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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 12

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 75%

Market (Bovada)

North Carolina -9

Edge: North Carolina -9 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SyracuseSyracuse
00707
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
101710340

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-024-027-730-737-740-7
North CarolinaSyracuse

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCSYRNCSYRNCSYRNCSYRNCSYRSYRNCSYRNCSYRNCSYRNCSYRSYRNCFG1464ydPUNT616ydTD1694ydPUNT36ydTD977ydPUNT730ydTD995ydPUNT54ydFG1272ydEND1-1ydTD975ydFG1057ydPUNT727ydTD483ydTO35ydTO520ydPUNT40ydFG1762ydPUNT1762ydTO412ydDOWNS4-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Syracuse and North Carolina
StatisticSyracuseNorth Carolina
Passing16-2333-49
Pass Yards129442
Rush Yards92202
Total Yards221644
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-1110-19
Penalties7-535-55
Possession22:4437:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Syracuse
passing
Garrett Shrader
15/21, 124 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Lequint Allen
11 CAR, 38 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Umari Hatcher
6 REC, 85 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Drake Maye
33/47, 442 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Omarion Hampton
15 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Nate Mccollum
7 REC, 135 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 7 yds to the UNC 32

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the UNC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Drake Maye pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Drake Maye run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.81

Omarion Hampton run for 17 yds to the SYR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson Nesbit

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 8 yds to the SYR 25

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 6 yds to the SYR 15

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the SYR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. Jones

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Omarion Hampton

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Drake Maye sacked by Kevon Darton for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Noah Burnette 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

LeQuint Allen run for 9 yds to the SYR 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien Alford

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the SYR 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien Alford

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Drake Maye pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 3 yds to the UNC 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 6 yds to the UNC 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the UNC 32

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the UNC 35

3rd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.57

Drake Maye run for 6 yds to the UNC 41 North Carolina Penalty, Illegal Block (Kobe Paysour) to the UNC 31

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Drake Maye run for 8 yds to the UNC 39

4th & 3Blocked Punt+3 yds

Ben Kiernan punt blocked by Denis Jaquez Jr. for a 1ST down blocked by Denis Jaquez Jr. for a 1ST down Ben Kiernan run for 3 yds to the UNC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 13 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 6 yds to the SYR 44

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.27

Drake Maye run for 9 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez Walker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.07

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 17 yds to the SYR 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Drake Maye pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 7 yds to the SYR 11

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the SYR 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the SYR 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Drake Maye run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 7 yds to the SYR 30

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the SYR 31

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 51 yds , Alijah Huzzie returns for 5 yds to the UNC 23

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

British Brooks run for 9 yds to the UNC 32

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

British Brooks run for 6 yds to the UNC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Drake Maye pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 11 yds to the UNC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 17 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

British Brooks run for 3 yds to the SYR 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Nate McCollum

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Drake Maye pass complete to British Brooks for 8 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 23 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 13 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for 6 yds to the SYR 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 13 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for no gain to the UNC 43

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the UNC 38

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.33

Garrett Shrader sacked by Cedric Gray for a loss of 7 yards to the UNC 45 Garrett Shrader fumbled, recovered by SYR

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, downed at the UNC 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez Walker

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.15

Drake Maye sacked by Leon Lowery for a loss of 2 yards to the UNC 3

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.86

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 15 yds to the UNC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the UNC 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.81

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 18 yds to the UNC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 5 yds to the UNC 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.82

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 48 yds to the SYR 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SYR 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 9 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Syracuse Penalty, Tripping (-15 Yards) to the SYR 21

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 8 yds to the SYR 29

3rd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the SYR 29

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.45

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 28 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Drake Maye pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

British Brooks run for 6 yds to the SYR 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Drake Maye pass incomplete to John Copenhaver

4th & 4Penalty+8 yds

Syracuse Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the SYR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Drake Maye pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 5 yds to the SYR 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Omarion Hampton

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 6 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Drake Maye run for 12 yds to the SYR 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

North Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SYR 27

1st & 25Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 9 yds to the SYR 18

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Drake Maye pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Drake Maye pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 13 yds to the SYR 5

4th & 3Field Goal Good+24 yds

Noah Burnette 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Shrader, Garrett pass incomplete, PENALTY SYRACUSE ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SYRACUSE20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 1 yd to the SYR 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.79

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 34 yds to the UNC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 13 yds to the UNC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the UNC 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for 4 yds to the UNC 24

3rd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.94

Garrett Shrader run for 18 yds to the UNC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the UNC 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the UNC 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 32

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the UNC 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 7 yds to the UNC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.32

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 32 yds to the SYR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

British Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 20

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Drake Maye run for 2 yds to the SYR 18

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drake Maye run for no gain to the SYR 18

4th & 9Field Goal Good+36 yds

Noah Burnette 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 27

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the SYR 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 11 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 5 yds to the UNC 48

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the UNC 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the UNC 44

4th & 1Penalty-4 yds

Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the UNC 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 31 yds, downed at the UNC 17

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.78

British Brooks run for 2 yds to the UNC 19 North Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNC 9

1st & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.18

Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 8 yds to the UNC 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Drake Maye pass complete to British Brooks for 1 yd to the UNC 18

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Syracuse Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UNC 23

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.90

Kobe Paysour 77 Yd pass from Drake Maye (Noah Burnette Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Juwaun Price run for 4 yds to the SYR 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for 1 yd to the SYR 30

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.26

Garrett Shrader pass intercepted Alijah Huzzie return for no gain to the SYR 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 8 yds to the SYR 28

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.25

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 9 yds to the SYR 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 yds

Drake Maye pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Drake Maye run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 16 Drake Maye fumbled, recovered by SYR

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.63

LeQuint Allen run for 7 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST down North Carolina Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the SYR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Dan Villari run for 1 yd to the SYR 39

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Donovan Brown for 5 yds to the SYR 30

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 20

2nd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 14 yds to the SYR 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Juwaun Price run for 3 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+19 ydsPPA -1.95

Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass intercepted Amare Campbell return for 19 yds to the SYR 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 5 yds to the UNC 30

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Caleb Hood run for 10 yds to the UNC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 6 yds to the UNC 46

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Caleb Hood run for 3 yds to the UNC 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Caleb Hood run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Elijah Green run for 9 yds to the SYR 41

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Caleb Hood run for no gain to the SYR 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the SYR 41

4th & 1Penalty+6 yds

Syracuse Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the SYR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Caleb Hood run for 5 yds to the SYR 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Drake Maye run for 8 yds to the SYR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Caleb Hood run for 3 yds to the SYR 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kamari Morales

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Drake Maye pass complete to Caleb Hood for 9 yds to the SYR 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the SYR 9

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Conner Harrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 11

3rd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Conner Harrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+31 yds

Noah Burnette 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Conner Harrell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Caleb Hood run for 1 yd to the SYR 25

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Elijah Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 27

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.05

Conner Harrell pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Juwaun Price run for 2 yds to the SYR 29

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Juwaun Price run for 3 yds to the SYR 32

Situational Analysis

Syracuse

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
19 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
51%
37 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play