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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 18.8

Home Win Probability

Wake Forest 11%

Market (Bovada)

Wake Forest +21

Edge: Wake Forest +21 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
10240741
Wake ForestWake Forest
079016

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-107-177-2410-3416-3416-41
Wake ForestFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSWFFSWFFSWFFSWFFSWFFSWFFSWFFSWFFSWFWFFSWFFSWFFSWFFSWFFSTD975ydPUNT510ydPUNT522ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydPUNT32ydFG721ydTD775ydTD357ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT310ydTD180ydPUNT3-2ydTD566ydPUNT3-2ydFG421ydEND1-2ydFG1169ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS519ydMISS966ydTD1080ydTD1075ydPUNT67ydPUNT516ydPUNT35ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and Wake Forest
StatisticFlorida StateWake Forest
Passing23-366-16
Pass Yards38282
Rush Yards126128
Total Yards508210
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-143-14
Penalties9-1155-44
Possession30:3629:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
22/35, 359 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Trey Benson
10 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trey Benson
4 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wake Forest
passing
Mitch Griffis
6/16, 82 YDS
rushing
Justice Ellison
10 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Jahmal Banks
4 REC, 43 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 8 yds to the FSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 6 yds to the FSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 3 yds to the FSU 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 13 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.95

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 33 yds to the WAKE 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Travis run for a loss of 5 yards to the WAKE 17 Jordan Travis fumbled, recovered by FSU Jordan Travis Travis at WAKEFOREST17.

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rodney Hill run for 4 yds to the WAKE 13

3rd & 11Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.22

Jordan Travis run for 13 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the WAKE 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the WAKE 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Taylor Morin

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.81

Mitch Griffis sacked by Patrick Payton and Tatum Bethune for a loss of 5 yards to the WAKE 35

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 53 yds , Keon Coleman returns for no gain to the FSU 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FSU 17

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Jordan Travis run for 14 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Darion Williamson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 3 yds to the FSU 34

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 48 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 4 yds to the WAKE 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Jahmal Banks

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Wesley Grimes

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Trey Benson run for 8 yds to the FSU 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron Poitier

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 54 yds, downed at the WAKE 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 5

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 5

3rd & 6Penalty-2 yds

Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-2 Yards) to the WAKE 3

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Williams

4th & 8Punt+11 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 56 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 11 yds to the WAKE 48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the WAKE 39

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.04

Rodney Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the WAKE 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 13 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the WAKE 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jaheim Bell

4th & 8Field Goal Good+46 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the WAKE 30

2nd & 5Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.38

Justice Ellison run for 51 yds to the FSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.11

Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 19 yds to the FSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the FSU 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Ke'Shawn Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)

3rd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Tyler Black kickoff for 65 yds , Deuce Spann return for 43 yds to the FSU 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.53

Jordan Travis pass complete to Rodney Hill for 23 yds to the WAKE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the WAKE 29

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.86

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 29 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 65 yds , Demond Claiborne return for 22 yds to the WAKE 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Jahmal Banks

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 17

2nd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.16

Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 14

3rd & 18Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.04

Mitch Griffis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 13

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Trey Benson run for no gain to the FSU 41

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Travis, Jordan pass complete to Poitier, Kentron for 59 yards to the WAKEFOREST0, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding 10 yards to the FLORIDAST31, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Penalty-15 yds

Travis, Jordan pass complete to Coleman, Keon for 25 yards to the WAKEFOREST44, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference 15 yards to the FLORIDAST16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 35Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.02

Caziah Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 15

3rd & 36Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.06

Caziah Holmes run for 16 yds to the FSU 31

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 35

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Griffis, Mitch pass incomplete to Banks, Jahmal, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Mitch Griffis run for 3 yds to the FSU 47

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.48

Mitch Griffis sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 8 yards to the WAKE 45

3rd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mitch Griffis run for no gain to the WAKE 45

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 80 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Mitch Griffis sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 6 yards to the WAKE 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Wesley Grimes

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 5 yds to the FSU 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FSU 43

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 5 yds to the FSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 38 yds to the WAKE 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 14 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 65 yds , Demond Claiborne return for 17 yds to the WAKE 48 Wake Forest Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (8 Yards) to the WAKE 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Jahmal Banks

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WAKE 9

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.08

Mitch Griffis sacked by Kalen DeLoach for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 7

4th & 12Punt+13 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 13 yds to the WAKE 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the WAKE 30

3rd & 3Penalty+14 yds

Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Coleman, Keon, PENALTY WAKEFOREST pass interference 14 yards to the WAKEFOREST16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Demond Claiborne run for 16 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.84

Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 14 yds to the FSU 45 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the FSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the FSU 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 8 yds to the FSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mitch Griffis run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 22

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the FSU 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the FSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the FSU 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the FSU 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Jahmal Banks

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Matthew Dennis 24 yd FG GOOD

4th & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Tyler Black kickoff for 65 yds , Deuce Spann return for 25 yds to the FSU 40 Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 3 yds to the FSU 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.50

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for a loss of 5 yards to the FSU 13

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron Poitier

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 37 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 8 yds to the FSU 42

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the FSU 42 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the FSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the FSU 25

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitch Griffis run for 2 yds to the FSU 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Jahmal Banks

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.97

Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Cameron Hite

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.23

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 33 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST down Wake Forest Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the WAKE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 3 yds to the WAKE 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 2 yds to the WAKE 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 5 yds to the WAKE 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the WAKE 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Darion Williamson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the WAKE 26

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.44

Tate Carney run for no gain to the WAKE 26 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tate Carney run for 1 yd to the FSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Mitch Griffis run for 2 yds to the FSU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.64

Mitch Griffis pass complete to Tate Carney for 20 yds to the FSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tate Carney run for 1 yd to the FSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.06

Mitch Griffis run for 20 yds to the FSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tate Carney run for 4 yds to the FSU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tate Carney run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the FSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FSU 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.11

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 13 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the FSU 48

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Jordan Travis run for 8 yds to the WAKE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Rodney Hill run for 6 yds to the WAKE 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.06

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 32 yds to the WAKE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.30

Jordan Travis sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 12 yards to the WAKE 18

2nd & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron Poitier

3rd & 0Rushing Touchdown+18 yds

Trey Benson run for 18 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

3rd & 22Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 63 yds , Wesley Grimes return for 21 yds to the WAKE 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the WAKE 26

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tate Carney run for 5 yds to the WAKE 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the WAKE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Santino Marucci run for 1 yd to the WAKE 35

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Tate Carney run for 1 yd to the WAKE 36

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.60

Santino Marucci sacked by Byron Turner Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the WAKE 30

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 40 yds, downed at the FSU 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Caziah Holmes run for no gain to the FSU 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.94

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Darion Williamson for 23 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Caziah Holmes run for 4 yds to the WAKE 43

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 48

2nd & 11Rush-12 ydsPPA -2.27

Rodney Hill run for 3 yds to the FSU 45 Florida State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the FSU 40

3rd & 23Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Tate Rodemaker run for 6 yds to the FSU 46

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

David Egbe run for 3 yds to the WAKE 11

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

David Egbe run for 2 yds to the WAKE 13

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

David Egbe run for no gain to the WAKE 13

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 64 yds, downed at the FSU 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 21

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.25

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 20

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
28%
25 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play