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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas Tech by 8.6

Home Win Probability

Texas Tech 73%

Market (Bovada)

Texas Tech -10

Edge: Houston +10 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
14140028
Texas TechTexas Tech
14217749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-714-1421-2128-2835-2842-2849-28
Texas TechHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUHOUTTHOUTTHOUHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTTHOUTD1275ydTD675ydTD1274ydTD575ydTD1375ydTD420ydTD975ydTD875ydMISS645ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT727ydTD380ydDOWNS1147ydPUNT417ydPUNT512ydPUNT517ydPUNT3-5ydTD555ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT617ydEND532yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and Texas Tech
StatisticHoustonTexas Tech
Passing29-4114-22
Pass Yards335161
Rush Yards154239
Total Yards489400
Turnovers00
3rd Down9-156-11
Penalties4-471-5
Possession35:1124:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Donovan Smith
29/40, 335 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Parker Jenkins
13 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Sam Brown
9 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas Tech
passing
Behren Morton
14/22, 161 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tahj Brooks
22 CAR, 106 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Myles Price
5 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 2 yds to the HOU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 5 yds to the HOU 32

3rd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.63

Donovan Smith run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the TTU 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.84

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 7 yds to the TTU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 42

2nd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.86

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 16 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the TTU 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 10 yds to the TTU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 4 yds to the TTU 8

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the TTU 6

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Donovan Smith pass complete to Bryan Henry for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.89

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 34 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Parker Jenkins run for 13 yds to the TTU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Parker Jenkins run for 12 yds to the TTU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Samuel Brown 16 Yd pass from Donovan Smith (Jack Martin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.94

Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 15 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 39

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.78

Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 10 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 11 yds to the HOU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Xavier White run for 2 yds to the HOU 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.71

Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 15 yds to the HOU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 5 yds to the HOU 12

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the HOU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Parker Jenkins run for 13 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 4 yds to the HOU 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.28

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Donovan Smith run for 1 yd to the TTU 49

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.72

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 49 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 1 yd to the TTU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 14 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the TTU 42

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 46

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Behren Morton run for 7 yds to the HOU 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the HOU 40

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.66

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the HOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the HOU 34

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Cam'Ron Valdez run for 7 yds to the HOU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Cam'Ron Valdez run for 2 yds to the HOU 25

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.00

Behren Morton pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 25 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.84

Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 15 yds to the HOU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the HOU 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Punt Touchdown+7 ydsPPA -6.96

Loic Fouonji 7 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Gino Garcia Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds to the HOU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matt Byrnes for 5 yds to the HOU 32

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Donovan Smith run for 7 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the HOU 42

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the HOU 44

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Donovan Smith run for 8 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 5 yds to the TTU 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the TTU 41

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.20

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 41 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 5 yds to the TTU 30

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Tahj Brooks run for 15 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 16 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.26

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 34 yds to the HOU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the HOU 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the HOU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the HOU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Donovan Smith run for 8 yds to the HOU 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.16

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 15 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Donovan Smith pass complete to Peyton Sawyer for 1 yd to the HOU 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.23

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 21 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Jack Martin 49 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.71

Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for a loss of 5 yards to the TTU 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the HOU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 12 yds to the HOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the HOU 41

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.81

Donovan Smith sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the HOU 34

3rd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.10

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 15 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the TTU 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 23

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 11 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 5 yds to the HOU 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Parker Jenkins run for 6 yds to the HOU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Donovan Smith run for 5 yds to the HOU 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the HOU 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.24

Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 10 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Donovan Smith pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 8 yds to the TTU 40

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Donovan Smith run for 8 yds to the TTU 29

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the TTU 28

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.13

Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the TTU 28

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Tahj Brooks run for 19 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 46

3rd & 11Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Behren Morton sacked by Nelson Ceaser for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the HOU 12

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Donovan Smith run for 11 yds to the HOU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper SMITH, Donovan rush to the right for no gain to the HOU23 (LINTON, Steve). PENALTY HOU Holding on JOHNSON, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the HOU23 to the HOU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 1 yd to the HOU 14

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 6 yds to the HOU 20

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 56 yds, downed at the TTU 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 26

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Tahj Brooks run for 15 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 15

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Behren Morton pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 4 yds to the HOU 49

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.77

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the HOU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Cam'Ron Valdez run for 2 yds to the HOU 41

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.86

Cam'Ron Valdez run for 41 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the HOU 25

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

SMITH, Donovan pass to the right complete for 9 yards to JOHNSON JR., Stephon caught at the HOU12 and advanced to the HOU34 (ROBERTS, Ben). PENALTY HOU Holding on UNIJE, Reuben enforced 10 yards from the HOU25 to the HOU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the HOU 16

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Xavier White at the TTU 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 2 yds to the TTU 44

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 7 yds to the HOU 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the HOU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler King run for 4 yds to the HOU 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 2 yds to the HOU 41

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nehemiah Martinez I run for no gain to the HOU 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds to the HOU 22

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 21

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.74

Parker Jenkins run for 12 yds to the HOU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 13 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 6 yds to the TTU 48

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
15 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play