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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 27.4

Home Win Probability

Florida State 94%

Market (Bovada)

Florida State -24

Edge: Florida State -24 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
0107017
Florida StateFlorida State
22010739

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428428-015-022-022-322-1022-1732-1739-17
Florida StateVirginia Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSVTFSVTFSVTFSVTFSVTFSVTFSVTFSVTFSVTFSVTFSVTFSTD1375ydPUNT31ydTD766ydPUNT35ydTD745ydPUNT33ydPUNT41ydFG876ydPUNT3-3ydTD1670ydEND1-10ydTD00ydTD275ydPUNT410ydFG1171ydPUNT518ydPUNT515ydDOWNS1260ydTD185ydPUNT623ydPUNT518ydTO357ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia Tech and Florida State
StatisticVirginia TechFlorida State
Passing14-2718-25
Pass Yards104170
Rush Yards209282
Total Yards313452
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-135-12
Penalties6-6012-99
Possession31:1628:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia Tech
passing
Kyron Drones
14/27, 104 YDS
rushing
Kyron Drones
14 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Jaylin Lane
6 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
18/24, 170 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Trey Benson
11 CAR, 200 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Johnny Wilson
4 REC, 54 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 12 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 14 yds to the VT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Trey Benson run for 8 yds to the FSU 41 Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trey Benson) to the FSU 49

1st & 12Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FSU 44

1st & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the VT 46

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.21

Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Wilson, Johnny, PENALTY VATECH offside (Pollard, Norell) 5 yards to the VATECH32, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the VT 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.01

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 8 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the VT 19

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jordan Travis run for 6 yds to the VT 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the VT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the VT 7

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 7 yds for a TD (B. Courtney Run For Two-point Conversion)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 65 yds , Bhayshul Tuten return for 21 yds to the VT 21

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for no gain to the VT 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 1 yd to the VT 22

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan Felton

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 9 yds to the FSU 43

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.50

Trey Benson run for 19 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 3 yds to the VT 28

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.68

Lawrance Toafili run for 28 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

3rd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 58 yds , Bhayshul Tuten return for 18 yds to the VT 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the VT 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul Tuten

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin Lane

4th & 5Punt+32 yds

Peter Moore punt for 47 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 32 yds to the VT 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 16 yds to the VT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kyle Morlock

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Rodney Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.64

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 11 yds to the VT 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the VT 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kyle Morlock

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.30

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 18 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

3rd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 65 yds , Bhayshul Tuten return for 18 yds to the VT 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the VT 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul Tuten

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 3 yds to the VT 21

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Peter Moore punt for 42 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 1 yd to the FSU 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, False Start (Maurice Smith) to the FSU 33

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the FSU 35

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 4 yds to the FSU 39

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Travis run for 10 yds to the FSU 49 Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Casey Roddick) to the FSU 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.59

Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 12 yds to the VT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Drones, Kyron pass pass intercepted by Thomas, Azareye'h at the VATECH45, Thomas, Azareye'h return 0 yards to the VATECH45, PENALTY FLORIDAST roughing passer (Turner Jr., Byron) 15 yards to the VATECH39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.33

Kyron Drones run for 40 yds to the FSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kyron Drones run for no gain to the FSU 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul Tuten

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+29 yds

John Love 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 28

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Travis sacked by C.J. McCray for a loss of 6 yards to the FSU 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 30

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Malachi Thomas run for 12 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Malachi Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 40

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Florida State Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the VT 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Dae'Quan Wright

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 6 yds to the FSU 49

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.18

Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the FSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Dae'Quan Wright

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the FSU 39

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul Tuten

4th & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.18

Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 9 yds to the FSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the FSU 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the FSU 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kyron Drones pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 2 yds to the FSU 21

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.79

Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the FSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Kyron Drones run for 13 yds to the FSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the FSU 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Jordan Travis sacked by Norell Pollard for a loss of 10 yards to the FSU 15

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+99 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 64 yds , Bhayshul Tuten return for 99 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 13 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Trey Benson run for 62 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 14 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 41

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.50

Kyron Drones sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 35

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan Felton

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 44 yds, downed at the FSU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan Travis pass complete to Rodney Hill for 8 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Jordan Travis pass complete to Destyn Hill for 30 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.59

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jalen Stroman) to the VT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 2 yds to the VT 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 6 yds to the VT 14

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the VT 13

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.54

Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the VT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the VT 7

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the VT 5

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, False Start (Markeston Douglas) to the VT 10

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 2 yds to the VT 8

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Drones, Kyron rush for 5 yards to the VATECH30, PENALTY VATECH holding (Thomas, Malachi) 10 yards to the VATECH15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VT 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.49

Kyron Drones pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 21 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VT 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.53

Kyron Drones run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 48 Kyron Drones fumbled, forced by Patrick Payton, recovered by VT Kyron Drones

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Virginia Tech Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the VT 43

4th & 8Punt+48 yds

Peter Moore punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 18 Florida State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Deuce Spann) to the FSU 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FSU 10

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the FSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 8 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FSU 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Travis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+8 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 59 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 8 yds to the VT 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 34

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Malachi Thomas run for 11 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VT 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 8 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Greene, Ayden, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Greene, Ayden) 15 yards to the VATECH43, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 5 yds to the VT 48

2nd & 20Penalty+10 yds

Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Lane, Jaylin, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Jones, Jarrian) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Malachi Thomas run for 18 yds to the FSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin Lane

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul Tuten

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Kyron Drones sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 31

4th & 17Penalty+5 yds

Drones, Kyron pass incomplete, PENALTY FLORIDAST offside (Verse, Jared) 5 yards to the FLORIDAST26, NO PLAY.

4th & 12Penalty-10 yds

Drones, Kyron pass complete to Gosnell, Stephen for 14 yards to the FLORIDAST12, PENALTY VATECH holding (Meadows, Brody) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST36, NO PLAY.

4th & 22Rush+21 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyron Drones run for 21 yds to the FSU 15

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.62

Trey Benson run for 85 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 9 yds to the VT 45

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Stephen Gosnell

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the VT 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden Greene

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 17

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Trey Benson run for 8 yds to the FSU 25

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the FSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rodney Hill run for 5 yds to the FSU 32

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Rodney Hill run for 3 yds to the FSU 35

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 15

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.48

Bryce Duke run for 31 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Personal Foul (Quindarrius Jones) to the FSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Bryce Duke run for 8 yds to the FSU 31 Bryce Duke fumbled, forced by Akeem Dent, recovered by VT Tucker Holloway

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.48

Chance Black run for 3 yds to the FSU 28 Chance Black fumbled, forced by Conrad Hussey, recovered by FSU Conrad Hussey

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 26

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.37

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 24

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.12

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 22

Situational Analysis

Virginia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play