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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2023Week 1
Kent StateKent State
6
-Final
56
UCFUCF

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 12.7

Home Win Probability

UCF 81%

Market (consensus)

UCF -33.5

Edge: Kent State +33.5 (20.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
30306
UCFUCF
1414141456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425621-328-342-649-6
UCFKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSUCFKSTD1275ydPUNT3-5ydTD659ydFG1049ydUncategorized635ydMISS1142ydTD1074ydPUNT30ydTO617ydTO732ydTD894ydEND10ydPUNT614ydTD578ydPUNT615ydPUNT524ydDOWNS733ydTD256ydFG850ydUncategorized663ydPUNT615ydTD762ydPUNT30ydTD1068ydUncategorized22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and UCF
StatisticKent StateUCF
Passing12-3225-35
Pass Yards145334
Rush Yards94389
Total Yards239723
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-179-13
Penalties4-307-70
Possession28:3431:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
Michael Alaimo
12/31, 145 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Gavin Garcia
18 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Chrishon Mccray
3 REC, 61 YDS
UCF
passing
John Rhys Plumlee
22/30, 281 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Johnny Richardson
12 CAR, 100 YDS
receiving
Xavier Townsend
5 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.87

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 9 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 13 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 40

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 44

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.84

John Rhys Plumlee run for 5 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.86

UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (Drake Metcalf) to the UCF 39

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Demarkcus Bowman for 4 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 16Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.31

John Rhys Plumlee run for 15 yds to the KENT 42

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

RJ Harvey run for 10 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.33

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 19 yds to the KENT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the KENT 9

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Javon Baker

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 63 yds , Chrishon McCray return for 20 yds to the KENT 22

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 28

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Kent State Penalty, false start (Andrew Page) to the KENT 23

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the KENT 17

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

John Rhys Plumlee run for 17 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.31

John Rhys Plumlee run for 16 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the KENT 41

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the KENT 36

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Kent State Penalty, off-side (Oliver Billotte) to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 5 yds to the KENT 26

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

RJ Harvey run for 9 yds to the KENT 17 for a 1ST down

4th & 7Field Goal Good+45 yds

Andrew Glass 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray Kent State Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the KENT 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.63

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, roughing passer (Tre'Mon Morris-Brash) to the KENT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 10 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

pass incomplete to Trell Harris

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.21

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 13 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 31

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 5 yds to the UCF 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr., broken up by Brandon Adams

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 33

2nd & 12Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.59

John Rhys Plumlee run for 32 yds to the KENT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 8 yds to the KENT 27

2nd & 2Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.61

UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (Tylan Grable) to the KENT 37

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Johnny Richardson run for 7 yds to the KENT 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the KENT 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 13 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Trell Harris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 12 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the UCF 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.62

Michael Alaimo run for 9 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64
3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Andrew Glass 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the UCF 34

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, false start (Bula Schmidt) to the UCF 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.76

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 32 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Xavier Townsend

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01
3rd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.39

Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Devin Nicholson) to the KENT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the KENT 12

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

John Rhys Plumlee run for 5 yds to the KENT 7

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Jordan McDonald run for 5 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the UCF 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr., broken up by Brandon Adams

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -4.16

John Rhys Plumlee pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the KENT 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Demarkcus Bowman for 3 yds to the KENT 42

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the KENT 41

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.10

Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Johnny Richardson run for 6 yds to the KENT 32

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.24

Michael Alaimo pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Gavin Garcia run for 7 yds to the KENT 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.30

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Braeden Marshall) to the KENT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 46

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.55

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 8 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07
2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 8 yds to the UCF 14

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Johnny Richardson run for 13 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 3 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 2 yds to the UCF 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.11

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 22 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.95

Xavier Townsend run for 28 yds to the KENT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 18 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29
No play data available
4th & 10Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 6 yds to the KENT 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73
3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 50 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the UCF 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.94

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 7 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 63 yds , Chrishon McCray return for 34 yds to the KENT 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray, broken up by Nikai Martinez

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Trell Harris

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.72

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Hayden Junker for 11 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KENT 48

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chrishon McCray run for 3 yds to the UCF 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr., broken up by Corey Thornton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 7 yds to the UCF 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 1 yd to the UCF 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.64

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 21 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

pass incomplete to Javon Baker

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, false start (Marcellus Marshall) to the UCF 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Randy Pittman Jr.

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Trell Harris

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 6 yds to the KENT 31

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.93

Michael Alaimo run for 24 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the UCF 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

pass incomplete to Treymon Echols

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.41

RJ Harvey run for 48 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jaylon Griffin for 8 yds to the KENT 48

4th & 14Field Goal Good+43 yds

Andrew Glass 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Justin Holmes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.64

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 36 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Gavin Garcia run for 13 yds to the UCF 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the UCF 19

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43
3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.82

Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 5Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.93

Johnny Richardson run for 43 yds to the KENT 27 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (Jarrad Baker) to the KENT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the KENT 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.09

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 24 yds to the KENT 12 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.17

John Rhys Plumlee pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Jarrad Baker

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Michael Alaimo run for 2 yds to the KENT 22

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.01

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 14 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 40

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.48

Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 35

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Trell Harris, broken up by Corey Thornton

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Mark-Antony Richards run for 7 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 4 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.42

Timmy McClain pass complete to Jordan McDonald for 33 yds to the KENT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the KENT 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

pass incomplete to Trent Whittemore

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Timmy McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 7

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tommy Ulatowski sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 25

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Demarkcus Bowman run for 5 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Demarkcus Bowman run for 9 yds to the UCF 41

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Demarkcus Bowman run for 4 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Demarkcus Bowman run for 10 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Tyler Griffin

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.81

Timmy McClain run for 22 yds to the KENT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42
2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.56

Demarkcus Bowman run for 12 yds to the KENT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Demarkcus Bowman run for 6 yds to the KENT 5

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37
1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds , Chrishon McCray return for 26 yds to the KENT 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Curtis Douglas run for 2 yds to the KENT 28

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.72

Curtis Douglas run for 12 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
15%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
28%
18 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
38%
13 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
46%
35 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
62%
13 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play