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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 11.5

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 71%

Market (Bovada)

Cincinnati -21.5

Edge: Eastern Kentucky +21.5 (10.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Eastern Kentucky
073313
CincinnatiCincinnati
2121101466

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-021-035-042-745-752-1059-1366-13
CincinnatiEastern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINEKCINEKCINEKCINEKCINEKCINEKEKCINEKCINEKCINEKCINEKCINEKCINEKTD771ydPUNT424ydTD587ydPUNT39ydTD980ydTO842ydTD477ydPUNT36ydTD865ydTD474ydTD1084ydEND210ydTO2-5ydFG4-9ydDOWNS748ydTO1-6ydFG4-7ydTD1175ydTO518ydTD637ydFG1349ydTD475ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-2ydEND11yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Eastern Kentucky and Cincinnati
StatisticEastern KentuckyCincinnati
Passing13-2523-27
Pass Yards177438
Rush Yards125229
Total Yards302667
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-1110-14
Penalties7-427-55
Possession28:1431:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Eastern Kentucky
passing
Parker McKinney
13/24, 177 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Joshua Carter
7 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Jaden Smith
5 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Emory Jones
19/23, 345 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Corey Kiner
13 CAR, 105 YDS
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
7 REC, 149 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Patrick Nations kickoff for 62 yds , Xzavier Henderson return for 26 yds to the CIN 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 4 yds to the CIN 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.22

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 48

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Jones,Emory pass complete short middle to Henderson,Xzavier for 13 yards to the EKU37 (Bembry,Deonta; Blake,Logan) PENALTY CIN Holding (Williams,John) 10 yards from EKU50 to CIN40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.72

Emory Jones run for 11 yds to the EKU 49

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +6.24

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 49 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Rory Bell kickoff for 59 yds , Braedon Sloan return for 17 yds to the EKU 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.03

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 23 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jalen Burbage for 9 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.26

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the CIN 45

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY EKU False Start (Bunn,Isaiah) 5 yards from CIN45 to CIN50. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.26

Parker McKinney sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the EKU 47

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 48 yds , Braden Smith returns for 8 yds to the CIN 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Myles Montgomery run for 6 yds to the CIN 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 2 yds to the CIN 21

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Myles Montgomery run for 9 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.55

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 31 yds to the EKU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 39 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joshua Carter run for no gain to the EKU 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jalen Burbage

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

Edwards,Jeremy punt 42 yards to the CIN29 fair catch by Smith,Braden at CIN29 PENALTY CIN Running Into The Kicker (Williams,Jah-Mal) 5 yards from EKU29 to EKU34. NO PLAY.

4th & 1Punt+3 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 49 yds , Braden Smith returns for 3 yds to the CIN 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.65

Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 25 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ryan Montgomery run for 5 yds to the EKU 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the EKU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.78

Emory Jones pass complete to Chris Scott for 32 yds to the EKU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the EKU 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Evan Prater

3rd & 4Penalty+2 yds

PENALTY EKU Offside (Fall,Cheikh) 2 yards from EKU04 to EKU02. NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the EKU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Rory Bell kickoff for 55 yds , Braedon Sloan return for 17 yds to the EKU 27

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun McKinney,Parker sacked for loss of 2 yards to the EKU25 (Pace,Deshawn) PENALTY EKU Holding 10 yards from EKU27 to EKU17. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.17

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 21 yds to the EKU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Parker McKinney run for 3 yds to the EKU 41

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY EKU False Start (Magloire,Kyeandre) 5 yards from EKU41 to EKU36. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden Smith

3rd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.68

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 23 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kyeandre Magloire run for 3 yds to the CIN 44

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Parker McKinney pass complete to Kyeandre Magloire for 13 yds to the CIN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden Smith

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.58

Parker McKinney pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.55

Corey Kiner run for 54 yds to the EKU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Aaron Turner run for 13 yds to the EKU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Corey Kiner run for 9 yds to the EKU 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Emory Jones pass complete to Payten Singletary for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Rory Bell kickoff for 65 yds , Braedon Sloan return for 18 yds to the EKU 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the EKU 23

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Parker McKinney run for 1 yd to the EKU 24

4th & 4Punt+11 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 52 yds , Braden Smith returns for 11 yds to the CIN 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.23

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 29 yds to the EKU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the EKU 27

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier Henderson

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.32

Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the EKU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Myles Montgomery run for 10 yds to the EKU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Braden Smith

