Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 10, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 18.7

Home Win Probability

Florida State 88%

Market (Bovada)

Florida State -31

Edge: Southern Miss +31 (12.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
037313
Florida StateFlorida State
1417211466

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-014-321-331-352-1059-1066-13
Florida StateSouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSSMFSSMFSFSSMFSSMFSSMFSSMFSSMSMFSSMFSSMFSSMFSSMTD876ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT34ydDOWNS533ydTD1253ydDOWNS421ydFG957ydTD769ydPUNT3-6ydTD665ydPUNT31ydEND1039ydPUNT3-12ydTD245ydTD32ydPUNT64ydTD142ydTD1389ydTD983ydPUNT412ydTD372ydFG952ydPUNT518ydEND319yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Florida State
StatisticSouthern MissFlorida State
Passing11-3418-32
Pass Yards154248
Rush Yards104306
Total Yards258554
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-134-12
Penalties13-903-45
Possession27:1932:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Billy Wiles
11/34, 154 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Rodrigues Clark
15 CAR, 86 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Antavious Willis
2 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
15/29, 175 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Trey Benson
9 CAR, 79 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Keon Coleman
3 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FSU 29

1st & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.83

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 20 yds to the FSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the USM 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the USM 44

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the USM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.45

Jordan Travis pass complete to Deuce Spann for 23 yds to the USM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the USM 15

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the USM 10

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.27

Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Tiaquelin Mims

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the USM 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Tiaquelin Mims

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Billy Wiles pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 43

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Rodney Hill run for 6 yds to the FSU 49

2nd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.70

Jordan Travis sacked by Kristin Booth and Jalen Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 10 yds to the USM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Florida State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Renardo Green) to the USM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.66

Billy Wiles sacked by Kalen DeLoach for a loss of 10 yards to the USM 35 Southern Miss Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Billy Wiles) to the USM 35

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Brandon Hayes

3rd & 20Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tyquan Henderson for 17 yds to the FSU 48

4th & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.05

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 1 yd to the FSU 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 2 yds to the USM 48

4th & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +3.02

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 9 yds to the USM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Deuce Spann

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Deuce Spann

4th & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +3.19

Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the USM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jordan Travis pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 6 yds to the USM 22

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the USM 20

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the USM 19

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.31

Trey Benson run for 19 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the USM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the USM 33

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Caziah Holmes run for 3 yds to the USM 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.60

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USM 25

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 26

3rd & 14Penalty+15 yds

Florida State Penalty, Roughing Passer (Patrick Payton) to the USM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USM 36

1st & 15Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.02

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 33 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the FSU 26

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Frank Gore Jr. run for 15 yds to the FSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FSU 16

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the FSU 14

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the FSU 13

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Avery White

4th & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Andrew Stein 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FSU 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.54

Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 12 yds to the FSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.64

Lawrance Toafili run for 34 yds to the USM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Trey Benson run for no gain to the USM 21

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.97

Deuce Spann run for 15 yds to the USM 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty+3 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Substitution Infraction (3 Yards) to the USM 3

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Trey Benson run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Brandon Hayes

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Billy Wiles sacked by Dennis Briggs Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 25

3rd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.15

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 22

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 48 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 5 yds to the FSU 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FSU 36

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (MJ Daniels) to the USM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the USM 44

1st & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 8 yds to the USM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Florida State Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Darion Williamson) to the FSU 49

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 25Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Jordan Travis pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 11 yds to the USM 40

3rd & 14Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.49

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 34 yds to the USM 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Frank Gore Jr.

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Justyn Reid

4th & 9Punt-3 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 38 yds , Keon Coleman returns for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordan Travis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jaheim Bell

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the FSU 49

4th & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +3.08

Jordan Travis pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 9 yds to the USM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Travis pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 1 yd Winston Wright Jr. fumbled, recovered by FSU Kyle Morlock

2nd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 29 yds to the USM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Hykeem Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Destyn Hill

3rd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.32

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for a loss of 5 yards to the USM 17

4th & 15Field Goal Good+35 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the USM 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Tiaquelin Mims

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the USM 13

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 32 yds, downed at the USM 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the USM 42

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.81

Trey Benson run for 42 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the USM 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Frank Gore Jr.

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+30 ydsPPA -6.99

Billy Wiles pass intercepted for a TD Jarrian Jones return for 30 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Billy Wiles pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 7 yds to the USM 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the USM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Brandon Hayes

2nd & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.04

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the USM 39 Southern Miss Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USM 29

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Brandon Hayes

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Frank Gore Jr.

4th & 17Punt+19 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 32 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 19 yds to the USM 42

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 42 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Latreal Jones

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Rodrigues Clark run for 10 yds to the USM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 13 yds to the USM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Latreal Jones

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Rodrigues Clark run for 12 yds to the USM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the USM 46

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rodrigues Clark run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.31

Billy Wiles pass complete to Tyquan Henderson for 10 yds to the FSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 15 yds to the FSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Chandler Pittman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Billy Wiles pass complete to Justyn Reid for 13 yds to the FSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Zay Franks

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Rodrigues Clark run for 12 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.39

Rodney Hill run for 19 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Rodney Hill run for 1 yd to the FSU 37

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Caziah Holmes run for 7 yds to the FSU 44

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.70

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 7 yds to the USM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the USM 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.59

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Destyn Hill for 18 yds to the USM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Caziah Holmes run for 13 yds to the USM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Rodney Hill run for 3 yds to the USM 13

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Vandrevious Jacobs for 13 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Rodrigues Clark run for 11 yds to the USM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the USM 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Avery White

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Avery White

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 30 yds, downed at the FSU 28

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.76

Brock Glenn run for 34 yds to the USM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Brock Glenn run for a loss of 2 yards to the USM 40

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.28

Caziah Holmes run for 40 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the USM 27

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.64

Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.90

Billy Wiles pass complete to Antavious Willis for 21 yds to the USM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Rodrigues Clark run for 14 yds to the FSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Billy Wiles pass complete to Antavious Willis for 14 yds to the FSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Rodrigues Clark run for 4 yds to the FSU 23

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the FSU 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Billy Wiles pass incomplete to Tiaquelin Mims

4th & 6Field Goal Good+40 yds

Andrew Stein 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 9 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

AJ Duffy run for 9 yds to the FSU 47

2nd & 1Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.39

AJ Duffy sacked by Jeremiah Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 43

3rd & 5Sack0 ydsPPA -0.73

AJ Duffy sacked by Demeco Roland for 0 yards to the FSU 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 43 yds, downed at the USM 14

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Rodrigues Clark run for 8 yds to the USM 22

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the USM 23

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Rodrigues Clark run for 10 yds to the USM 33 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
31%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
54%
13 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play