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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas Tech by 10.4

Home Win Probability

Texas Tech 71%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Texas Tech -36.5

Edge: Tarleton State +36.5 (26.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tarleton State
00033
Texas TechTexas Tech
21310741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-024-027-034-041-041-3
Texas TechTarleton State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TTTSTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTSPUNT3-1ydTD33ydPUNT35ydTD764ydPUNT37ydTD768ydTO943ydPUNT833ydDOWNS1248ydFG1358ydPUNT538ydPUNT649ydEND13ydPUNT519ydPUNT523ydTO22ydFG42ydDOWNS1022ydTD447ydPUNT520ydTD1485ydFG1371ydTO34ydEND1045yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tarleton State and Texas Tech
StatisticTarleton StateTexas Tech
Passing24-4418-33
Pass Yards197195
Rush Yards145221
Total Yards342416
Turnovers31
3rd Down6-176-14
Penalties5-562-24
Possession32:3127:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
21/40, 182 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Caleb Lewis
11 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Benjamin Omayebu
12 REC, 76 YDS
defense
Texas Tech
passing
Tyler Shough
10/20, 123 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tahj Brooks
19 CAR, 158 YDS
receiving
Jordan Brown
6 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Shough sacked by Josh Griffis for a loss of 4 yards to the TTU 14

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the TTU 17

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 49 yds, downed at the TAR 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 37

3rd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+54 ydsPPA -7.43

Malik Dunlap 54 Yd Interception Return (Gino Garcia Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Dawson Hearne for 2 yds to the TAR 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.43

Tahj Brooks run for 38 yds to the TAR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 2 yds to the TAR 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 6 yds to the TAR 18

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TAR 17

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.68

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TAR 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Tahj Brooks run for 10 yds to the TAR 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyler Shough run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the TAR 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the TAR 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Derrel Kelley III run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TTU 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Tahj Brooks run for 15 yds to the TAR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the TAR 36

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 8 yds to the TAR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 28 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the TAR 26

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the TAR 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Dawson Otto for 6 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 17 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the TTU 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 8 yds to the TTU 38

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.85

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.10

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.30

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 15 yds to the TTU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jordan Brown for 7 yds to the TTU 36

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.86

Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 3 yds to the TTU 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the TAR 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 5 yds to the TAR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.35

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 21 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the TTU 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Victor Gabalis run for 1 yd to the TTU 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the TTU 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 3 yds to the TTU 32

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.29

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tahj Brooks run for 12 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TAR 48

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 3 yds to the TAR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the TAR 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jordan Brown for 6 yds to the TAR 36

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Xavier White run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 37

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.93

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TAR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.36

Tahj Brooks run for 22 yds to the TAR 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Shough pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 1 yd to the TAR 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Gino Garcia 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 15 yds to the TAR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Derrel Kelley III run for 25 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Derrel Kelley III run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 37

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 35 yds, downed at the TTU 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 5

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.51

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jordan Brown for 46 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Tyler Shough sacked by Kyle Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the TTU 44

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TAR 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds, downed at the TAR 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 6

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the TAR 23

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 11 yds to the TAR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 31

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jordan Brown for 5 yds to the TTU 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Austin McNamara punt for 47 yds, downed at the TAR 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the TAR 7

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA +0.10

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 4 yds to the TAR 23

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TAR 23

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.11

Behren Morton sacked by Ahmir Crowder for a loss of 2 yards to the TAR 25

4th & 8Field Goal Good+43 yds

Gino Garcia 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the TAR 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Victor Gabalis run for 6 yds to the TAR 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the TAR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the TTU 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 3 yds to the TTU 45

4th & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.43

Victor Gabalis sacked by Myles Cole for a loss of 8 yards to the TAR 47

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MORTON, Behren pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Jordan thrown to the TSU28. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on KURNS, Kasyus enforced 15 yards to the TSU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 9 yds to the TAR 23

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.40

Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds to the TAR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 15 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 29

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.92

Kayvon Britten run for 16 yds to the TAR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TAR 38

2nd & 17Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Caleb Lewis run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.53

Victor Gabalis sacked by Myles Cole for a loss of 5 yards to the TAR 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 7 yds to the TTU 22

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Bryson Donnell run for 4 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.08

Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 15 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Behren Morton run for 7 yds to the TTU 48

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.98

Bryson Donnell run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.40

Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 9 yds to the TAR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 10 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 8 yds to the TAR 28

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 6 yds to the TAR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MORTON, Behren pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BRADLEY, Jerand thrown to the TSU0. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on HAWKINS, Dabari enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards to the TSU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Behren Morton run for 6 yds to the TAR 5

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 5 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 7 yds to the TAR 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 6 yds to the TAR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Caleb Lewis run for 1 yd to the TAR 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.86

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 33 yds to the TTU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Caleb Lewis run for 6 yds to the TTU 22

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Caleb Lewis run for 4 yds to the TTU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Caleb Lewis run for 12 yds to the TTU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-10 yds

LEWIS, Caleb rush to the right for no gain to the TTU6 (JORDAN, Brenden). PENALTY TSU Holding on OTTO, Dawson enforced 10 yards from the TTU6 to the TTU16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Tucker Swoboda for 10 yds to the TTU 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Caleb Lewis run for 2 yds to the TTU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Adrian Guzman 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TTU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryson Donnell run for 2 yds to the TTU 32

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.76

Behren Morton pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Caleb Lewis run for 6 yds to the TTU 47

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Daniel Greek run for 1 yd to the TTU 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Daniel Greek pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.49

Daniel Greek pass complete to Dawson Otto for 4 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Caleb Lewis run for 2 yds to the TTU 40

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Caleb Lewis run for 13 yds to the TTU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Caleb Lewis run for 1 yd to the TTU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Daniel Greek pass complete to Caleb Lewis for 3 yds to the TTU 23

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 28

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

GREEK, Daniel pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Dejuan thrown to the TTU0. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on HORN, Maurion enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the TTU14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Daniel Greek sacked by Terrell Tilmon for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Daniel Greek pass complete to Tucker Swoboda for 8 yds to the TTU 8

Situational Analysis

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
38%
8 plays
44%
16 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
69%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays