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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2
Lafayette
7
-Final
42
DukeDuke

House Prediction

Model Margin

Duke by 26.3

Home Win Probability

Duke 94%

Market (DraftKings)

Duke -41

Edge: Lafayette +41 (14.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Lafayette
70007
DukeDuke
71414742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-721-728-742-7
DukeLafayette

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DUKLAFDUKLAFDUKLAFDUKLAFDUKLAFDUKLAFDUKLAFDUKLAFDUKLAFTD868ydTD1375ydTO119ydPUNT37ydTD970ydDOWNS1051ydTD976ydTO627ydMISS664ydPUNT611ydTD884ydPUNT514ydTD460ydTO26ydTD553ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1755ydEND319yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Lafayette and Duke
StatisticLafayetteDuke
Passing9-1820-21
Pass Yards87254
Rush Yards126261
Total Yards213515
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-115-8
Penalties6-744-25
Possession27:1932:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Lafayette
passing
Dean DeNobile
9/17, 87 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jamar Curtis
10 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Elijah Steward
4 REC, 37 YDS
defense
Duke
passing
Riley Leonard
12/12, 136 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan Waters
11 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jordan Moore
4 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Jordan Waters run for 17 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Jordan Waters run for 9 yds to the LAF 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA -0.01

Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 12 yds to the LAF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaquez Moore run for 5 yds to the LAF 25

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jaquez Moore run for 6 yds to the LAF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the LAF 16

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaquez Moore run for no gain to the LAF 16

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.10

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 16 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 3 yds to the LAF 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 29

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Dean DeNobile run for 10 yds to the LAF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Jamar Curtis run for 15 yds to the DUKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carl Smith for 12 yds to the DUKE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the DUKE 33

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the DUKE 30

4th & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.00

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 8 yds to the DUKE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 7 yds to the DUKE 15

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 17

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

Duke Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the DUKE 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 12 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -1.76

Jordan Waters run for 19 yds to the LAF 46 Jordan Waters fumbled, recovered by LAF Gabe DuBois

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the DUKE 48

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Dean DeNobile run for 1 yd to the DUKE 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 32 yds, downed at the DUKE 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaquez Moore run for 4 yds to the DUKE 34

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Lafayette Penalty, Personal Foul (Phillip Peiffer) to the DUKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Duke Penalty, False Start (Jaquez Moore) to the DUKE 43

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the DUKE 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 8 yds to the LAF 46

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Jaquez Moore run for 6 yds to the LAF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 5 yds to the LAF 35

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Jaquez Moore run for 7 yds to the LAF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.88

Jordan Waters run for 23 yds to the LAF 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jordan Waters run for 5 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jermaine Conyers run for 12 yds to the LAF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the LAF 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 9 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jermaine Conyers run for 4 yds to the DUKE 48

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jermaine Conyers run for 1 yd to the DUKE 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.17

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 14 yds to the DUKE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the DUKE 31

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the DUKE 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 5 yds to the DUKE 24

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.41

Jermaine Conyers run for no gain to the DUKE 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 13 yds to the DUKE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the DUKE 38

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Peyton Jones run for 5 yds to the DUKE 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Peyton Jones run for 3 yds to the DUKE 46

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.08

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the DUKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:14) LEONARD, Riley pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MOORE, Jordan thrown to the LAF0. PENALTY LAF Pass Interference on WHITE, Saiku enforced 15 yards to the LAF38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 6 yds to the LAF 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 9 yds to the LAF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jordan Waters run for 7 yds to the LAF 16

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.34

Jordan Waters run for 16 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Jamar Curtis run for 10 yds to the LAF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 17 yds to the DUKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Dean DeNobile sacked by Brandon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 48

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -2.10

Dean DeNobile pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 21 yds to the DUKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the LAF 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.02

Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 19 yds to the LAF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.80

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaquez Moore for 18 yds to the LAF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Todd Pelino 29 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 24

3rd & 11Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.61

Dean DeNobile run for 18 yds to the LAF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jermaine Conyers run for 1 yd to the LAF 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.87

Dean DeNobile sacked by Ryan Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the LAF 36

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 48 yds, downed at the DUKE 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the DUKE 19

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Jordan Waters run for 9 yds to the DUKE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the DUKE 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the DUKE 34

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

(09:23) LEONARD, Riley pass to the left incomplete intended for CALHOUN, Jalon thrown to the DU45. PENALTY LAF Leaping on OLIVAS, Marco enforced 15 yards from the DU34 to the DU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 4 yds to the LAF 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 5 yds to the LAF 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the LAF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Jaquez Moore run for 39 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the LAF 20

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Dean DeNobile run for 7 yds to the LAF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Nahjee Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 25

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Lafayette Penalty, False Start (John Olmstead) to the LAF 20

2nd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Nahjee Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 19

3rd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.09

Nahjee Adams run for 9 yds to the LAF 28

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Peyton Jones run for 9 yds to the DUKE 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.20

Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 49 yds to the LAF 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Peyton Jones run for 1 yd to the LAF 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Henry Belin IV run for 1 yd for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nahjee Adams run for 6 yds to the LAF 31

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -1.26

Dean DeNobile pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 21 yds to the LAF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 11 yds to the LAF 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Peyton Jones run for 3 yds to the LAF 18

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Peyton Jones run for 4 yds to the LAF 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 5 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nahjee Adams run for 3 yds to the LAF 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nahjee Adams run for no gain to the LAF 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ah-Shaun Davis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 39 yds, downed at the DUKE 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Henry Belin IV pass complete to Mehki Wall for 2 yds to the DUKE 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Henry Belin IV pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 4 yds to the DUKE 39

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Duke Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DUKE 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.83

Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jake Taylor for 14 yds to the DUKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Travis Bates run for 4 yds to the LAF 48

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Travis Bates run for no gain to the LAF 48

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Duke Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mehki Wall) to the DUKE 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.95

Henry Belin IV pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 12 yds to the LAF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Travis Bates run for 4 yds to the LAF 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Peyton Jones run for 1 yd to the LAF 35

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Peyton Jones run for 4 yds to the LAF 31

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Peyton Jones run for 3 yds to the LAF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Quran Boyd run for 9 yds to the LAF 19

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.45

Quran Boyd run for 5 yds to the LAF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Quran Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 15

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Quran Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 16

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Quran Boyd run for no gain to the LAF 16

4th & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -2.93

Quran Boyd run for 4 yds to the LAF 12

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Troy Bruce run for 14 yds to the LAF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Troy Bruce run for 3 yds to the LAF 29

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Troy Bruce run for 2 yds to the LAF 31

Situational Analysis

Lafayette

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
20%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play