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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Kansas 68%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Kansas -32.5

Edge: Missouri State +32.5 (26.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
730717
KansasKansas
710102148

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-714-1017-1024-1027-1027-1734-1748-17
KansasMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSKANMSKANMSKANMSKANMSKANMSKANKANMSKANMSKANMSKANMSKANMSKANPUNT3-6ydTD470ydPUNT35ydTO310ydTD1046ydDOWNS538ydFG753ydTD375ydPUNT830ydFG1075ydPUNT32ydEND20ydTD969ydPUNT39ydFG1055ydTD675ydTD875ydTO10ydTD528ydTO2-4ydTD423ydPUNT37ydEND518yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and Kansas
StatisticMissouri StateKansas
Passing14-2122-28
Pass Yards143276
Rush Yards74245
Total Yards217521
Turnovers21
3rd Down1-96-11
Penalties6-503-35
Possession26:1333:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
14/21, 143 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jacob Clark
8 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Celdon Manning
2 REC, 31 YDS
defense
Kansas
passing
Jason Bean
22/28, 276 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Devin Neal
13 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lawrence Arnold
4 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (Tchio,Gilles) 5 yards from MSU25 to MSU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 3 yds to the MOST 23

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 24

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Clark sacked by Jereme Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the MOST 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 7 yds to the KU 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 3 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 12 yds to the MOST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Devin Neal run for 48 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 8 yds to the MOST 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 28

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the MOST 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 7 yds to the KU 43

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the KU 44

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.53

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 46 Daniel Hishaw Jr. fumbled, recovered by MOST Todric McGee

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (Moore,Stetson) 5 yards from KAN46 to MSU49. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacob Clark run for 4 yds to the KU 47

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the KU 49

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jacob Clark run for 5 yds to the KU 44

4th & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.37

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 15 yds to the KU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the KU 30

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacob Clark run for 1 yd to the KU 29

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass incomplete short left to Sharpe,Raylen QB hurried by Booker,Austin PENALTY KAN Roughing The Passer (Booker,Austin) 15 yards from KAN29 to KAN14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the KU 17

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 15 yds Hunter Wood fumbled, recovered by MOST Hunter Wood for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Raylen Sharpe

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 2 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Spencer Grosz kickoff for 64 yds , Trevor Wilson return for 34 yds to the KU 35

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.23

Jason Bean run for 14 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jared Lloyd) to the MOST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jared Casey

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the MOST 30

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the MOST 27

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.21

Devin Neal run for no gain to the MOST 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 29

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.24

Jacob Clark run for 17 yds to the MOST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.42

Jacardia Wright run for 26 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the KU 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 6 yds to the KU 20

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Jmariyae Robinson

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Owen Rozanc 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the KU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.28

Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 52 yds to the MOST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 14 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Tabor Allen kickoff for 65 yds , DVontae Key return for 18 yds to the MOST 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 8 yds to the MOST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 27

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Jacob Clark run for 10 yds to the MOST 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MOST 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 8 yds to the MOST 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to DVontae Key

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.97

Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 16 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Quentin Skinner

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.99

Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 18 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 1 yd to the MOST 48

2nd & 9Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.05

Jason Bean run for 17 yds to the MOST 31 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Todric McGee) to the MOST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the MOST 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 1 yd to the MOST 14

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 3 yds to the MOST 11

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Seth Keller 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game (Clark,Jacob) 5 yards from MSU25 to MSU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Raylen Sharpe

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass complete short right to Sharpe,Raylen for 6 yards to the MSU26 (Logan Jr.,Kenny), out of bounds PENALTY MSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Ike,Danielson) 5 yards from MSU20 to MSU15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Celdon Manning run for 3 yds to the MOST 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacob Clark pass complete to Celdon Manning for 9 yds to the MOST 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jared Casey

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

J. Bean takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Spencer Grosz kickoff for 61 yds , Trevor Wilson return for 27 yds to the KU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 15 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Jason Bean run for 9 yds to the MOST 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Doug Emilien

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 7 yds to the MOST 33

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the MOST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 9 yds to the MOST 20

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 3 yds to the MOST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Dylan McDuffie run for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 3 yds to the MOST 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 1 yd to the MOST 29

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY KAN Offside (Purdy,Kaleb) 5 yards from MSU29 to MSU34. NO PLAY.

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 28

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the KU 21

2nd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jason Bean pass complete to Torry Locklin for 4 yds to the KU 25

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 14 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the KU 48

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the KU 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.47

Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 47 yds to the MOST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the MOST 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jared Casey

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the MOST 2

4th & 2Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY KAN UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ford Jr.,Michael) 15 yards from MSU02 to MSU17. NO PLAY.

4th & 17Field Goal Good+35 yds

Seth Keller 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Jacob Clark pass complete to Celdon Manning for 22 yds to the MOST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.38

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 27 yds to the KU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the KU 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.88

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 18 yds to the KU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the KU 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jmariyae Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the KU 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the KU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 12 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the KU 47

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Dylan McDuffie run for 11 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the MOST 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 16 yds to the MOST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jacob Clark pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.24

Devin Neal run for 17 yds to the MOST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the MOST 14

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the MOST 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Quentin Skinner

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +3.08

Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 6 yds for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 21

2nd & 14Interception0 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacob Clark pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Sevion Morrison run for 9 yds to the MOST 14

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.49

Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the MOST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sevion Morrison run for 6 yds to the MOST 5

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the MOST 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jayden Becks run for 3 yds to the MOST 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Jmariyae Robinson

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sevion Morrison run for 4 yds to the KU 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the KU 41

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Sevion Morrison run for 6 yds to the MOST 48

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.22

C. Ballard takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
17 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Kansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
68%
31 plays
2nd
25%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play