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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

William & Mary by 18

Home Win Probability

Virginia 12%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Virginia -10

Edge: William & Mary +10 (28.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
William & Mary
670013
VirginiaVirginia
3170727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-33-610-1313-1320-1327-13
VirginiaWilliam & Mary

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRPUNT3-3ydFG823ydFG1041ydFG848ydTO535ydTD44ydTD666ydPUNT39ydFG845ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-11ydTO313ydTD679ydEND10ydPUNT36ydTO654ydDOWNS1470ydTD1690ydDOWNS1355ydEND1073yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing William & Mary and Virginia
StatisticWilliam & MaryVirginia
Passing14-1917-26
Pass Yards72232
Rush Yards147221
Total Yards219453
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-136-15
Penalties5-585-41
Possession28:4731:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

William & Mary
passing
Darius Wilson
14/18, 72 YDS
rushing
Darius Wilson
13 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Sean McElwain
4 REC, 21 YDS
defense
Virginia
passing
Tony Muskett
17/26, 232 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Perris Jones
12 CAR, 134 YDS
receiving
Malik Washington
7 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Bryson Harvey kickoff for 50 yds , Malik Washington return for no gain to the UVA 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tony Muskett pass incomplete to Sackett Wood Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the UVA 22

3rd & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.52

Tony Muskett sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the UVA 12

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UVA 44

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Malachi Imoh run for 9 yds to the UVA 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.33

Darius Wilson pass complete to Malachi Imoh for 5 yds to the UVA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Hollis Mathis run for 3 yds to the UVA 27

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Carson Jenkins run for 9 yds to the UVA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Martin Lucas run for 3 yds to the UVA 21

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Martin Lucas run for no gain to the UVA 21

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Malachi Imoh

4th & 13Field Goal Good+38 yds

Caden Bonoffski 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Bryson Harvey kickoff for 47 yds , Malik Washington return for 13 yds to the UVA 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Malik Washington run for 1 yd to the UVA 32

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Perris Jones run for 5 yds to the UVA 37

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Perris Jones run for 17 yds to the W&M 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tony Muskett pass incomplete to Malachi Fields

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the W&M 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.76

Tony Muskett pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 7 yds to the W&M 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tony Muskett pass incomplete to Suderian Harrison

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the W&M 28

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kobe Pace run for no gain to the W&M 28

4th & 3Field Goal Good+45 yds

Will Bettridge 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Matt Ganyard kickoff for 58 yds , Carson Jenkins return for 15 yds to the W&M 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Darius Wilson run for 6 yds to the W&M 28

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Malachi Imoh run for 3 yds to the W&M 31

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Malachi Imoh run for 8 yds to the W&M 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Darius Wilson run for 16 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+16 yds

Shotgun Mathis,Hollis rush middle for 0 yards to the UVA45 (Diatta,Michael; Robinson,Kam) PENALTY UVA Personal Foul (Buchanan,Mekhi) 16 yards from UVA45 to UVA29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Darius Wilson run for 1 yd to the UVA 28

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Darius Wilson run for 1 yd to the UVA 29

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Malachi Imoh run for 1 yd to the UVA 30

4th & 11Field Goal Good+48 yds

Caden Bonoffski 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Tony Muskett pass complete to JR Wilson for 10 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kobe Pace run for 6 yds to the UVA 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Tony Muskett run for 6 yds to the UVA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Tony Muskett run for 7 yds to the W&M 45

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Muskett,Tony pass complete short right to Pace,Kobe for 20 yards to the W&M25 (Jarrell,Kevin), out of bounds PENALTY UVA Illegal Block in Back 10 yards from W&M45 to UVA45. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Penalty+16 yds

PENALTY W&M UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jarrell,Kevin) 16 yards from UVA45 to W&M39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.86

Tony Muskett run for no gain to the UVA 4 Tony Muskett fumbled, recovered by W&M John Pius

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Hollis Mathis run for 1 yd to the UVA 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Martin Lucas run for 1 yd to the UVA 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Darius Wilson run for 1 yd to the UVA 1

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

PENALTY UVA Offside (Carter,Jahmeer). NO PLAY.

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Martin Lucas run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Bonoffski KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.92

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malachi Fields for 22 yds to the W&M 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Tony Muskett pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 17 yds to the W&M 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tony Muskett pass incomplete to Kobe Pace

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.67

Perris Jones run for 12 yds to the W&M 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tony Muskett run for 8 yds to the W&M 7

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.11

Tony Muskett run for 7 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Matt Ganyard kickoff for 63 yds , Carson Jenkins return for 19 yds to the W&M 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Martin Lucas run for no gain to the W&M 21

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Martin Lucas run for 1 yd to the W&M 20

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Darius Wilson run for 10 yds to the W&M 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 33 yds , Suderian Harrison returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malik Washington for 17 yds to the W&M 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Tony Muskett sacked by John Pius for a loss of 7 yards to the UVA 45

2nd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tony Muskett pass complete to Kobe Pace for 3 yds to the UVA 48

