Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
CincinnatiCincinnati
27
-Final
35
BYUBYU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 7.7

Home Win Probability

BYU 64%

Market (Bovada)

BYU -2.5

Edge: BYU -2.5 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
01010727
BYUBYU
7714735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-1021-1328-1335-2035-27
BYUCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUCINCINBYUCINBYUCINBYUCINBYUCINCINBYUCINBYUCINBYUBYUCINBYUCINBYUCINBYUPUNT827ydTD619ydDOWNS933ydPUNT32ydTD1790ydPUNT35ydPUNT741ydPUNT34ydFG942ydTD382ydEND14ydPUNT39ydTD573ydFG1471ydTD475ydTD575ydPUNT3-3ydTD515ydPUNT3-10ydMISS1335ydDOWNS49ydPUNT3-6ydTD880ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and BYU
StatisticCincinnatiBYU
Passing23-3714-25
Pass Yards256225
Rush Yards24270
Total Yards498295
Turnovers20
3rd Down9-184-11
Penalties7-634-25
Possession35:0124:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Emory Jones
23/37, 256 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Emory Jones
14 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
7 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Deshawn Pace
1.5 TFL, 2 PD
BYU
passing
Kedon Slovis
13/24, 223 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
LJ Martin
16 CAR, 66 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Chase Roberts
6 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Kedon Slovis run for 3 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.27

LJ Martin run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the CIN 47

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Miles Davis run for 1 yd to the CIN 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Miles Davis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 21

2nd & 19Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the CIN 21

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.74

Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Aaron Turner run for 6 yds to the CIN 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Braden Smith

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown+42 ydsPPA -7.85

Jakob Robinson 42 Yd Interception Return (Will Ferrin Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 30

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the CIN 35

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.75

Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for 3 yds to the CIN 43

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Corey Kiner run for 11 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Dee Wiggins

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the BYU 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the BYU 37

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.34

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Payten Singletary

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kedon Slovis pass complete to LJ Martin for 2 yds to the BYU 39

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Keelan Marion run for no gain to the BYU 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Keanu Hill

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the CIN 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the CIN 19

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the CIN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Dee Wiggins

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Myles Montgomery run for 11 yds to the CIN 28

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.59

Myles Montgomery run for 8 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Aaron Turner

2nd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the CIN 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.94

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 5 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the CIN 46

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.15

Emory Jones run for 14 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Donovan Ollie

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the BYU 39

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the BYU 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.32

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the BYU 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Emory Jones pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 1 yd to the BYU 27

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.71

Chamon Metayer 27 Yd pass from Emory Jones (Carter Brown Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the BYU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Keanu Hill

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CIN 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 9 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.37

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 23 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the BYU 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the BYU 42

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the BYU 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Keanu Hill

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 9

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase Roberts

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 66 yds , returns for no gain to the CIN 37

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 66 yds , returns for no gain to the CIN 42

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Myles Montgomery run for 11 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 14 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the BYU 28

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the BYU 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.54

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 5 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the BYU 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Dee Wiggins

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Emory Jones pass complete to Evan Prater for 4 yds to the BYU 16

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 yds

Carter Brown 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Rory Bell kickoff for 65 yds , Keelan Marion return for 18 yds to the BYU 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.83

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 23 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 24 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 22 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ethan Wright run for 4 yds to the CIN 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the CIN 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier Henderson

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.74

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 33 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 14 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 3 yds to the CIN 29

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

3rd & 13Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +4.37

LJ Martin run for 29 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the CIN 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 6 yds to the CIN 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the CIN 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.50

Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 17 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Emory Jones run for no gain to the BYU 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Emory Jones pass complete to Evan Prater for 7 yds to the BYU 35

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Emory Jones run for 15 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Chamon Metayer

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the BYU 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the BYU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Corey Kiner

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Carter Brown 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 10 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Smith,Deion rush left for 4 yards gain to the UC44 (Wodtly,Justin) PENALTY BYU Holding (Fitzgerald,Ian) 10 yards from UC48 to BYU42. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the BYU 41

2nd & 21Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +6.75

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 59 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Myles Montgomery run for 10 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 23 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Myles Montgomery

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.54

Emory Jones run for 19 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 23 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase Roberts

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 53 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the CIN 15 Braden Smith fumbled, recovered by BYU Austin Riggs

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Miles Davis run for 7 yds to the CIN 8

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

LJ Martin pass complete to Kedon Slovis for 2 yds to the CIN 6

3rd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 1 yd to the CIN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kedon Slovis pass complete to for 4 yds

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

LJ Martin run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier Henderson

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Emory Jones sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 10 yards to the CIN 15

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Braden Smith

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for no gain to the BYU 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.46

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keelan Marion for 13 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase Roberts

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Miles Davis run for 11 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Miles Davis run for no gain to the CIN 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.43

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 21 yds to the CIN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Keanu Hill

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

LJ Martin run for 9 yds to the CIN 10

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.13

Kedon Slovis run for 1 yd to the CIN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+18 yds

run for 18 yds to the CIN 27 fumbled, recovered by BYU LJ Martin

2nd & 27Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

LJ Martin run for no gain to the CIN 27

3rd & 27Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

LJ Martin run for no gain to the CIN 27

4th & 27Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Will Ferrin 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the CIN 28

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the CIN 33

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the CIN 36

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the CIN 37

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the CIN 38

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Chase Roberts run for 1 yd to the CIN 37

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BYU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UC37 to UC42. NO PLAY.

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for 5 yds to the CIN 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 5 yds to the CIN 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 13 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Emory Jones run for 20 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for 4 yds to the BYU 25

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Emory Jones pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 4 yds to the BYU 31

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.44

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 31 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

kickoff for 10 yds , Chase Roberts return for no gain to the CIN 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Kneel down by BYU at UC46 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
35 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
69%
16 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th