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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 23.3

Home Win Probability

Florida State 90%

Market (Bovada)

Florida State -14.5

Edge: Florida State -14.5 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MiamiMiami
0103720
Florida StateFlorida State
7310727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-010-710-1013-1320-1327-1327-20
Florida StateMiami

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSMIAFSMIAFSMIAFSMIAFSMIAMIAFSMIAFSMIAFSMIAFSMIAFSMIAFSMIAFSMIAFSPUNT425ydPUNT34ydTD1055ydMISS742ydFG1152ydPUNT511ydPUNT413ydTD1182ydPUNT3-24ydEND622ydFG514ydFG671ydTO35ydTD465ydPUNT512ydPUNT624ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydTD310ydPUNT30ydPUNT36ydTD180ydPUNT619ydTO1237ydEND1-12yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami and Florida State
StatisticMiamiFlorida State
Passing10-3019-31
Pass Yards204265
Rush Yards13157
Total Yards335322
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-163-12
Penalties7-403-35
Possession29:2030:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami
passing
Emory Williams
8/23, 175 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Donald Chaney Jr.
12 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Jacolby George
5 REC, 153 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
19/31, 265 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Trey Benson
16 CAR, 80 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Johnny Wilson
5 REC, 82 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Andres Borregales kickoff for 65 yds , Deuce Spann return for 21 yds to the FSU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 17 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FSU 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jaheim Bell

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 7 yds to the FSU 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 52 yds, downed at the MIA 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Colbie Young

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the FSU 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 5 yds to the MIA 46

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.19

Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the MIA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron Poitier

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the MIA 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.89

Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 16 yds to the MIA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Lawrance Toafili run for no gain to the MIA 21

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Miami Penalty, Defensive Offside (James Williams) to the MIA 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 9 yds to the MIA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the MIA 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Trey Benson run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Miami Penalty, False Start (Francis Mauigoa) to the MIA 20

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 8 yds to the MIA 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.77

Emory Williams pass complete to Jacolby George for 43 yds to the FSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Brashard Smith

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the FSU 23

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.76

Emory Williams sacked by Kalen DeLoach for a loss of 10 yards to the FSU 33

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Andres Borregales 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FSU 35

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the FSU 42

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FSU 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.70

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 18 yds to the MIA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.96

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 16 yds to the MIA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the MIA 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 29

2nd & 6Penalty-14 yds

Miami Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-14 Yards) to the MIA 15

2nd & 20Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.54

Emory Williams pass complete to Jacolby George for 25 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Emory Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Emory Williams sacked by Kalen DeLoach for a loss of 5 yards to the MIA 36

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.97

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 16 yds to the FSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Trey Benson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 27

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 26

3rd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 1 yd to the FSU 27

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MIA 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brashard Smith run for 6 yds to the MIA 24

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the MIA 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Emory Williams pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 4 yds to the MIA 34

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.71

Emory Williams run for 6 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.82

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 26 yds to the FSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Colbie Young

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.72

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 29 yds to the FSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 1 yd to the FSU 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the FSU 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Emory Williams pass complete to Jacolby George for 3 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jeremiah Byers) to the FSU 15

1st & 20Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Travis sacked by Wesley Bissainthe for a loss of 14 yards to the FSU 1

2nd & 34Rush0 ydsPPA -0.01

Trey Benson run for no gain to the FSU 1

3rd & 34Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.00

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

4th & 34Punt+16 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 46 yds , Damari Brown returns for 16 yds to the FSU 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Jacolby George

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.89

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 18 yds to the FSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the FSU 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Emory Williams pass complete to Brashard Smith for 9 yds to the FSU 4

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.75

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the FSU 9

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Andres Borregales 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.87

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 20 yds to the FSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 28

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.11

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 30

3rd & 13Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Emory Williams pass complete to Jacolby George for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 33

4th & 16Field Goal Good+51 yds

Andres Borregales 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 8 yds to the FSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+62 ydsPPA +3.28

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 62 yds to the MIA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jordan Travis pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 3 yds to the MIA 2

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Travis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 22 yd FG GOOD

4th & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 62 yds , Brashard Smith return for 16 yds to the MIA 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Emory Williams run for no gain to the MIA 19

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 23

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 24

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 41 yds , Keon Coleman returns for no gain to the FSU 35 Keon Coleman fumbled, recovered by FSU Keon Coleman at FLORIDAST35.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the FSU 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.98

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 26 yds to the MIA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.88

Trey Benson run for 38 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Jacolby George

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo

3rd & 10Penalty+10 yds

Florida State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Azareye'h Thomas) to the MIA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah Horton

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 48 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 5 yds to the FSU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 7 yds to the FSU 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 11 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 21 yds to the MIA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Trey Benson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

3rd & 12Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.70

Jordan Travis sacked by Francisco Mauigoa for a loss of 13 yards to the FSU 44

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIA 5

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for no gain to the MIA 5

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 6 yds to the MIA 11

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Jacolby George

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 60 yds, downed at the FSU 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FSU 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Lawrance Toafili

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIA 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Mark Fletcher Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 17

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo

4th & 9Punt+57 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 50 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 57 yds to the MIA 10

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the MIA 3

2nd & 0Penalty+1 yds

Miami Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Davonte Brown) to the MIA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.32

Jordan Travis run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

2nd & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 61 yds , Brashard Smith return for 21 yds to the MIA 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the MIA 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Colbie Young

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah Horton

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Trey Benson run for no gain to the FSU 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 6 yds to the FSU 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brashard Smith at the MIA 20

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Miami Penalty, False Start (Francis Mauigoa) to the MIA 15

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.98

Emory Williams pass complete to Jacolby George for 85 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Trey Benson run for 17 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FSU 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.87

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 10 yds to the MIA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the MIA 43

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Trey Benson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 44

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.14

Jordan Travis sacked by Francisco Mauigoa for a loss of 12 yards to the FSU 44

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brashard Smith at the MIA 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Emory Williams pass complete to Brashard Smith for 9 yds to the MIA 21

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Donald Chaney Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 20

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Emory Williams run for 2 yds to the MIA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 25

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Miami Penalty, False Start (Francis Mauigoa) to the MIA 20

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 14 yds to the MIA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 15 yds to the MIA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Colbie Young

4th & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Van Dyke pass intercepted Jarrian Jones return for no gain to the FSU 35

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Florida State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the FSU 20

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Miami Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the FSU 25

1st & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 23

Situational Analysis

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
18%
22 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
29%
17 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
29%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th