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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 26.9

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 94%

Market (Bovada)

Notre Dame -23.5

Edge: Notre Dame -23.5 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wake ForestWake Forest
07007
Notre DameNotre Dame
710141445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-724-731-738-745-7
Notre DameWake Forest

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDWFNDWFNDWFNDWFNDWFNDNDWFNDWFNDWFNDWFNDWFPUNT33ydPUNT514ydMISS1151ydPUNT3-4ydTD971ydTD772ydTD866ydMISS1163ydFG1051ydTO2-6ydTD119ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS934ydTD554ydPUNT839ydTD580ydPUNT38ydTO111ydDOWNS44ydTD1073ydEND618yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wake Forest and Notre Dame
StatisticWake ForestNotre Dame
Passing12-2124-34
Pass Yards98313
Rush Yards134137
Total Yards232450
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-135-10
Penalties4-503-35
Possession31:2728:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wake Forest
passing
Michael Kern
11/20, 81 YDS
rushing
Justice Ellison
15 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Jahmal Banks
5 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Sam Hartman
21/29, 277 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Audric Estime
22 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rico Flores
8 REC, 102 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the ND 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WAKE 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Michael Kern pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

KERN, Michael pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BANKS, Jahmal thrown to the UND30; QB hurried by CROSS III, Howard. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on MORRISON, Benjamin enforced 15 yards to the UND40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Michael Kern pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Michael Kern pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Audric Estime run for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Sam Hartman pass complete to Eli Raridon for 9 yds to the ND 26

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

HARTMAN, Sam pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FAISON, Jordan thrown to the WFU39. PENALTY WFU Pass Interference on GLASKER, Jamare enforced 15 yards to the UND41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the WAKE 42

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the WAKE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Spencer Shrader 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WAKE 29

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Michael Kern run for 5 yds to the WAKE 34

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.77

Michael Kern sacked by Javontae Jean-Baptiste and Cameron Hite for a loss of 9 yards to the WAKE 25

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 6 yds to the ND 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 5 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the ND 47

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the ND 49

3rd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.00

Audric Estime run for 21 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Sam Hartman pass complete to Eli Raridon for 11 yds to the WAKE 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the WAKE 15

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the WAKE 12

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.75

Sam Hartman pass complete to Devyn Ford for 12 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 1 yd to the WAKE 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 11 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Jahmal Banks pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 17 yds to the ND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 4 yds to the ND 39

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Tate Carney run for 10 yds to the ND 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.36

Ke'Shawn Williams run for 20 yds to the ND 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Tate Carney run for 9 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 10 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for no gain to the ND 44

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Gi'Bran Payne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 49

4th & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.29

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 22 yds to the WAKE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the WAKE 25

2nd & 8Penalty0 yds

HARTMAN, Sam pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TYREE, Chris broken up by GLASKER, Jamare at the WFU1. PENALTY UND Illegal Shift declined UND Holding on ALT, Joe enforced 10 yards from the WFU25 to the WFU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +4.51

Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 35 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WAKE 31

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Michael Kern run for 14 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Michael Kern pass complete to Horatio Fields for 8 yds to the ND 48

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Justice Ellison run for 14 yds to the ND 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Michael Kern pass complete to Horatio Fields for 15 yds to the ND 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the ND 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Michael Kern pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the ND 12

4th & 3Blocked Field Goal+30 yds

Matthew Dennis 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 9 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 16 yds to the WAKE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jadarian Price run for 6 yds to the ND 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 9 yds to the WAKE 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.24

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 15 yds to the WAKE 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.82

Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for a loss of 4 yards to the WAKE 19

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+37 yds

Spencer Shrader 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Michael Kern run for 1 yd to the WAKE 26

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.65

Michael Kern sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WAKE 19

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Sam Hartman pass complete to Eli Raridon for 19 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the WAKE 48

2nd & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.38

Audric Estime run for a loss of 6 yards to the ND 46

3rd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.73

Gi'Bran Payne run for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WAKE 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 5 yds to the WAKE 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.21

Michael Kern pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 5 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the WAKE 39

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Michael Kern pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Michael Kern run for 9 yds to the ND 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Tate Carney run for no gain to the ND 46

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.48

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the ND 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 11 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the WAKE 38

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Wake Forest Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Nick Andersen) to the WAKE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 18 yds to the WAKE 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Audric Estime run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Justice Ellison run for 17 yds to the WAKE 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Michael Kern pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 11 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Michael Kern run for no gain to the ND 47

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wake Forest Penalty, Delay Of Game (Caelen Carson) to the WAKE 48

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the ND 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Michael Kern pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Michael Kern pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Tate Carney run for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 36

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 5 yds to the ND 25

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.54

Audric Estime run for 15 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 12 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 48 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tate Carney run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the WAKE 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Kern pass complete to Tate Carney for 2 yds to the WAKE 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -0.61

Steve Angeli pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 11 yds fumbled, recovered by WAKE Evan Slocum [SG] ANGELI, Steve pass to the right complete for 11 yards to FLORES JR., Rico caught at the UND26, FLORES JR., Rico fumbled at UND31 forced by TONGUE, Rushaun, recovered by WFU SLOCUM, Evan at the UND31, returned 0 yards to the UND31, End of Play, clock 11:03.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -0.61

Steve Angeli pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 11 yds fumbled, recovered by WAKE Evan Slocum, returned 0 yards to the UND31, End of Play, clock 11:03.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Michael Kern pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Michael Kern sacked by Jason Onye and Aidan Keanaaina for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 33

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the ND 27

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.63

Michael Kern pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Wake Forest Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Nick Andersen) to the ND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Audric Estime run for 16 yds to the WAKE 41 Notre Dame Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cooper Flanagan) to the ND 35

1st & 18Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Audric Estime run for 19 yds to the WAKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the WAKE 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 8 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the WAKE 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the WAKE 24

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the WAKE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the WAKE 17

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 17 yds for a TD (Marcello Diomede KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

David Egbe run for 3 yds to the WAKE 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

David Egbe run for 6 yds to the WAKE 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

David Egbe run for 3 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

David Egbe run for 3 yds to the WAKE 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

David Egbe run for 1 yd to the WAKE 41

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

David Egbe run for 2 yds to the WAKE 43

Situational Analysis

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
57%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
71%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play