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UVA False Start (Jones,Perris) 5 yards from UVA48 to UVA43. NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +4.42

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malik Washington for 42 yds to the W&M 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the W&M 8

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kobe Pace run for no gain to the W&M 8

3rd & 3Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.05

Tony Muskett sacked by Alex Washington for a loss of 12 yards to the W&M 20

4th & 15Field Goal Good+37 yds

Will Bettridge 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Malachi Imoh run for no gain to the W&M 13

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Darius Wilson run for no gain to the W&M 13

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Malachi Imoh run for 2 yds to the W&M 15

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 49 yds , Suderian Harrison returns for 4 yds to the UVA 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tony Muskett pass incomplete to Malik Washington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Tony Muskett pass incomplete to Malik Washington

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.72

Tony Muskett sacked by John Pius for a loss of 11 yards to the UVA 29

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 5 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UVA 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Darius Wilson pass complete to Hollis Mathis for 14 yds to the UVA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to JT Mayo

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.01

Hollis Mathis run for 1 yd to the UVA 21 Hollis Mathis fumbled, recovered by UVA Tayvonn Kyle

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.48

Perris Jones run for 18 yds to the UVA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Tony Muskett pass complete to Jaden Gibson for 16 yds to the W&M 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Tony Muskett run for 10 yds to the W&M 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tony Muskett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the W&M 26

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.96

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malachi Fields for 26 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

D. Wilson takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darius Wilson pass complete to JT Mayo for 4 yds to the W&M 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Darius Wilson run for no gain to the W&M 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Darius Wilson pass complete to Martin Lucas for 2 yds to the W&M 31

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 46 yds , Suderian Harrison returns for 8 yds to the UVA 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malachi Fields for 5 yds to the UVA 36

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.09

Kobe Pace run for 20 yds to the W&M 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Perris Jones run for 15 yds to the W&M 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY W&M UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from W&M29 to W&M14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malik Washington for 7 yds to the W&M 7

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malik Washington for 2 yds to the W&M 5

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Jones,Perris rush left for 5 yards gain to the W&M00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:58 PENALTY UVA Holding (Boley,McKale) 10 yards from W&M05 to W&M15. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -3.70

Tony Muskett pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Hollis Mathis run for 19 yds to the W&M 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Hollis Mathis run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Malachi Imoh pass incomplete to Carson Jenkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Darius Wilson pass complete to Trey McDonald for 4 yds to the UVA 46

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Darius Wilson run for 6 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Darius Wilson pass complete to Malachi Imoh for 3 yds to the UVA 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to JT Mayo

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.65

Darius Wilson pass complete to Sean McElwain for 10 yds to the UVA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Darius Wilson pass complete to JT Mayo for 1 yd to the UVA 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.55

Hollis Mathis run for 10 yds to the UVA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY W&M False Start (Crowell,Marcus) 5 yards from UVA16 to UVA21. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Martin Lucas run for 1 yd to the UVA 20

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Martin Lucas run for no gain to the UVA 20

3rd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.79

Darius Wilson run for 12 yds to the UVA 8

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.93

Martin Lucas run for 2 yds to the UVA 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the UVA 13

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kobe Pace run for no gain to the UVA 13

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malik Washington for 8 yds to the UVA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Perris Jones run for 5 yds to the UVA 26

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.19

Perris Jones run for 11 yds to the UVA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malachi Fields for 10 yds to the UVA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Perris Jones run for 7 yds to the W&M 46

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the W&M 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tony Muskett pass complete to Grant Misch for 4 yds to the W&M 44

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.99

Grady Brosterhous run for 1 yd to the W&M 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tony Muskett pass incomplete to Malik Washington

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the W&M 36

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kobe Pace run for no gain to the W&M 36

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.97

Tony Muskett run for 4 yds to the W&M 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kobe Pace run for 5 yds to the W&M 27

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.79

Tony Muskett pass complete to Malik Washington for 27 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Darius Wilson run for 10 yds to the W&M 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Malachi Imoh run for 1 yd to the W&M 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Malachi Imoh run for 1 yd to the W&M 37

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.46

Darius Wilson run for 9 yds to the W&M 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Wilson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Darius Wilson pass complete to Sean McElwain for 2 yds to the UVA 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Darius Wilson pass complete to JT Mayo for 4 yds to the UVA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Darius Wilson pass complete to Sean McElwain for 6 yds to the UVA 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Darius Wilson pass complete to Carson Jenkins for 9 yds to the UVA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Hollis Mathis run for 1 yd to the UVA 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Darius Wilson pass complete to Hollis Mathis for 5 yds to the UVA 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Malachi Imoh

4th & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -3.17

Darius Wilson pass complete to Sean McElwain for 3 yds to the UVA 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kobe Pace run for 5 yds to the UVA 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the UVA 28

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Perris Jones run for 5 yds to the UVA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.75

Perris Jones run for 43 yds to the W&M 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kobe Pace run for 5 yds to the W&M 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the W&M 17

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the W&M 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the W&M 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the W&M 5

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the W&M 7

Situational Analysis

William & Mary

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
64%
33 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays