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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 20

Home Win Probability

Boston College 10%

Market (Bovada)

Boston College +25

Edge: Boston College +25 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
31414031
Boston CollegeBoston College
7361329

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-310-310-1010-1710-3116-3122-3129-31
Boston CollegeFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCFSBCFSBCFSBCFSBCFSFSBCFSBCFSBCBCFSFSBCFSBCFSTD775ydFG1161ydFG1672ydTD675ydPUNT851ydTD888ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydPUNT412ydEND1-3ydTD674ydTO10ydTD240ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT31ydTD1280ydTO70ydTD53ydPUNT521ydTD995ydPUNT37ydTO64ydEND66yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and Boston College
StatisticFlorida StateBoston College
Passing15-2420-34
Pass Yards212305
Rush Yards128152
Total Yards340457
Turnovers21
3rd Down1-98-19
Penalties5-4518-131
Possession26:1033:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
15/24, 212 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Rodney Hill
5 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Johnny Wilson
4 REC, 105 YDS
defense
Tatum Bethune
1 TFL, 1 PD
Boston College
passing
Thomas Castellanos
20/33, 305 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Thomas Castellanos
16 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lewis Bond
3 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (Logan Taylor) to the BC 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.68

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 35 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 5 yds to the FSU 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 4 yds to the FSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Kye Robichaux run for 8 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the FSU 22

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Boston College Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FSU 32

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.04

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 32 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

2nd & 16Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Luca Lombardo kickoff for 63 yds , Winston Wright Jr. return for 25 yds to the FSU 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the FSU 34

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.56

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 19 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 1 yd to the BC 41

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the BC 39

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the BC 35

4th & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.19

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 21 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the BC 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Cam'ron Barfield run for 1 yd to the BC 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 7 yds to the BC 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Cam'ron Barfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 38

3rd & 8Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.69

Thomas Castellanos run for 29 yds to the FSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 18 yds to the FSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (Christian Mahogany) to the FSU 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ryan O'Keefe pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Cam'ron Barfield run for no gain to the FSU 20

3rd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.98

Thomas Castellanos run for 14 yds to the FSU 6

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.19

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the FSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the FSU 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Liam Connor 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Boston College Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the FSU 30

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.49

Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Trey Benson run for no gain to the FSU 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 19 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordan Travis run for 17 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Boston College Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the BC 23

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the BC 19

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.09

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 19 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

2nd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 60 yds , Ryan O'Keefe return for 13 yds to the BC 48 Boston College Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the BC 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 10

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Cam'ron Barfield for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 9

3rd & 10Penalty-4 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the BC 5

3rd & 14Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.52

Thomas Castellanos run for 45 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Kye Robichaux run for 8 yds to the FSU 42

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FSU 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 15 yds to the FSU 32 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (Christian Mahogany) to the FSU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 4 yds to the FSU 28

2nd & 11Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.33

Cam'ron Barfield run for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 40

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to George Takacs

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Sam Candotti punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 12

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.04

Rodney Hill run for 18 yds to the FSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Rodney Hill run for 12 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.72

Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 12 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the BC 25

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Travis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Rodney Hill run for 6 yds to the BC 15

3rd & 4Penalty+13 yds

Boston College Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cole Batson) to the BC 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Trey Benson run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 27

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 26

4th & 9Punt-2 yds

Sam Candotti punt for 51 yds , Keon Coleman returns for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Jordan Travis run for 8 yds to the FSU 29

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaden Williams at the BC 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 12 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Joseph Griffin Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Loren DiLoreto punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 35

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 32

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Luca Lombardo kickoff for 53 yds , Preston Daniel return for 14 yds to the FSU 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FSU 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.83

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 44 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the BC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 3 yds to the BC 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 9 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jordan Travis pass complete to Preston Daniel for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted DJ Lundy return for no gain to the BC 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.25

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 39 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty0 yds

Florida State Penalty, Offensive Offside (Edwin Joseph) to the BC 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

DJ Lundy run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Florida State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Keiondre Jones) to the FSU 20

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 69 yds , Ryan O'Keefe return for 23 yds to the BC 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 37

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 40

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Boston College Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jude Bowry) to the BC 30

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (Drew Kendall) to the BC 25

3rd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 6 yds to the BC 31

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Loren DiLoreto punt for 22 yds, downed at the FSU 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Rodney Hill

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rodney Hill run for 4 yds to the BC 49

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the BC 47

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the FSU 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 27

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the BC 29

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.35

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (Jude Bowry) to the BC 26

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the BC 26

2nd & 15Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.27

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 24

3rd & 17Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.60

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 52 yds to the FSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 5 yds to the FSU 19

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Florida State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 4 yds to the FSU 10

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the FSU 7

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.73

Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the FSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Connor PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Luca Lombardo kickoff for 39 yds , Trey Benson return for no gain to the FSU 26 Trey Benson fumbled, recovered by BC

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the FSU 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the FSU 17

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.14

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the FSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 6 yds to the FSU 7

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 11

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the FSU 5

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -4.09

Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the FSU 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FSU 7

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Lawrance Toafili

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.79

Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the FSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Trey Benson run for no gain to the FSU 18

2nd & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+8 ydsPPA -7.00

Khari Johnson 8 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 6 yds to the FSU 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.75

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 21 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the BC 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Travis pass complete to Rodney Hill for 5 yds to the BC 31

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Keon Coleman run for 2 yds to the BC 29

4th & 1Penalty-15 yds

Florida State Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Keon Coleman) to the BC 44

4th & 16Penalty+5 yds

Boston College Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 39

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 44

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Ryan O'Keefe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Thomas Castellanos run for 13 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.30

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 42 yds to the FSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.63

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 25 yds to the FSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to George Takacs for 8 yds to the FSU 7

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.95

Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Travis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the FSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaden Williams at the BC 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 21

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.40

Thomas Castellanos sacked by DJ Lundy and Renardo Green for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 12

3rd & 20Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.61

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 28 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.74

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Kalen DeLoach for a loss of 14 yards to the BC 26

4th & 24Punt-2 yds

Loren DiLoreto punt for 38 yds , Keon Coleman returns for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 34 Keon Coleman fumbled, recovered by FSU

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FSU 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the FSU 37

3rd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.16

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (John Pupel) to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -3.25

TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the FSU 44

2nd & 22Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 43

3rd & 23Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.22

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 40

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
25 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
20%
10 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
80%
5 plays