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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oklahoma by 19.1

Home Win Probability

Oklahoma 88%

Market (Bovada)

Oklahoma -36.5

Edge: Arkansas State +36.5 (17.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas StateArkansas State
00000
OklahomaOklahoma
281721773

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-021-028-035-042-045-052-066-073-0
OklahomaArkansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OKLASASOKLASOKLASOKLASOKLASOKLASASOKLASOKLASOKLASOKLASOKLASTD570ydTD34ydPUNT424ydTD1080ydMISS748ydTD1373ydTO3-6ydTD670ydMISS749ydTD574ydPUNT39ydFG1182ydEND13ydPUNT32ydTD1065ydDOWNS637ydTD462ydTO17ydTD534ydPUNT38ydTD1167ydPUNT727ydPUNT38ydEND414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas State and Oklahoma
StatisticArkansas StateOklahoma
Passing13-2730-33
Pass Yards160422
Rush Yards48220
Total Yards208642
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-1211-14
Penalties14-1116-65
Possession23:0436:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas State
passing
JT Shrout
12/26, 148 YDS
rushing
Jaxon Dailey
3 CAR, 11 YDS
receiving
Courtney Jackson
3 REC, 66 YDS
defense
Oklahoma
passing
Dillon Gabriel
19/22, 308 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jovantae Barnes
13 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Nic Anderson
2 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 3 yds to the OU 38

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.76

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 45 yds to the ARST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 10 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 4 yds to the ARST 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+82 yds

William Przystup punt for 53 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for 82 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Zach Schmit kickoff for 56 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 16 yds to the ARST 25

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

J.T. Shrout run for 10 yds to the ARST 35 for a 1ST down Oklahoma Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Zak Wallace run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Jalil Farooq run for 10 yds to the OU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 21 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 11 yds to the ARST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the ARST 32

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Marcus Major run for 8 yds to the ARST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-12 ydsPPA -2.90

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 3 yds to the ARST 21 Oklahoma Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the ARST 36

2nd & 22Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.10

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 18 yds to the ARST 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.28

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 14 yds to the ARST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+2 yds

Major, Marcus rush for no gain to the ARST4, PENALTY ARST substitution infraction 2 yards to the ARST2, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Marcus Major run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 0Penalty+2 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the ARST 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brian Snead run for 1 yd to the ARST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.57

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Tennel Bryant for 6 yds to the ARST 32 for a 1ST down Oklahoma Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ARST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.40

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Corey Rucker for 28 yds to the OU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jeff Foreman

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brian Snead run for no gain to the OU 25

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Zak Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 27

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Dominic Zvada 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the OU 32

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jovantae Barnes run for 4 yds to the OU 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the OU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the OU 39

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ARST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jovantae Barnes run for 6 yds to the ARST 40

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARST 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.35

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 13 yds to the ARST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Tawee Walker run for 11 yds to the ARST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the ARST 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the ARST 13

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.57

Jovantae Barnes run for 6 yds to the ARST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 7 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

2nd & 0Penalty+2 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the ARST 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.53

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for a loss of 6 yards to the ARST 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+8 yds

William Przystup punt for 59 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for 8 yds to the OU 30 Gavin Freeman fumbled, recovered by OU Gavin Freeman

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 5 yds to the OU 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 6 yds to the OU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 16 yds to the ARST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the ARST 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.51

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Gibson for 33 yds to the ARST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.36

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 47 yds to the OU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the OU 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Adam Jones for 5 yds to the OU 21

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OU 26

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Dominic Zvada 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 16 yds to the OU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.51

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 52 yds to the ARST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the ARST 5

2nd & 0Penalty-10 yds

Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ARST 15

2nd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Dillon Gabriel run for 10 yds to the ARST 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ARST 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ARST 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 1 yd to the ARST 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OU 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the OU 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.62

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Blake Smith for 28 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ARST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for a loss of 4 yards to the ARST 45

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.31

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 11 yds to the ARST 39

3rd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.05

Jovantae Barnes run for 16 yds to the ARST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jovantae Barnes run for 4 yds to the ARST 19

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

Major, Marcus rush for loss of 2 yards to the ARST21, PENALTY ARST personal foul 10 yards to the ARST9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the ARST 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the ARST 6

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the ARST 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Zach Schmit 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brian Snead run for 3 yds to the ARST 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the ARST 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the ARST 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 38 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton returns for no gain to the OU 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the OU 39

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Marcus Major run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 38

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OU 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.87

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 9 yds to the ARST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the ARST 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 6 yds to the ARST 40

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Marcus Major run for 8 yds to the ARST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 9 yds to the ARST 23

2nd & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA -0.04

Jackson Arnold pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 16 yds to the ARST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the ARST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

2nd & 0Penalty+2 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the ARST 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Adam Jones for 14 yds to the ARST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 15 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the OU 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brian Snead for 7 yds to the OU 38

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.10

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 2 yds to the OU 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.68

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Kade McIntyre for 26 yds to the ARST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 13 yds to the ARST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jayden Gibson for 21 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Zach Schmit kickoff for 64 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 26 yds to the ARST 27

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -1.07

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Tennel Bryant for 7 yds Tennel Bryant fumbled, recovered by OU Kani Walker

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Jackson Arnold run for 11 yds to the ARST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jackson Arnold run for 4 yds to the ARST 19

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Daylan Smothers run for 8 yds to the ARST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Daylan Smothers run for 4 yds to the ARST 7

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Jackson Arnold run for 7 yds for a TD (Gavin Marshall KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Snead run for no gain to the ARST 25

2nd & 10Penalty-12 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Illegal Block (-12 Yards) to the ARST 13

2nd & 22Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.04

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Tennel Bryant for 20 yds to the ARST 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 34 yds, downed at the OU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 13 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Daylan Smothers run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 44

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 5 yds to the OU 49

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.53

Jackson Arnold run for 11 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Daylan Smothers run for 1 yd to the ARST 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.24

Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for a loss of 6 yards to the ARST 45

3rd & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.26

Daylan Smothers run for no gain to the ARST 45 for a 1ST down Arkansas State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ARST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Daylan Smothers run for 3 yds to the ARST 27

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jackson Arnold run for 6 yds to the ARST 21

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Kalib Hicks run for 9 yds to the ARST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (6 Yards) to the ARST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Kalib Hicks run for 6 yds for a TD (Gavin Marshall KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zak Wallace run for 9 yds to the ARST 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the ARST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Zak Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARST 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.35

Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 12 yds to the ARST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Cedric Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 46

2nd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaxon Dailey sacked by Ethan Downs for a loss of 2 yards to the ARST 44

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Jaxon Dailey run for 8 yds to the OU 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 47 yds, downed at the OU 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Daylan Smothers run for 2 yds to the OU 3

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Davis Beville run for 2 yds to the OU 5

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OU 10

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Kalib Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 9

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Plaster punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the ARST 41

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cedric Hawkins run for 3 yds to the ARST 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cedric Hawkins run for no gain to the ARST 44

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ARST 49

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Jaxon Dailey run for 5 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Cedric Hawkins run for 1 yd to the OU 45

Situational Analysis

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
22%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Oklahoma

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
55%
38 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th