OKST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Howard run for no gain to the OKST 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 10 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 9 yds to the OKST 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 44

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.30

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the KSU 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.69

Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 45 yds to the KSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the KSU 2

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 4

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the KSU 4

4th & 0Blocked Field Goal+21 yds

Alex Hale 21 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Marques Sigle

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 18

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.02

DJ Giddens run for 10 yds to the KSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Will Howard pass incomplete to Garrett Oakley

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 33

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Will Howard sacked by Nickolas Martin for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 32

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 18 yds to the OKST 38 Oklahoma State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Josiah Johnson) to the OKST 23

1st & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the OKST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 11 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.02

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 45 yds to the KSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Presley, Brennan, PENALTY OKLAST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the KANSASST18, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KSU 23

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Alan Bowman run for 1 yd to the KSU 22

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson

3rd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the KSU 17

4th & 14Field Goal Good+34 yds

Alex Hale 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jadon Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for no gain to the KSU 25

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+35 ydsPPA -6.87

Will Howard pass intercepted by Cameron Epps, returned 35 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Treshaun Ward run for 11 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the KSU 41

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.09

Will Howard sacked by Jaleel Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the KSU 34

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 57 yds, downed at the OKST 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 8

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 63 yds , Brennan Presley return for 31 yds to the OKST 33

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Ollie Gordon II run for 15 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the KSU 49

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the KSU 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.30

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 8 yds to the KSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the KSU 36

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Talyn Shettron

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod Owens

4th & 5Field Goal Good+53 yds

Alex Hale 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Phillip Brooks run for 9 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 42

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.87

DJ Giddens run for 14 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.85

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 29 yds to the OKST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 6 yds to the OKST 9

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 11

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Christian Duffie) to the OKST 16

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 3 yds to the OKST 13

4th & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-19 ydsPPA -3.46

TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the OKST 32 TEAM fumbled, recovered by KSU Will Howard

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Ollie Gordon II run for 14 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.59

Ollie Gordon II run for 36 yds to the KSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the KSU 13

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the KSU 11

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Alan Bowman pass complete to Braden Cassity for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 14

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Alex Hale 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

DJ Giddens run for 14 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 16 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the OKST 33

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the OKST 29

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the OKST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Will Howard pass incomplete to Will Swanson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the OKST 13

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Will Howard run for no gain to the OKST 13

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.54

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the OKST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Treshaun Ward run for 11 yds for a TD (W. Howard Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Kansas State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the KSU 20

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 57 yds , Jaden Nixon return for 17 yds to the OKST 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod Owens

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the OKST 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Will Howard run for 5 yds to the KSU 24

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Phillip Brooks run for 2 yds to the KSU 26

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Howard pass incomplete to DJ Giddens

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.20

Ollie Gordon II run for 15 yds to the KSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Brennan Presley run for 3 yds to the KSU 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod Owens

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Alex Hale 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 14 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.36

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 20 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Will Howard run for 1 yd to the OKST 35

3rd & 9Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.41

Will Howard run for 29 yds to the OKST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Will Howard run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 34

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.88

Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 14 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan Presley

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the KSU 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the KSU 40

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.05

Josiah Johnson run for no gain to the KSU 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Will Howard pass incomplete to DJ Giddens

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.46

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 25 yds to the OKST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 35

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Will Howard pass incomplete to Seth Porter

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return+28 ydsPPA -2.18

Will Howard pass intercepted Nickolas Martin return for 13 yds to the OKST 44 OK ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OKST 29

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Alan Bowman run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 27

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 2 yds to the OKST 32

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 43 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KSU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 8 yds to the KSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 11 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Will Howard pass incomplete to RJ Garcia II

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 45

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 48

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Oklahoma State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
53%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays