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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3
Villanova
14
-Final
48
UCFUCF

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 12.4

Home Win Probability

UCF 77%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

UCF -26.5

Edge: Villanova +26.5 (14.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
0001414
UCFUCF
17177748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-017-024-034-041-748-748-14
UCFVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFVILUCFVILUCFVILUCFVILUCFVILUCFVILUCFVILUCFVILVILUCFVILUCFVILUCFVILUCFVILUCFFG1469ydPUNT31ydTD845ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT38ydTO10ydTD32ydPUNT413ydPUNT422ydPUNT417ydTD845ydPUNT45ydTD273ydPUNT38ydFG956ydEND12ydPUNT426ydPUNT525ydPUNT416ydTD987ydTD1375ydTD675ydPUNT38ydDOWNS619ydTD658ydEND1264yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and UCF
StatisticVillanovaUCF
Passing9-2324-33
Pass Yards144349
Rush Yards84251
Total Yards228600
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-127-15
Penalties3-207-43
Possession27:0832:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
9/23, 144 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Dee Wil Barlee
7 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Jaylan Sanchez
1 REC, 45 YDS
defense
UCF
passing
Timmy McClain
20/28, 321 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
RJ Harvey
14 CAR, 85 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kobe Hudson
6 REC, 147 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Timmy McClain pass complete to RJ Harvey for 9 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 32

1st & 15Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.63

RJ Harvey run for 22 yds to the VILL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the VILL 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the VILL 39

4th & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.55

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 22 yds to the VILL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Timmy McClain run for 3 yds to the VILL 14

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the VILL 14

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the VILL 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the VILL 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Colton Boomer 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

BOOMER, Colton kickoff 64 yards from the UCF35 to the VU1, AYO-DUROJAIYE, TD returned 11 yards to the VU12 (MCDONALD, Jordan;JOHNSON, Jason), clock 09:17. PENALTY UCF Offsides on MARTINEZ, Nikai enforced 5 yards from the UCF35 to the UCF30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the VILL 19

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the VILL 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Timmy McClain pass complete to Jarrad Baker for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 46

3rd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Timmy McClain run for 15 yds to the VILL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

RICHARDSON, Johnny rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the VU25 (TRINH, Ty;GLOVER, Elijah). PENALTY Before the snap, VU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the VU31 to the VU26. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Johnny Richardson run for no gain to the VILL 26

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the VILL 22

3rd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.35

Timmy McClain run for 19 yds to the VILL 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds to the VILL 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jordan McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the VILL 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.31

Connor Watkins sacked by Matthew Alexander for a loss of 9 yards to the VILL 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Xavier Townsend run for 4 yds to the UCF 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Timmy McClain pass complete to Javon Baker for 4 yds to the UCF 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Watkins pass intercepted

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jordan McDonald run for 1 yd to the VILL 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jordan McDonald run for no gain to the VILL 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jordan McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

DeeWil Barlee run for 13 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rayjuon Pringle run for no gain to the VILL 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 49 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for no gain UCF Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UCF 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.88

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 36 yds to the VILL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 4 yds to the VILL 33

3rd & 6Sack-18 ydsPPA -3.28

Timmy McClain sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the UCF 49

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Rayjuon Pringle at the VILL 10

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Jalen Jackson run for 10 yds to the VILL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Jackson run for 3 yds to the VILL 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Watkins run for 4 yds to the VILL 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.57

RJ Harvey run for 12 yds to the VILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Timmy McClain run for 7 yds to the VILL 26

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the VILL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 5 yds to the VILL 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Timmy McClain pass complete to RJ Harvey for 7 yds to the VILL 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Timmy McClain run for 5 yds to the VILL 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

DeeWil Barlee run for 12 yds to the VILL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Watkins pass complete to Justin Marcus for 1 yd to the VILL 38

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.66

Connor Watkins sacked by Tre'Mon Morris-Brash for a loss of 8 yards to the VILL 30

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +3.42

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 73 yds for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Illegal Block (Jarrad Baker) to the VILL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Timmy McClain pass complete to Javon Baker for 25 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 5 yds to the VILL 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Jackson run for 4 yds to the VILL 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.77

Timmy McClain pass complete to Javon Baker for 21 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.08

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 19 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.53

Johnny Richardson run for 15 yds to the VILL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the VILL 26

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Johnny Richardson run for 6 yds to the VILL 20

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.07

Xavier Townsend run for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 23

4th & 5Field Goal Good+41 yds

Colton Boomer 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the VILL 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 22 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for no gain to the VILL 47

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

WATKINS, Connor scrambles to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the VU49 (CELISCAR, Josh). PENALTY VU Holding on PICARD, Jake enforced 10 yards from the VU47 to the VU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 8 yds to the VILL 45

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Connor Watkins pass complete to Antonio Johnson for 6 yds to the UCF 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 46 yds, downed at the UCF 3

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Timmy McClain run for 9 yds to the UCF 12

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.10

RJ Harvey run for 8 yds to the UCF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Offsides (Ayden Howard) to the UCF 26

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the UCF 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Jalen Jackson run for 15 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Timmy McClain pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 4 yds to the UCF 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.51

Timmy McClain pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 18 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 8 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Timmy McClain pass complete to Javon Baker for 13 yds to the VILL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the VILL 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Timmy McClain pass complete to Javon Baker for 14 yds to the VILL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

RJ Harvey run for 24 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

DeeWil Barlee run for no gain to the VILL 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 11 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

DeeWil Barlee run for 4 yds to the VILL 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.61

Connor Watkins pass complete to DeeWil Barlee for 35 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Jackson run for 2 yds to the UCF 23

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 6 yds to the UCF 18

4th & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.11

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 10 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Jackson run for no gain to the UCF 8

2nd & 8Penalty+2 yds

UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (Lee Hunter) to the UCF 3

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the UCF 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Timmy McClain pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Johnny Richardson run for 7 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan McDonald run for 10 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Timmy McClain pass complete to Jaylon Griffin for 11 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Timmy McClain pass complete to Jaylon Griffin for 36 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

DeeWil Barlee run for 9 yds to the VILL 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

DeeWil Barlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Max Holler for 5 yds to the UCF 44

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan McDonald run for 5 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jordan McDonald run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jaylon Griffin for 3 yds to the VILL 47

4th & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.81

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 5 yds to the VILL 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 4 yds to the VILL 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 1 yd to the VILL 47

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.20

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 44

4th & 8Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +4.32

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 45 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Demarkcus Bowman run for 5 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan McDonald run for 4 yds to the UCF 34

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Jordan McDonald run for 9 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan McDonald run for 4 yds to the UCF 49

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.96

Dylan Rizk run for 8 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kam Ingram run for 5 yds to the VILL 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kam Ingram run for 4 yds to the VILL 34

3rd & 1Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Dylan Rizk sacked by Danny Abraham for a loss of 6 yards to the VILL 40

4th & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.02

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kam Ingram for 15 yds to the VILL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Kam Ingram run for 12 yds to the VILL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kam Ingram run for 2 yds to the VILL 11

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
27%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
25%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
59%
34 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play