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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 11.4

Home Win Probability

Ohio 74%

Market (Bovada)

Ohio +2.5

Edge: Ohio +2.5 (13.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
00077
OhioOhio
007310

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407147-010-010-7
OhioIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OHIISOHIISOHIISOHIISOHIISOHIISOHIISOHIISOHIISOHIISOHIPUNT31ydPUNT36ydPUNT1049ydMISS1156ydMISS846ydPUNT415ydPUNT1137ydPUNT415ydEND836ydTO211ydTD623ydPUNT529ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydFG1281ydMISS1463ydPUNT39ydTD272ydPUNT415ydTO10ydEND3-26yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Ohio
StatisticIowa StateOhio
Passing17-2416-32
Pass Yards233135
Rush Yards38112
Total Yards271247
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-116-16
Penalties5-501-15
Possession24:0935:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
17/24, 233 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Rocco Becht
9 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Daniel Jackson
3 REC, 65 YDS
defense
Ohio
passing
Kurtis Rourke
16/32, 135 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kurtis Rourke
7 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Sam Wiglusz
5 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.11

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for no gain to the OHIO 17

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jared Wheatley punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the OHIO 48

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the OHIO 40

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 6

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 13 yds to the OHIO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 25

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Kurtis Rourke run for 12 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the OHIO 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 8 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 49

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the ISU 48

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jared Wheatley punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 4 yds to the ISU 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +4.08

Rocco Becht pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 45 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the OHIO 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the OHIO 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 28

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the OHIO 24

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 29

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Chase Contreraz 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for no gain to the OHIO 29

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the OHIO 33

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

ROURKE, Kurtis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WIGLUSZ, Sam thrown to the ISU44. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on COOPER, Jeremiah enforced 15 yards to the OHI48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the ISU 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.44

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 22 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the ISU 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Gianni Spetic 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for 12 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 32

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the ISU 34

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Rocco Becht run for 6 yds to the ISU 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Kurtis Rourke run for 12 yds to the OHIO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 24

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Kurtis Rourke run for 11 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 3 yds to the OHIO 38

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the OHIO 43

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.63

O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the ISU 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -2.01

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for a loss of 8 yards to the OHIO 46

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jared Wheatley punt for 42 yds, downed at the ISU 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.59

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 12 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Rocco Becht pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 7 yds to the ISU 31

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.41

run for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Kurtis Rourke run for 8 yds to the OHIO 30

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROURKE, Kurtis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JONES, Jacoby thrown to the ISU28. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on PORTER, Darien enforced 15 yards to the OHI48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 10 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the ISU 20

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds to the ISU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.39

Rocco Becht pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the ISU 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds to the ISU 16

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Kurtis Rourke run for 11 yds to the ISU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the ISU 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 5 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the ISU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 14 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the ISU 48

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the ISU 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 5 yds to the OHIO 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 31 yds, downed at the OHIO 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 17

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jared Wheatley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the ISU 33

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Gabe Burkle) to the ISU 28

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the ISU 35

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the ISU 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the ISU 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds, downed at the OHIO 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.27

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 22 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.26

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 20 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the ISU 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.63

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 15 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 5 yds to the ISU 19

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Kurtis Rourke run for 6 yds to the ISU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the ISU 9

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Gianni Spetic 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Rocco Becht run for 6 yds to the ISU 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 27

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Rocco Becht sacked by Kwame Sutton for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 10 yds to the ISU 38

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.35

Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.53

Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 19 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the OHIO 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 6 yds to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.28

Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 31

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 12 yds to the OHIO 19

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Chase Contreraz 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the OHIO 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the OHIO 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jared Wheatley punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BECHT, Rocco pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden thrown to the OHI22; QB hurried by WATKINS, Vonnie. PENALTY OHI Pass Interference on BIRCHETTE, Justin enforced 15 yards to the ISU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.87

Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 39 yds to the OHIO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 18 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 16 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 41

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 42

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jared Wheatley punt for 48 yds, downed at the ISU 12

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.27

Rocco Becht pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at ISU27 (team loss of 11).

2nd & 21Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at ISU35 (team loss of 8).

3rd & 29Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at ISU42 (team loss of 7), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
27 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
50%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th