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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oklahoma by 19.3

Home Win Probability

Oklahoma 88%

Market (Bovada)

Oklahoma -20

Edge: Iowa State +20 (0.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
10100020
OklahomaOklahoma
21197350

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425621-1740-2050-20
OklahomaIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISISOKLISOKLISOKLISOKLISOKLISOKLISOKLISOKLISOKLISOKLISOKLISTD375ydTD675ydTD1175ydFG1158ydTD675ydTD375ydMISS657ydFG950ydTD675ydPUNT4-5ydFG930ydTO38ydTD1043ydEND10ydTD885ydPUNT31ydPUNT924ydPUNT730ydTO510ydDOWNS49ydFG1451ydPUNT519ydPUNT44ydUncategorized930yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Oklahoma
StatisticIowa StateOklahoma
Passing19-3726-39
Pass Yards202366
Rush Yards150157
Total Yards352523
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-156-14
Penalties6-415-35
Possession26:5633:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
15/33, 188 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Abu Sama III
7 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Jayden Higgins
3 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Oklahoma
passing
Dillon Gabriel
26/39, 366 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marcus Major
19 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Jalil Farooq
5 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Danny Stutsman
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Eli Sanders

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ISU 26

3rd & 9Interception Return Touchdown+44 ydsPPA -6.93

Billy Bowman Jr. 44 Yd Interception Return (Zach Schmit Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 23

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Rocco Becht run for 14 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Cartevious Norton run for 20 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.73

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 49

3rd & 18Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +6.69

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 51 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 16 yds to the OU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Marcus Major run for 18 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.95

Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive holding (Walter Rouse) to the OU 49

1st & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.89

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 19 yds to the ISU 32

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.38

Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the ISU 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the ISU 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 4 yds to the ISU 19

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.73

Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the ISU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Dillon Gabriel run for 16 yds to the ISU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Abu Sama III run for 39 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the OU 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 10 yds to the OU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 9 yds to the OU 15

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.49

Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the OU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Benjamin Brahmer

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Iowa State Penalty, illegal shift (Dimitri Stanley) to the OU 17

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49
3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Carson Hansen

4th & 15Field Goal Good+35 yds

Chase Contreraz 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 65 yds , Jalil Farooq return for 25 yds to the OU 25

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Gavin Sawchuk run for 7 yds to the OU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.55

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 17 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Nic Anderson, broken up by Myles Purchase

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the ISU 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.53

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 10 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 39 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Stevo Klotz

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 8 yds to the ISU 33

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.30

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 67 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70
2nd & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.15

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 54 yds to the ISU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the ISU 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake Stoops, broken up by Jeremiah Cooper

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Zach Schmit 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Rocco Becht sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 16

2nd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.75

Abu Sama III run for 17 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 11 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Eli Sanders run for 13 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the OU 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

4th & 7Field Goal Good+48 yds

Chase Contreraz 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 8 yds to the OU 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 12 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.73

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 49 yds to the ISU 1 for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jamison Patton) to the ISU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

Oklahoma Penalty, false start (McKade Mettauer) to the ISU 6

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel Iowa State Penalty, illegal shift (Dimitri Stanley) to the ISU 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete to Easton Dean

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

pass incomplete to Dimitri Stanley

4th & 15Safety0 ydsPPA -1.64

Iowa State punt blocked, recovered in end zone. SAFETY

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Tyler Perkins kickoff for 58 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton return for 25 yds to the OU 42

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.21

for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyler Onyedim) to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 8 yds to the ISU 35

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the ISU 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Marcus Major run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 35

4th & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.84

Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Austin Stogner, broken up by Myles Purchase

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete, broken up by Ikenna Ezeogu

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq, broken up by T.J. Tampa

4th & 10Field Goal Good+46 yds

Zach Schmit 46 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01
2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Abu Sama III run for 8 yds to the ISU 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins, broken up by Danny Stutsman

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Drake Stoops run for 13 yds to the ISU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 8 yds to the ISU 22

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.27

Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the ISU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Andrel Anthony, broken up by T.J. Tampa

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the ISU 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake Stoops, broken up by Myles Purchase for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, off-side (Joey Petersen) to the ISU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Dillon Gabriel sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ISU 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marcus Major for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, Defensive holding (Dimitri Stanley) to the ISU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake Stoops, broken up by Myles Purchase for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Myles Purchase) to the ISU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Drake Stoops 2 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Rocco Becht run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.93

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 15 yds to the OU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Marcus Major run for 14 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake Stoops, broken up by Ben Nikkel

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 12 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Nic Anderson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 3 yds to the ISU 41

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 65 yds , Jalil Farooq return for 15 yds to the OU 15

4th & 7Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +5.81

Jayden Gibson 41 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Sanders

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 49 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 8 yds to the OU 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Brenen Thompson

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 41

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the OU 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.79

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 6 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Marcus Major run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 47

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 2 yds to the OU 49

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 18

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Oklahoma Penalty, off-side (Trace Ford) to the ISU 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 13 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 15 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Eli Sanders

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the OU 47

3rd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.26

Rocco Becht run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 5 yds to the OU 26

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the OU 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.32

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 6 yds to the OU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Gavin Sawchuk run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 31

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

pass incomplete to Benjamin Brahmer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 5 yds to the OU 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.42

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the OU 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the OU 41

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the ISU 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 6 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88
2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Gibson for 9 yds to the ISU 32

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Gavin Sawchuk run for 5 yds to the ISU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 3 yds to the ISU 24

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the ISU 20

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.37

Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the ISU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 4 yds to the ISU 13

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the ISU 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jayden Gibson, broken up by Trevon Howard

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 yds

Zach Schmit 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the ISU 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ISU 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 4 yds to the ISU 44

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 41 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for 2 yds to the OU 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 22

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd to the OU 23

3rd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.42

Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 28 Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive holding (J.J. Hester) to the OU 18

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the OU 21

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Plaster punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the ISU 43

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Carson Hansen run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 41

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

J.J. Kohl run for 4 yds to the ISU 45

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.74

J.J. Kohl run for 8 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

J.J. Kohl pass complete to Greg Gaines III for 4 yds to the OU 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

J.J. Kohl pass complete to Greg Gaines III for 8 yds to the OU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.05

J.J. Kohl pass complete to Carson Hansen for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

J.J. Kohl pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 4 yds to the OU 33

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

J.J. Kohl run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 33

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
27%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Oklahoma

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
53%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play