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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 51%

Market (Bovada)

Iowa State -7.5

Edge: Northern Iowa +7.5 (6.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Iowa
00369
Iowa StateIowa State
1497030

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-020-030-330-9
Iowa StateNorthern Iowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NINIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISISNIISNIISNIISNIISNITD431ydPUNT38ydPUNT49ydPUNT34ydTD721ydPUNT517ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT36ydPUNT32ydPUNT35ydPUNT419ydTD671ydTO413ydFG10ydTD487ydFG1261ydPUNT620ydPUNT938ydPUNT35ydTD557ydPUNT31ydDOWNS1559ydPUNT38ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Iowa and Iowa State
StatisticNorthern IowaIowa State
Passing17-3514-18
Pass Yards173116
Rush Yards106134
Total Yards279250
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-152-11
Penalties6-529-81
Possession34:2425:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
16/34, 164 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tye Edwards
16 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Logan Wolf
3 REC, 40 YDS
defense
Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
10/13, 113 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Cartevious Norton
11 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Benjamin Brahmer
1 REC, 36 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(15:00) DAY, Theo pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MORANCY, Sergio thrown to the ISU43, clock 14:55. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on FREYLER, Beau enforced 15 yards to the UNI40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Tyjahree Edwards for 9 yds to the UNI 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyjahree Edwards run for 4 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the ISU 44

2nd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+58 ydsPPA -10.03

Jeremiah Cooper 58 Yd Interception Return (Chase Contreraz Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Tyjahree Edwards run for 9 yds to the UNI 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyjahree Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Iowa State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ISU 19

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(10:41) BECHT, Rocco pass short to the left complete for 10 yards to KLOTZ, Stevo caught at the ISU21 and advanced to the ISU29 (STALEY, Dalesean), clock 10:36. PENALTY ISU Holding on SIMMONS, Darrell enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the ISU19 to the ISU10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the ISU 15

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the ISU 19

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Rocco Becht run for 9 yds to the ISU 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 70 yds, downed at the UNI 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the UNI 5

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the UNI 3

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyjahree Edwards run for 2 yds to the UNI 5

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Theo Day run for 1 yd to the UNI 6

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the UNI 17

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the UNI 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 9 yds to the UNI 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the UNI 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the UNI 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNI 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Rocco Becht run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Tyjahree Edwards run for 9 yds to the UNI 39

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Tyjahree Edwards run for 8 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 4 yds to the ISU 49

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.96

Harrison Bey-Buie run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNI 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 42 yds, downed at the ISU 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the ISU 11

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 10

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 9 yds to the ISU 19

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 7 yds to the UNI 29

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.72

Theo Day sacked by Caleb Bacon for a loss of 8 yards to the UNI 21

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the ISU 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.27

J.J. Kohl pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 48

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

J.J. Kohl run for 5 yds to the UNI 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the UNI 23

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyjahree Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 5 yds to the ISU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyjahree Edwards run for 11 yds to the UNI 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyjahree Edwards run for 5 yds to the UNI 36

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the UNI 40

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Harrison Bey-Buie run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 3 yds to the ISU 32

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.36

Abu Sama III run for 8 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.82

Abu Sama III run for 26 yds to the UNI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(01:44) SAMA, Abu rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the UNI27 (BOYD, Khristian;GOVERNOR, Woo), clock 01:38. PENALTY ISU Holding on HUFFORD, Jarrod enforced 10 yards from the UNI34 to the UNI44 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.73

Rocco Becht pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 15 yds to the UNI 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 15 yds to the UNI 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Tyler Moore 14 Yd pass from Rocco Becht ( PAT failed)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Theo Day sacked by Will McLaughlin for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.63

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 19 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNI 42

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 10Field Goal Good+56 yds

Chase Contreraz 56 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Woo Governor) to the ISU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(14:36) BECHT, Rocco pass deep to the left incomplete intended for NOEL, Jaylin thrown to the UNI30, clock 14:32. PENALTY UNI Roughing the Passer on CROOK-JONES, Cartez enforced 15 yards from the ISU31 to the ISU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Dimitri Stanley) to the ISU 41

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the ISU 47

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Cartevious Norton run for 17 yds to the UNI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 36 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 2 yds to the UNI 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Tyjahree Edwards run for 6 yds to the UNI 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 6 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 15 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the ISU 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.98

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 18 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the ISU 20

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 6 yds to the ISU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Matthew Cook 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ISU 33

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 34

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.17

J.J. Kohl run for 9 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

J.J. Kohl pass complete to Jaylin Noel for no gain to the ISU 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.98

J.J. Kohl pass complete to Abu Sama III for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 42

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

J.J. Kohl run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 38 yds, downed at the UNI 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 1 yd to the UNI 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Theo Day pass complete to Naran Buntin for 2 yds to the UNI 15

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.11

Theo Day run for 10 yds to the UNI 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Josh Jenkins run for 5 yds to the UNI 30

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

(01:30) DAY, Theo pass short to the right incomplete intended for MCCULLOUGH, Brady broken up by HOWARD, Trevon at the UNI35; QB hurried by ELLIS, Jacob, clock 01:27. PENALTY ISU Roughing the Passer on ELLIS, Jacob enforced 15 yards from the UNI30 to the UNI45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 15 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyjahree Edwards run for no gain to the ISU 40

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Theo Day sacked by Myles Purchase for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

J.J. Kohl pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 5 yds to the ISU 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

J.J. Kohl pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.83

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 36 yds to the ISU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 11 yds to the ISU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyjahree Edwards run for 7 yds to the ISU 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Desmond Hutson 3 Yd pass from Theo Day (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Matthew Cook kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the ISU 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the ISU 10

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the ISU 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ISU 8

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 46 yds, downed at the UNI 36

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Theo Day run for 10 yds to the UNI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyjahree Edwards run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.20

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 11 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Theo Day pass complete to Tyjahree Edwards for 6 yds to the ISU 33

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Harrison Bey-Buie run for no gain to the ISU 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.92

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 5 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 3 yds to the ISU 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.01

Theo Day sacked by Trent Jones II for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 26

4th & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.99

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 16 yds to the ISU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Harrison Bey-Buie run for no gain to the ISU 10

4th & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA -3.49

Theo Day run for 5 yds to the ISU 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the ISU 10

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the ISU 13

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the ISU 13

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 60 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.60

Theo Day sacked by Caleb Bacon for a loss of 6 yards to the UNI 21

3rd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Harrison Bey-Buie run for no gain to the UNI 21

Situational Analysis

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
14%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
13 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play