Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2
UCFUCF
18
-Final
16
Boise StateBoise State

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 4.6

Home Win Probability

Boise State 58%

Market (Bovada)

Boise State +3

Edge: Boise State +3 (7.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
360918
Boise StateBoise State
730616

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-310-9
Boise StateUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFUCFBSBSUCFBSUCFBSUCFBSUCFBSBSBSBSUCFUCFBSUCFUCFFG748ydTO360ydPUNT847ydTD572ydDOWNS762ydPUNT730ydFG1078ydPUNT49ydPUNT36ydFG631ydFG511ydEND621ydPUNT830ydPUNT621ydTO538ydTO875ydPUNT837ydTD1375ydTD1286ydFG958yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Boise State
StatisticUCFBoise State
Passing16-2414-27
Pass Yards272211
Rush Yards258173
Total Yards530384
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-106-14
Penalties4-254-39
Possession28:0331:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
John Rhys Plumlee
16/24, 272 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
John Rhys Plumlee
11 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Kobe Hudson
5 REC, 134 YDS
Boise State
passing
Taylen Green
9/19, 144 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ashton Jeanty
24 CAR, 115 YDS
receiving
Ashton Jeanty
5 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 27

3rd & 3Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.76

Xavier Townsend run for 39 yds to the BOIS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Javon Baker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 2 yds to the BOIS 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Xavier Townsend

4th & 8Field Goal Good+50 yds

Colton Boomer 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.44

John Rhys Plumlee pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.36

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 49 yds to the BOIS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Demarkcus Bowman run for 11 yds to the BOIS 15 for a 1ST down

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Ashton Jeanty

4th & 12Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 8

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Taylen Green run for 9 yds to the BOIS 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 22

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 17 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Ashton Jeanty

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds , Cole Wright return for 28 yds to the BOIS 28

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 38 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.09

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 23 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Crowe run for 3 yds to the UCF 46

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the UCF 41

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.94
1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 20 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.79

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 29 yds to the BOIS 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the BOIS 18

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the BOIS 17

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the BOIS 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the BOIS 15

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26
3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 9 yds to the BOIS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Ashton Jeanty run for 16 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the BOIS 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 54 yds

3rd & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.66

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 14 yds to the BOIS 15

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Colton Boomer 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.59

RJ Harvey sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the BOIS 29

4th & 18Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 50 yds

4th & 4Punt+7 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 54 yds , Chase Penry returns for 7 yds to the BOIS 31

4th & 10Field Goal Good+56 yds

Jonah Dalmas 56 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Jonah Dalmas kickoff for 50 yds , Xavier Townsend return for 34 yds to the UCF 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.54

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 2 yds to the BOIS 31

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, false start (Lokahi Pauole) to the BOIS 36

4th & 6Field Goal Good+55 yds

Colton Boomer 55 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85
3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 9 yds to the BOIS 46

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.74

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jambres Dubar run for 6 yds to the BOIS 26

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.48

Taylen Green pass complete to Chase Penry for 8 yds to the BOIS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 42

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs, broken up by Ricky Barber

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.33

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 13 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Jambres Dubar run for 24 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 47

2nd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.25

Maddux Madsen sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the BOIS 43

3rd & 21Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.29

Maddux Madsen sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 38

4th & 26Punt+5 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 53 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 5 yds to the UCF 14

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.77

Taylen Green pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 17 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.02

Ashton Jeanty run for 21 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49
2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -4.33

John Rhys Plumlee pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 13

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

RJ Harvey run for 10 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

RJ Harvey run for 9 yds to the UCF 32

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.09

Johnny Richardson run for 17 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the BOIS 47

2nd & 6Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.50

Johnny Richardson run for 31 yds to the BOIS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the BOIS 13

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 5 yds to the UCF 41

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94
4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the UCF 12

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.66

RJ Harvey run for 12 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

RJ Harvey run for 8 yds to the UCF 32

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 33

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.02

Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Riley Smith for 8 yds to the BOIS 33

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 3 yards to the BOIS 39

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.67

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 14 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the UCF 35

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the UCF 32

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.56

Maddux Madsen run for 4 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Shea Whiting

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Billy Bowens, broken up by Nikai Martinez

0th & 0Passing Touchdown+28 yds

Stefan Cobbs 28 Yd pass from Maddux Madsen (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

RJ Harvey 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the UCF 19

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46
3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.81

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 16 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 8Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.39

UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (Zach Marsh Wojan) to the UCF 27

2nd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 4 yds to the UCF 31

3rd & 14Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +4.56

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 53 yds to the BOIS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds to the BOIS 8

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.43

for a 1ST down Boise State Penalty, off-side (Demitri Washington) to the BOIS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 5

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jonah Dalmas kickoff for 61 yds , Johnny Richardson return for 16 yds to the UCF 20

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the BOIS 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the BOIS 22

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

John Rhys Plumlee run for 10 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, false start (Marcellus Marshall) to the UCF 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.38

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 16 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 11 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.63

RJ Harvey run for 11 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

John Rhys Plumlee run for 7 yds to the BOIS 30

0th & 0Field Goal Good+40 yds

Colton Boomer 40 Yd Field Goal

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play