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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 44%

Market (Bovada)

Cincinnati +14

Edge: Cincinnati +14 (14.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OklahomaOklahoma
737320
CincinnatiCincinnati
30306

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-73-106-106-176-20
CincinnatiOklahoma

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINOKLCINOKLCINOKLCINOKLCINOKLCINOKLCINOKLOKLCINOKLCINOKLCINOKLCINOKLCINPUNT38ydPUNT412ydFG937ydTO1271ydPUNT423ydTD666ydPUNT39ydFG1272ydTO849ydPUNT413ydPUNT522ydPUNT39ydMISS937ydEND1-1ydPUNT519ydFG1249ydTD975ydDOWNS1055ydFG967ydDOWNS849ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS626ydPUNT68ydEND541yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oklahoma and Cincinnati
StatisticOklahomaCincinnati
Passing26-3822-42
Pass Yards322235
Rush Yards103141
Total Yards425376
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-163-15
Penalties8-532-20
Possession27:3532:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oklahoma
passing
Dillon Gabriel
26/38, 322 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Marcus Major
15 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Andrel Anthony Jr.
7 REC, 117 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Emory Jones
22/41, 235 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Emory Jones
15 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Chamon Metayer
3 REC, 50 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 4 yds to the CIN 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 4 yds to the CIN 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 57 yds, downed at the OU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 11 yds to the OU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.84

Marcus Major run for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 17

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 5 yds to the OU 22

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Josh Plaster punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Corey Kiner run for 11 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Emory Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

JONES, Emory pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HENDERSON, Xzavier thrown to the OKL13. PENALTY OKL Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Gentry enforced 15 yards to the OKL35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Ryan Montgomery run for 13 yds to the OU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Braden Smith run for no gain to the OU 22

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Emory Jones run for no gain to the OU 22

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Carter Brown 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalil Farooq run for no gain to the OU 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 11 yds to the OU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.09

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 19 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds to the CIN 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.43

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 7 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.45

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 18 yds to the CIN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds to the CIN 12

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Marcus Major run for no gain to the CIN 12

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.25

Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the CIN 10 Dillon Gabriel fumbled, recovered by CIN Jack Dingle

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.27

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 22 yds to the CIN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ryan Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.15

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 26 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tawee Walker for 16 yds to the CIN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the CIN 17

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.47

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 12 yds to the CIN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tawee Walker run for no gain to the CIN 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 5 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Myles Montgomery run for 7 yds to the CIN 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 1 yd to the CIN 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the CIN 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OU 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Marcus Major run for no gain to the OU 12

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.25

Dillon Gabriel sacked by Dorian Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the OU 6

3rd & 16Penalty0 yds

Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (Tyler Guyton) to the OU 3

3rd & 19Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.11

Marcus Major run for 19 yds to the OU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tawee Walker for 11 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the OU 34

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the OU 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.55

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 25 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.63

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 25 yds to the CIN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Marcus Major run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+34 yds

Zach Schmit 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.22

Emory Jones pass complete to Evan Prater for 14 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.70

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 35 yds to the OU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.90

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 26

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -2.98

Emory Jones pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 12 yds to the OU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the OU 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Josh Plaster punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 10 yds to the CIN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Emory Jones pass complete to Myles Montgomery for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 41

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OU 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the OU 13

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 8

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 9 yds to the OU 17

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Josh Plaster punt for 29 yds, downed at the OU 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 7 yds to the OU 39

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 14 yds to the OU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Emory Jones pass complete to Evan Prater for 10 yds to the OU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the OU 13

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Deondre Buford) to the OU 18

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 9 yds to the OU 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Carter Brown 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

[NH] Kneel down by GABRIEL, Dillon at OKL19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Gibson for 21 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 5 yds to the CIN 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 49

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

GABRIEL, Dillon pass up the middle complete for 8 yards to STOOPS, Drake caught at the CIN43 and advanced to the CIN43 (WILLIS, Ken). PENALTY Before the snap, OKL Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the OKL49 to the OKL44. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Josh Plaster punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the CIN 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 12 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 15 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the CIN 49

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the OU 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the OU 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the OU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Braden Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Emory Jones sacked by Jonah Laulu for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 37

4th & 13Field Goal Good+54 yds

Carter Brown 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Marcus Major run for 18 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Personal Foul (Bryon Threats) to the CIN 33 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.41

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the CIN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the CIN 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 8 yds to the CIN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the CIN 1

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Marcus Major run for 9 yds to the CIN 24

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Myles Montgomery run for 9 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 11 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 4 yds to the CIN 49

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.62

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for 16 yds to the OU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the OU 20

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Emory Jones run for no gain to the OU 20

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Emory Jones run for no gain to the OU 20

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.55

Emory Jones pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.54

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 49 yds to the CIN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 9 yds to the CIN 22

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

MAJOR, Marcus rush up the middle for a gain of 10 yards to the CIN12 (HARRIS, Justin). PENALTY OKL Holding on EVERETT, Troy enforced 10 yards from the CIN22 to the CIN32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for no gain to the CIN 32

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 10 yds to the CIN 22

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Dillon Gabriel run for 4 yds to the CIN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Marcus Major run for no gain to the CIN 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 5 yds to the CIN 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 yds

Zach Schmit 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Myles Montgomery run for 16 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 43

2nd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.88

Emory Jones sacked by Danny Stutsman for a loss of 11 yards to the CIN 32

3rd & 19Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.54

Emory Jones run for 20 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the OU 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the OU 40

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -1.91

Emory Jones pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the OU 30

3rd & 6Penalty0 yds

Oklahoma Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dillon Gabriel) to the OU 22

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Josh Plaster punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 8 yds to the CIN 41

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Ethan Wright run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ethan Wright run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the OU 47

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

JONES, Emory sacked for a loss of 9 yards at the CIN44 (BOTHROYD, Rondell), clock 04:36. PENALTY OKL Offsides on DOLBY, Kendel enforced 5 yards from the OKL47 to the OKL42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.71

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the OU 41

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the OU 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the OU 46

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.38

Dillon Gabriel run for 11 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalil Farooq run for 3 yds to the CIN 40

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the CIN 38

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

MAJOR, Marcus rush to the left for a gain of 19 yards to the CIN19 (YOUNG, Jordan). PENALTY OKL Holding on GREEN, Cayden enforced 10 yards from the CIN38 to the CIN48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the CIN 46

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

Oklahoma Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the OU 49

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Josh Plaster punt for 38 yds, downed at the CIN 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for 9 yds to the CIN 22

2nd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 12 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the CIN 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for 12 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Emory Jones pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Oklahoma

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
33 plays
2nd
63%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
25%
4 plays