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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2023Week 4
UCFUCF
31
-Final
44
Kansas StateKansas State
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 7.6

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 67%

Market (Bovada)

Kansas State -6.5

Edge: Kansas State -6.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
1077731
Kansas StateKansas State
714101344

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-37-1014-1021-1021-1724-2431-2437-2444-31
Kansas StateUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFTD875ydFG663ydTO537ydTD957ydTD1284ydTO627ydTD862ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydTD276ydDOWNS520ydTO10ydMISS853ydEND1-2ydTD346ydFG963ydPUNT423ydTD1185ydMISS1039ydTD1365ydDOWNS511ydTD236ydTD1175yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Kansas State
StatisticUCFKansas State
Passing14-2527-42
Pass Yards264255
Rush Yards143281
Total Yards407536
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-129-15
Penalties10-805-63
Possession25:3734:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
Timmy McClain
14/24, 264 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Johnny Richardson
6 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Kobe Hudson
5 REC, 138 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Kansas State
passing
Will Howard
27/42, 255 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
DJ Giddens
30 CAR, 207 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
DJ Giddens
8 REC, 86 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 13 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.64

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 13 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the UCF 44

2nd & 9Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.93

DJ Giddens run for 36 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Howard run for 7 yds to the UCF 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Timmy McClain run for 12 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.49

Johnny Richardson run for 48 yds to the KSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the KSU 11

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Timmy McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 12

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 yds

Colton Boomer 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 59 yds , return for no gain to the KSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 4 yds to the KSU 19

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 22 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the UCF 48

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -2.68

Will Howard pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 43

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Xavier Townsend run for 8 yds to the KSU 49

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

run for 4 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 12 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Timmy McClain run for 9 yds to the KSU 24

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

run for 2 yds to the KSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.96

Timmy McClain sacked by Nate Matlack for a loss of 5 yards to the KSU 27

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

run for no gain to the KSU 27

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +4.41

Timmy McClain pass complete to RJ Harvey for 27 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.10

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 11 yds to the KSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Will Howard pass complete to Will Swanson for 10 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Anthony Frias II run for no gain to the KSU 39

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.81

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 12 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.95

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 24 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Anthony Frias II run for 8 yds to the UCF 15

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 6 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

DJ Giddens run for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 5 yds to the UCF 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.36

Timmy McClain pass complete to Javon Baker for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the KSU 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.62

run for 5 yds to the KSU 38 RJ Harvey fumbled, recovered by KSU VJ Payne

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 40

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.38

Will Howard run for 9 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Defensive Holding (DeJordan Mask) to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the UCF 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Howard pass complete to Anthony Frias II for 5 yds to the UCF 32

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

SINNOTT, Ben rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the UCF31 (JOHNSON, Jason). PENALTY UCF Offsides enforced 5 yards from the UCF32 to the UCF27 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.57

Will Howard sacked by Tre'Mon Morris-Brash for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 34

2nd & 17Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.61

DJ Giddens run for 16 yds to the UCF 18

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.71

DJ Giddens run for 18 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 4 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the UCF 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 42 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KSU 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 69 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the UCF 31

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.56

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 69 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 51 yds , return for no gain to the KSU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 11 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 3 yds to the UCF 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 5 yds to the UCF 43

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.62

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 1 yd to the UCF 42

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.44

Timmy McClain pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 5 yds to the KSU 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Will Howard pass complete to Seth Porter for 16 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.41

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 22 yds to the UCF 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 4 yds to the UCF 8

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Chris Tennant 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kneel down by UCF at UCF18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the KSU 44

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 46

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +5.63

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 46 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

DJ Giddens run for 18 yds to the KSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.75

DJ Giddens run for 31 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 9 yds to the UCF 19

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Will Howard run for 6 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the UCF 12

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

Kansas State Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 yds

Chris Tennant 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 20 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Timmy McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 45

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Xavier Townsend run for 2 yds to the UCF 47

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the KSU 46

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UCF 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 4 yds to the KSU 19

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 6 yds to the KSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

DJ Giddens run for 13 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

HOWARD, Will pass short up the middle incomplete intended for PORTER, Seth broken up by WALKER, John at the KSU46. PENALTY UCF Roughing the Passer on MORRIS-BRASH, Tre'mon enforced 15 yards from the KSU42 to the UCF43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 3 yds to the UCF 40

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

GIDDENS, DJ rush up the middle for no gain to the UCF40 (YATES, Walter). PENALTY UCF Personal Foul on HUNTER, Lee enforced 15 yards from the UCF40 to the UCF25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the UCF 18

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.67

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 16 yds to the UCF 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Will Howard run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

RJ Harvey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Townsend for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 25

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

MCCLAIN, Timmy pass deep up the middle complete for 22 yards to HUDSON, Kobe caught at the UCF42 and advanced to the UCF47 (GARBER, Keenan), clock 00:00. PENALTY UCF Holding on GRABLE, Tylan enforced 10 yards from the UCF25 to the UCF15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 21Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.41

Johnny Richardson run for 23 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.81

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST down Kansas State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on CLIFTON, Jake enforced (Jake Clifton) to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the KSU 37

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the KSU 42

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

MCCLAIN, Timmy pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BAKER, Javon broken up by PARRISH, Jacob at the KSU10. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on PARRISH, Jacob enforced 15 yards to the KSU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.61

Timmy McClain sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 12 yards to the KSU 39

2nd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Timmy McClain run for 3 yds to the KSU 36

3rd & 19Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the KSU 41

3rd & 24Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the KSU 35

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Colton Boomer 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.88

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 14 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the UCF 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 6 yds to the UCF 40

4th & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.94

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 4 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.39

Will Howard run for 16 yds to the UCF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the UCF 17

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the UCF 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the UCF 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Phillip Brooks run for 2 yds to the UCF 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 11 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.11

Timmy McClain sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 26

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

4th & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Timmy McClain run for 10 yds to the UCF 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the UCF 31

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.93

Will Howard run for 31 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman for 12 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

MCCLAIN, Timmy pass to the right incomplete intended for TOWNSEND, Xavier broken up by GARBER, Keenan at the KSU50. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on GARBER, Keenan enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the KSU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman for 12 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Timmy McClain run for 7 yds to the KSU 31

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.03

Timmy McClain run for 6 yds to the KSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Timmy McClain sacked by Uso Seumalo for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 28

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the KSU 25

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Illegal Snap on KITLER, Caden enforced (-5 Yards) to the KSU 30

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

4th & 15Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +4.75

Timmy McClain pass complete to RJ Harvey for 29 yds to the KSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the KSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

RJ Harvey 1 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
38 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
47%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays