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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
SMUSMU
17
-Final
34
TCUTCU

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 11

Home Win Probability

TCU 70%

Market (Bovada)

TCU -7

Edge: TCU -7 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SMUSMU
370717
TCUTCU
7713734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-314-1017-1020-1027-1027-1734-17
TCUSMU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUTCUSMUFG1469ydPUNT929ydPUNT39ydTD1046ydDOWNS943ydTD1068ydTD975ydPUNT39ydPUNT515ydEND1-2ydFG1258ydPUNT30ydFG1154ydDOWNS639ydTD564ydTO519ydDOWNS4-5ydTO570ydDOWNS1052ydTD1372ydTD444ydEND3-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SMU and TCU
StatisticSMUTCU
Passing16-3524-33
Pass Yards258265
Rush Yards158192
Total Yards416457
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-156-15
Penalties4-206-48
Possession30:1229:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SMU
passing
Preston Stone
16/35, 258 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Camar Wheaton
16 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Kerley
1 REC, 51 YDS
defense
TCU
passing
Chandler Morris
23/32, 261 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Emani Bailey
25 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Curtis
2 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Namdi Obiazor
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Preston Stone run for 4 yds to the SMU 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Camar Wheaton run for 8 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Camar Wheaton run for 2 yds to the SMU 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 5 yds to the SMU 44

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.86

Camar Wheaton run for 7 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the TCU 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.44

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 21 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Preston Stone pass incomplete to RJ Maryland

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 6 yds to the TCU 19

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Preston Stone run for 5 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Preston Stone pass complete to for 8 yds to the TCU 14

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Preston Stone run for 9 yds to the TCU 5

3rd & 1Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Preston Stone sacked by Namdi Obiazor for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 6

4th & 2Field Goal Good+24 yds

Collin Rogers 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Collin Rogers kickoff for 62 yds , Major Everhart return for 22 yds to the TCU 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylon Robinson run for 1 yd to the TCU 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the TCU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jared Wiley for 5 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Chandler Morris sacked by Isaiah Nwokobia for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 36

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Chandler Morris run for 7 yds to the TCU 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.75

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jared Wiley for 4 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blake Nowell for 7 yds to the SMU 46

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the SMU 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the SMU 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Camar Wheaton run for 4 yds to the SMU 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Camar Wheaton run for 5 yds to the SMU 11

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Preston Stone pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jaylon Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.34

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 14 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Emani Bailey run for 11 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the SMU 28

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Trent Battle

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Chandler Morris pass complete to JoJo Earle for 12 yds to the SMU 16

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.62

JP Richardson run for 2 yds to the SMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the SMU 9

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jared Wiley for 9 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Preston Stone pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 8 yds to the SMU 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Stone,Preston pass incomplete deep right to Daniels, Jr.,Roderick PENALTY SMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Maryland,RJ) 5 yards from SMU37 to SMU32. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.33

Jaylan Knighton run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the TCU 46

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Camar Wheaton run for 11 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the TCU 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 5 yds to the TCU 27

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Camar Wheaton run for no gain to the TCU 27

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.26

Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the TCU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.71

Chandler Morris pass complete to JP Richardson for 38 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Chandler Morris sacked by Je'lin Samuels for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 34

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Trey Sanders run for no gain to the SMU 34

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 11 yds to the SMU 23

4th & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Chandler Morris pass complete to Major Everhart for 3 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chandler Morris pass complete to Trey Sanders for 3 yds to the SMU 17

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the SMU 16

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.99

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 10 yds to the SMU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trey Sanders run for 4 yds to the SMU 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jared Wiley for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.21

Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 43 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Preston Stone run for 11 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the TCU 12

2nd & 3Penalty+8 yds

TCU Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (Jamoi Hodge) to the TCU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Preston Stone pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 2 yds to the TCU 30

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Preston Stone run for 2 yds to the TCU 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Preston Stone run for 2 yds to the TCU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Camar Wheaton run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start (Williams,Savion) 5 yards from TCU25 to TCU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Chandler Morris pass complete to Emani Bailey for 11 yds to the TCU 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the TCU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Roderick Daniels Jr. at the SMU 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Preston Stone pass incomplete to RJ Maryland

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.04

Jaylan Knighton run for 13 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the SMU 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Camar Wheaton run for 2 yds to the SMU 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Preston Stone pass incomplete to Moochie Dixon

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from SMU49 to SMU44. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 56 yds for a touchback

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

run for 2 yds to the TCU 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the TCU 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to JP Richardson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blake Nowell for 9 yds to the TCU 46

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.00

Chandler Morris run for 21 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the SMU 26

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.50

Chandler Morris run for 13 yds to the SMU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Morris,Chandler rush right for 2 yards loss to the SMU15, End Of Play PENALTY TCU Holding (Lanz,John) 10 yards from SMU13 to SMU23. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the SMU 17

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to JoJo Earle

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to JP Richardson

4th & 14Field Goal Good+35 yds

Griffin Kell 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

SMU Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declined

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Preston Stone pass incomplete to Romello Brinson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Corey Wren run for 9 yds to the TCU 49

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Corey Wren run for 3 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Chandler Morris pass complete to DJ Allen for 7 yds to the SMU 41

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bailey,Emani rush right for 1 yard gain to the SMU36 (Roberts,Elijah; Kilgore,Alex) PENALTY TCU Illegal Shift 5 yards from SMU37 to SMU42. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.20

Chandler Morris pass complete to Chase Curtis for 19 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Major Everhart

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.56

Chandler Morris pass complete to Warren Thompson for 12 yds to the SMU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the SMU 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chandler Morris pass complete to Major Everhart for 5 yds to the SMU 4

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the SMU 6

4th & 5Field Goal Good+24 yds

Griffin Kell 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Camar Wheaton run for 4 yds to the SMU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.78

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 27 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Camar Wheaton run for 5 yds to the TCU 39

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the TCU 37

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the TCU 36

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.30

Preston Stone pass incomplete to RJ Maryland

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Emani Bailey run for 11 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.82

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jared Wiley for 17 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Emani Bailey run for 10 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Emani Bailey run for 24 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 10 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 19 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Wheaton,Camar rush left for 2 yards gain to the TCU44 (Newton,Josh) PENALTY SMU Holding (Matthews-Harris,Nolan) 10 yards from TCU46 to SMU44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Preston Stone pass incomplete to Nolan Matthews-Harris

3rd & 20Interception0 ydsPPA -0.01

Preston Stone pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Savion Williams run for no gain to the SMU 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jared Wiley

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blake Nowell for 3 yds to the SMU 7

4th & 7Rush+8 yds

Jordy Sandy run for 8 yds to the SMU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 16 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.02

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 51 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the TCU 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Preston Stone pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.93

Preston Stone pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Emani Bailey run for 19 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Morris,Chandler rush right for 1 yard gain to the TCU40, End Of Play PENALTY TCU Personal Foul (Deery,Coltin) 15 yards from TCU39 to TCU24. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.37

Chandler Morris pass complete to Major Everhart for 20 yds to the TCU 44

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the TCU 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.76

Chandler Morris pass complete to Warren Thompson for 4 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the SMU 45

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Trey Sanders run for 11 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Josh Hoover pass complete to Major Everhart for 4 yds to the SMU 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the SMU 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.78

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Major Everhart

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Preston Stone pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 8 yds to the SMU 36

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Camar Wheaton run for 9 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.11

Preston Stone sacked by Channing Canada for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 40

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.09

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 18 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 14 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Preston Stone pass incomplete to Roderick Daniels Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Camar Wheaton run for 6 yds to the TCU 22

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Preston Stone run for 2 yds to the TCU 20

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.89

Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Preston Stone pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Tyler Lavine run for 13 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds for a TD TCU Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TCU False Start (Coker,Andrew) 5 yards from SMU44 to SMU49. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Emani Bailey run for 10 yds to the SMU 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the SMU 38

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chandler Morris run for 2 yds to the SMU 36

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.70

Chandler Morris pass complete to Chase Curtis for 36 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Griffin Kell kickoff for 58 yds , Key'Shawn Smith return for 5 yds to the SMU 12

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.64

Preston Stone sacked by Damonic Williams for a loss of 11 yards to the SMU 1

2nd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the SMU 5

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Preston Stone pass incomplete to Tyler Lavine

Situational Analysis

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
38%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
82%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
27 plays
100%
5 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play