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the EKU 12

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.04

Emory Jones run for 12 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Rory Bell kickoff for 65 yds , Braedon Sloan return for 26 yds to the EKU 26

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.82

Joshua Carter run for 34 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 3 yds to the CIN 37

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.88

Joshua Carter run for 20 yds to the CIN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 17 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Patrick Nations kickoff for 65 yds , D.J. Taylor return for 16 yds to the CIN 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the CIN 19

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the CIN 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 7 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Emory Jones pass complete to Evan Prater for 13 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the CIN 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Ethan Wright run for 1 yd to the CIN 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.78

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 13 yds to the EKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Braden Smith

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Jones,Emory pass complete short right to Montgomery,Ryan for 5 yards to the EKU38, out of bounds at EKU38 PENALTY CIN Holding (Buford,Deondre) 10 yards from EKU43 to CIN47. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ryan Montgomery run for 5 yds to the EKU 48

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +6.30

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 48 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the EKU 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST down

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Hunter Brown

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Parker McKinney sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 5 yards to the EKU 20 Parker McKinney fumbled, recovered by CIN Daniel Grzesiak , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the EKU 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the EKU 20

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CIN False Start (Tinsley,Dartanyan) 5 yards from EKU20 to EKU25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.77

Emory Jones sacked by Ryan Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the EKU 29

4th & 19Field Goal Good+46 yds

Carter Brown 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 58 yds , Braedon Sloan return for 20 yds to the EKU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 9 yds to the EKU 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.28

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jalen Burbage for 21 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Joshua Carter run for 13 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jackson Hensley for 8 yds to the CIN 22

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the CIN 21

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the CIN 25 Joshua Carter fumbled, recovered by EKU Isaiah Bunn

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Emory Jones sacked by Cheikhsaliou Fall for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 19 Emory Jones fumbled, recovered by EKU Cheikhsaliou Fall , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 9 yds to the CIN 10

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY EKU False Start (Ezirim,Josiah) 5 yards from CIN10 to CIN15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Bryant Johnson

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.52

Parker McKinney sacked by Eric Phillips for a loss of 11 yards to the CIN 26

4th & 17Field Goal Good+42 yds

Patrick Nations 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Corey Kiner run for 14 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Aaron Turner run for 6 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Corey Kiner run for 9 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Aaron Turner run for 12 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 13 yds to the EKU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the EKU 20

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the EKU 18

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the EKU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the EKU 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the EKU 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 65 yds , Braedon Sloan return for 20 yds to the EKU 45 Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the EKU 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jackson Hensley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Parker McKinney pass complete to Mena Mannan for 16 yds to the EKU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EKU 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jayden West

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.02

Parker McKinney pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Evan Prater for 9 yds to the EKU 28

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.34

Myles Montgomery run for 9 yds to the EKU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Evan Prater for 9 yds to the EKU 10

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the EKU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the EKU 4 Myles Montgomery fumbled, recovered by CIN Myles Montgomery

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Brady Lichtenberg run for 4 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Cameron Hergott run for 10 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kyeandre Magloire run for 2 yds to the EKU 37

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Cameron Hergott run for 10 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY EKU False Start (Collins,Payton) 5 yards from EKU47 to EKU42. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kyeandre Magloire run for no gain to the EKU 42

2nd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.84

Cameron Hergott run for 13 yds to the CIN 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Cameron Hergott run for 4 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Brayden Latham run for 1 yd to the CIN 42

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Brayden Latham run for 10 yds to the CIN 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Cameron Hergott pass incomplete to Ethan Bednarczyk

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Cameron Hergott run for 8 yds to the CIN 21

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Cameron Hergott run for 5 yds to the CIN 26

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 yds

Patrick Nations 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the CIN 24

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ethan Wright run for 1 yd to the CIN 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.89

Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Ethan Wright for 10 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Barry Jackson Jr. for 65 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brayden Latham run for 4 yds to the EKU 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 33

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 39 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 12 yds to the CIN 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Brady Drogosh run for 8 yds to the CIN 48

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Brady Drogosh run for 3 yds to the CIN 45 Brady Drogosh fumbled, recovered by CIN Brady Drogosh

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Brady Drogosh run for 2 yds to the CIN 43

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CIN Delay Of Game 5 yards from CIN43 to CIN38. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKU 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Brayden Latham run for 1 yd to the EKU 33

Situational Analysis

Eastern Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
65%
34 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play