Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oklahoma State by 2.7

Home Win Probability

Oklahoma State 54%

Market (Bovada)

Oklahoma State -7

Edge: South Alabama +7 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
101301033
Oklahoma StateOklahoma State
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-100-160-237-237-33
Oklahoma StateSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSSAOSSAOSSAOSSAOSSAOSSAOSSASAOSSAOSSASAOSSAOSSAPUNT627ydFG1468ydPUNT34ydTD870ydTO32ydTD117ydPUNT718ydPUNT615ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT35ydPUNT518ydTD359ydPUNT3-7ydUncategorized23ydPUNT523ydPUNT921ydPUNT726ydTD1784ydPUNT34ydFG40ydPUNT3-2ydTD267ydPUNT56ydEND728yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Oklahoma State
StatisticSouth AlabamaOklahoma State
Passing10-1616-35
Pass Yards152114
Rush Yards24394
Total Yards395208
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-144-15
Penalties8-407-64
Possession34:4025:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Carter Bradley
10/16, 152 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
La'Damian Webb
18 CAR, 151 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Caullin Lacy
5 REC, 104 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Oklahoma State
passing
Gunnar Gundy
9/18, 64 YDS
rushing
Elijah Collins
9 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Jaden Bray
5 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Collin Oliver
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 8 yds to the OKST 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 5 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 14 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun Stribling

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon II

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hudson Kaak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USA 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 6 yds to the USA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds to the USA 28

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 35

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kentrel Bullock run for no gain to the USA 35

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.48

La'Damian Webb run for 11 yds to the USA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bradley,Carter pass complete short right to Ivory,Javon for 2 yards to the USA48 (Benson,Xavier) PENALTY OSU Holding (Black,Korie) 10 yards from USA46 to OSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the OKST 43

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the OKST 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.30

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 17 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Marco Lee Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 3 yds to the OKST 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 yds

Diego Guajardo 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 64 yds , Jaden Nixon return for 23 yds to the OKST 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 28

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 30 , Caullin Lacy returns for no gain to the USA 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the USA 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the USA 35

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.75

Carter Bradley run for 5 yds to the USA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 44

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bradley,Carter pass complete short left to Lacy,Caullin for 8 yards to the OSU48 (Rawls,Lyrik; Daniels,Kendal) PENALTY USA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Ivory,Javon) 5 yards from USA44 to USA39. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.31

Kentrel Bullock run for 12 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the OKST 46

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 39 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the OKST 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the OKST 27

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA +0.01

Alan Bowman pass intercepted

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

La'Damian Webb run for 17 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the OKST 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the OKST 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 10 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the OKST 48

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass complete deep right to Shettron,Talyn for 34 yards to the USA18 (Robinson,Marquise), out of bounds PENALTY OSU Holding (Johnson,Josiah) 10 yards from OSU48 to OSU38. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for no gain to the OKST 38

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 5 yds to the OKST 43

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 18

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 22

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Carter Bradley run for 11 yds to the USA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 2 yds to the USA 32

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 26

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Blaine Green

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 2 yds to the OKST 33

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.46

Gunnar Gundy sacked by Quentin Wilfawn for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 29

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 28

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USA 47

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the USA 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 1 yd to the USA 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the OKST 15

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Gunnar Gundy run for 15 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the OKST 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Talyn Shettron

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

Oklahoma State Penalty, Chop Block ( Yards) declined

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Marco Lee Jr. run for 2 yds to the USA 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jay'juan Townsend

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +6.30

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 57 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Brennan Presley

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Gunnar Gundy run for 6 yds to the OKST 31

3rd & 4Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.76

Gunnar Gundy sacked by Jamie Sheriff for a loss of 13 yards to the OKST 18

4th & 17Punt+3 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 49 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 3 yds to the USA 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Javon Ivory

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 39

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Logan Ward kickoff for 62 yds , Kentrel Bullock return for 17 yds to the USA 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USA 24

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.62

La'Damian Webb run for 15 yds to the USA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Carter Bradley) to the USA 30

2nd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the USA 31

3rd & 18Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.19

Carter Bradley pass complete to Javon Ivory for 17 yds to the USA 48

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USA False Start 5 yards from USA48 to USA43. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 8

2nd & 6Penalty-4 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gordon,Ollie rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU12 (Sheriff,Jamie) PENALTY OSU Holding (Brooks Jr.,Jason) 4 yards from OSU08 to OSU04. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Talyn Shettron

3rd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.25

Gunnar Gundy run for 21 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gunnar Gundy run for 1 yd to the OKST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the OKST 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.74

Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Jaden Bray for 9 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the OKST 43

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gundy,Gunnar pass complete short middle to Shettron,Talyn for 2 yards to the OSU45 (Miller,James) PENALTY OSU Holding (Cooper,Dalton) 10 yards from OSU43 to OSU33. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Rashod Owens

3rd & 19Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.18

Gunnar Gundy sacked by Brock Higdon for a loss of 8 yards to the OKST 25

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 29

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 19

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Kentrel Bullock run for 10 yds to the USA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 33

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kentrel Bullock run for no gain to the USA 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.22

Carter Bradley pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 10 yds to the USA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -2.74

Carter Bradley sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 14 yards to the USA 29 Carter Bradley fumbled, recovered by USA James Robinson , return for 0 yards

2nd & 24Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the USA 34

3rd & 19Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Marco Lee Jr. run for 11 yds to the USA 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKST 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Gunnar Gundy pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 3 yds to the OKST 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 11 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the OKST 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 6 yds to the OKST 39

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.98

Gunnar Gundy run for 1 yd to the OKST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.41

Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 15 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Gunnar Gundy run for no gain to the USA 45

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.69

Jaden Nixon run for 16 yds to the USA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Jaden Bray for 10 yds to the USA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the USA 12

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the USA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from USA09 to USA14. NO PLAY.

1st & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Gunnar Gundy run for 8 yds to the USA 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the USA 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the USA 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USA 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 47 yds, muffed by OSU Brennan Presley, recovered by USA Travis Drosos, returned for no gain to the OKST 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the OKST 20

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the OKST 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to DJ Thomas-Jones

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USA False Start (Carney,Malachi) 5 yards from OSU19 to OSU24. NO PLAY.

4th & 10Field Goal Good+42 yds

Diego Guajardo 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gordon,Ollie rush middle for 8 yards gain to the OSU33 (Miller,James; Banks,Yam) PENALTY OSU Holding (Michalski,Joe) 10 yards from OSU25 to OSU15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Garret Rangel run for 8 yds to the OKST 23

3rd & 12Penalty0 yds

Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the USA 35

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +6.03

La'Damian Webb run for 65 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USA False Start (Gavin,Reid) 5 yards from OSU03 to OSU08. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 65 yds , Jaden Nixon return for 19 yds to the OKST 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the OKST 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Garret Rangel pass complete to Jaden Bray for 8 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Jaden Bray

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Garret Rangel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.39

Garret Rangel sacked by Brock Higdon for a loss of 7 yards to the OKST 25

4th & 17Punt+6 yds

Wes Pahl punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 28 , Caullin Lacy returns for 6 yds to the USA 28

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Marco Lee Jr. run for 7 yds to the USA 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Marco Lee Jr. run for 4 yds to the USA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USA False Start 5 yards from USA39 to USA34. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marco Lee Jr. run for 5 yds to the USA 39

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Kentrel Bullock run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kentrel Bullock run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Kentrel Bullock run for 8 yds to the OKST 42

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

D. Trotter takes a knee

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
31%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Oklahoma State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
57%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play